Al Taawon vs Al-Ettifaq
Al Taawon and Al-Ettifaq share spoils
A late equaliser denies Al-Ettifaq a predicted easy win.
Al Taawon held firm at home to secure a 1-1 draw against Al-Ettifaq in the Pro League. A. Hamed Allah put the hosts ahead with a penalty in the first half, but Abdullah Khateeb's goal right on the 90th minute rescued a point for the visitors. This result defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a comfortable away win for Al-Ettifaq.
Outcome probability
As the Saudi Professional League's regular season rolls on, Al Taawon face a tough challenge against Al-Ettifaq. With Al Taawon struggling near the bottom of the table and Al-Ettifaq comfortably placed in the top half, this fixture promises a clear contest of form and quality.
Match factors
Al-Ettifaq's superior scoring and form
Al-Ettifaq averages 1.55 goals per game with a 45% win rate, outperforming Al Taawon's 0.4 goals and 0% wins
Al Taawon lacks top scorers and assisters
Al Taawon has no players listed in top scorers or assisters, limiting their offensive threat
Al-Ettifaq's midfield creativity and passing dominance
Players like Ondrej Duda and Álvaro Medrán show high passing accuracy and assist potential, enabling effective attacks
Al-Ettifaq's consistent scoring streak
Al-Ettifaq has scored in their last 5 matches, indicating strong offensive momentum
Defensive solidity from Al-Ettifaq's backline
Defenders like Abdullah Khateeb and Madallah Al Olayan show high passing accuracy and duel success, aiding defensive stability
The context
Al Taawon sit 17th with just 4 points from 10 games, yet to register a win this season. In contrast, Al-Ettifaq have accumulated 18 points from 11 matches, placing them 7th and showcasing a much stronger campaign. Historically, Al Taawon have edged the head-to-head record with 10 wins to Al-Ettifaq's 6, but recent form heavily favours the visitors.
Key insights
- Á
Álvaro Medrán
Al-Ettifaq
Medrán’s high passing volume and assist potential enable Al-Ettifaq’s effective attacks.
Pro League 26/27Over 55 passes per game with regular assists.
- M
M. Dembélé
Al-Ettifaq
Dembélé’s prolific scoring and high conversion rate make him a key attacking threat.
Pro League 26/27Multiple recent goals and high shot volume.
- A
Abdullah Khateeb
Al-Ettifaq
Khateeb’s passing accuracy and offensive support contribute to defensive solidity and attack.
Pro League 26/2792% passing accuracy and assists.
- M
Madallah Al Olayan
Al-Ettifaq
Al Olayan’s duel win rate and tackling provide a key defensive presence.
Pro League 26/2777% duel win rate and 2.56 tackles per game.
Analysis
Al-Ettifaq's attacking prowess is evident, averaging 1.55 goals per game compared to Al Taawon's 0.4. Their midfield creativity, led by players like Álvaro Medrán, who boasts over 55 passes per game and regular assists, provides a steady supply line to forwards such as M. Dembélé, a prolific scorer with a high conversion rate. Defensively, Al-Ettifaq's backline, including Abdullah Khateeb and Madallah Al Olayan, combines high passing accuracy with strong duel success, ensuring solidity at the back. Meanwhile, Al Taawon lack standout scorers or assisters, limiting their offensive threat and making it difficult to break down the visitors' defence.
Key facts
- 1.Al Taawon are 17th with 4 points from 10 games (W0 D4 L6).
- 2.Al-Ettifaq are 7th with 18 points from 11 games (W5 D3 L3).
- 3.Al Taawon have won 10 of 20 historical meetings; Al-Ettifaq have won 6, with 4 draws.
- 4.Al-Ettifaq average 1.55 goals per game; Al Taawon average 0.4.
- 5.Al-Ettifaq have scored in their last 5 matches.
- 6.Álvaro Medrán averages over 55 passes per game and regularly provides assists.
- 7.M. Dembélé is a key attacking threat with a high shot conversion rate.
- 8.Al Taawon lack players among top scorers or assisters this season.
Prediction
The prediction strongly favours an away win for Al-Ettifaq with a 3-0 scoreline. The most probable halftime score is 0-1, reflecting Al-Ettifaq's ability to take control early and maintain dominance throughout. Given the statistical edge and current form, Al-Ettifaq should comfortably secure all three points.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al Taawon
Away — Al-Ettifaq
The verdict
Al Taawon face a stern test against a well-organised and confident Al-Ettifaq side. Without key offensive threats and struggling for points, the home side will find it hard to contain their visitors. Expect Al-Ettifaq to continue their scoring streak and leave with a convincing victory.
Prediction generated 24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Guiagon
Yellow Card
Penalty confirmed
Hamed Allah
Penalty
Duda
Yellow Card
Khalid Al Ghannam
Madallah Al Olayan
Hamed Allah
Yellow Card
Guiagon
Bajrami
Kanté
Yellow Card
Duda
Unknown
Larsson
Mohammed Al Saedi
Al Haleel
Faris Al Ghamdi
Abdulelah
Yellow Card
Abdullah Khateeb
Assist: Celina
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +20 | 28 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | +9 | 21 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -14 | 5 |
| 18 |  Abha | 11 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -12 | 3 |
Match Statistics
Al Taawon
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1MailsonG
- 4Nasser Al HaleelD
- 5Z. BelaïdD
- 8P. GuiagonM
- 9A. Hamed AllahF
- 10N. BajramiM
- 16Faris Al GhamdiM
- 18A. El MahdiouiM
- 40Ibrahim MahnashiD
- 45Mohammed Al SaediD
- 88M. PetkovD
Substitutes
- 17Mohammed Al AqelF
- 20Bassem Al-AriniF
- 30Abdullah Al JadaniG
- 43Nawaf Mazen Al HawairyD
- 47Y. El BahraouiF
- 93Awn Al SaluliD
Al-Ettifaq
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. RodákG
- 4J. HendryD
- 5Pedro HenriqueD
- 7Khalid Al GhannamM
- 11O. DudaM
- 17J. LarssonM
- 33Madallah Al OlayanD
- 42A. KantéM
- 43B. CelinaM
- 70Abdullah KhateebD
Substitutes
- 3Abdullah MaduD
- 10Álvaro MedránM
- 13Meshal Al AlaeliD
- 26Riyadh SharahiliM
- 29Z. Al GhamdiF
- 58Yasir ShammariM
- 77AbdulelahM
- 78Marzouq TambaktiD
- 92Turki Ba Al JawshG
Al Taawon
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Petkov | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Awn Al Saluli | D | 8 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. El Mahdioui | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Belaïd | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hamed Allah | F | 90 | 6.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Nasser Al Haleel | D | 82 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mailson | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. El Bahraoui | F | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Mohammed Al Aqel | F | 28 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| P. Guiagon | M | 62 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/4 |
| Mohammed Al Saedi | D | 82 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Faris Al Ghamdi | M | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| N. Bajrami | M | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ibrahim Mahnashi | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bassem Al-Arini | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Mazen Al Hawairy | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Jadani | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Ettifaq
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdullah Khateeb | D | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Henrique | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| B. Celina | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0/2 |
| Meshal Al Alaeli | D | 44 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| J. Hendry | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| M. Rodák | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Kanté | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Álvaro Medrán | M | 53 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Z. Al Ghamdi | F | 20 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al Ghannam | M | 37 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| J. Larsson | M | 81 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 2/2 |
| O. Duda | M | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Yasir Shammari | M | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulelah | M | 20 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Madallah Al Olayan | D | 46 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Riyadh Sharahili | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Madu | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marzouq Tambakti | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Turki Ba Al Jawsh | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al Taawon vs Al-Ettifaq?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Ettifaq to win against Al Taawon.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al Taawon vs Al-Ettifaq?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al Taawon 0–3 Al-Ettifaq.
- What were the win probabilities for Al Taawon vs Al-Ettifaq?
- Fipster's model gave Al Taawon a 2% chance of winning, Al-Ettifaq a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.