Al Shabab vs Al Taawon
Match recap
Al Shabab beat Al Taawon 3–0 in their Pro League fixture. Matuq, Mathias, and Carrasco scored for Al Shabab. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.22 for Al Shabab versus 0.82 for Al Taawon. Al Shabab sit 11th in the Pro League table while Al Taawon are 17th.
Outcome probability
Al Shabab and Al Taawon face off in what promises to be a closely fought encounter. Both teams have struggled for points this season, sitting near the bottom of the league table with just three points each. Despite the poor form, this match could see Al Shabab leverage their attacking midfield strength to claim a vital win.
Match factors
Al Shabab's attacking midfield strength
Yannick Carrasco and Joshua Brownhill provide creative and scoring threat, enhancing Al Shabab's attack
Roger Martínez's strong away scoring form
Roger Martínez has scored 2 goals in 2 away matches, above league average for attackers
Al Shabab's recent scoring streak away
Al Shabab scored in last 2 away games, showing positive attacking momentum on the road
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, so all key players are available to influence the match
The context
Historically, Al Taawon have had the upper hand in this fixture, winning 11 of the 20 meetings, while Al Shabab have managed just 4 victories with 5 draws. The matches between these sides tend to be moderately high scoring, averaging 2.7 goals per game. Both teams are currently languishing near the bottom of the league standings, reflecting their recent struggles.
Key insights
Yannick Carrasco
Al Shabab
Carrasco’s creativity and goal involvement make him a key player to unlock Al Taawon’s defence.
Pro League 26/272 goals and 1 assist this season in competition 307
Roger Martínez
Al Taawon
Martínez’s strong away scoring form means he’s a constant threat despite Al Taawon’s struggles.
Pro League 26/272 goals in 2 away matches this season in competition 307
Joshua Brownhill
Al Shabab
Brownhill’s assists and work rate provide the vital link between midfield and attack for Al Shabab.
Pro League 26/272 assists in 6 appearances this season in competition 307
Analysis
Al Shabab's attacking midfield duo, Yannick Carrasco and Joshua Brownhill, provide a creative spark and goal threat that could prove decisive. Carrasco has scored twice this season and also contributes assists, while Brownhill leads the team in assists. Roger Martínez, despite playing for the away side, has been in fine away form with two goals in two away matches, but Al Shabab's home advantage and midfield creativity may just tip the scales. Both teams have full squads available, so expect a competitive match with tactical battles in midfield.
Key facts
- 1.Al Taawon have won 11 of 20 meetings against Al Shabab, who have won 4, with 5 draws.
- 2.Matches between these teams average 2.7 goals per game historically.
- 3.Both teams are near the bottom of the league with 3 points each.
- 4.Al Shabab have scored in their last two away games, showing attacking momentum.
- 5.Yannick Carrasco has 2 goals and 1 assist this season, leading Al Shabab's creativity.
- 6.Roger Martínez has scored 2 goals in 2 away matches, showing strong away form.
- 7.Joshua Brownhill is Al Shabab's top assister with 2 assists in 6 games.
- 8.No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, so full squads are available.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a home win for Al Shabab with a 2-1 scoreline. This result reflects the slight edge Al Shabab have in attacking creativity and recent scoring momentum, despite the close probabilities for a draw or away win. The match is expected to be competitive, but Al Shabab's ability to convert chances through their midfielders and attackers should see them edge out Al Taawon.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al Shabab
Away — Al Taawon
The verdict
In summary, while both teams have struggled this season, Al Shabab's attacking midfield and recent scoring form give them the advantage in this fixture. Expect a tight game with a couple of goals, but ultimately a home victory by the narrowest of margins.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Matuq
Card upgrade confirmed
Ali Al Bulayhi
Red Card
Roger Martínez
Matuq
Yellow Card
Faris Al Ghamdi
Yellow Card
Mathias
Penalty cancelled
Petkov
Yellow Card
Guiagon
Bajrami
Matuq
Al Anzi
Card upgrade confirmed
El Mahdioui
Yellow Card
Faris Al Ghamdi
Ibrahim Mahnashi
Adli
Yellow Card
Hamed Allah
Yellow Card
Belaïd
Yellow Card
Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi
Carrasco
Assist: Mathias
Mathias
Adli
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 10 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 |  Al Shabab | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Al-Hazm | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Abha | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Al Shabab
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1M. DiawG
- 4T. JedvajD
- 8J. BrownhillM
- 9Roger MartínezF
- 10Y. CarrascoM
- 12S. Al AnziD
- 17Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al ThaniD
- 29Y. AdliM
- 37A. MatuqM
- 49Ricardo MathiasF
- 55Ali Al BulayhiD
Substitutes
- 2Mohammed Al ShwirekhD
- 3M. BarryD
- 6Awad Al NashriM
- 21Dhari Al AnaziD
- 27Abdullah Al HawsawiD
- 33Mohammed Al MahasnehG
- 40Ali Al AsmariM
- 97Mourad KhodariF
- 99Hamad Al-KhorayefF
Al Taawon
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1MailsonG
- 5Z. BelaïdD
- 7Mohammed Al KuwaykibiM
- 8P. GuiagonM
- 9A. Hamed AllahF
- 10N. BajramiF
- 16Faris Al GhamdiM
- 18A. El MahdiouiM
- 32Muteb Al MufarrijD
- 40Ibrahim MahnashiD
- 88M. PetkovD
Substitutes
- 4Nasser Al HaleelD
- 6Mohammed Bassam Al HurayjiD
- 17Mohammed Al AqelF
- 23Rakan Al TulayhiM
- 30Abdullah Al JadaniG
- 45Mohammed Al SaediM
- 47Y. El BahraouiF
- 70A. HendiM
- 93Awn Al SaluliD
Al Shabab
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ricardo Mathias | F | 88 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2/3 |
| Y. Carrasco | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1/3 |
| A. Matuq | M | 63 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| T. Jedvaj | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Dhari Al Anazi | D | 26 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| S. Al Anzi | D | 64 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Adli | M | 88 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | — |
| M. Barry | D | 53 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Hawsawi | D | 27 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Awad Al Nashri | M | 2 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Asmari | M | 2 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Brownhill | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/4 |
| M. Diaw | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roger Martínez | F | 37 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Bulayhi | D | 33 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hamad Al-Khorayef | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Mahasneh | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Shwirekh | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mourad Khodari | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Taawon
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. El Mahdioui | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | — |
| P. Guiagon | M | 57 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Petkov | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| A. Hamed Allah | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/5 |
| Rakan Al Tulayhi | M | 33 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Muteb Al Mufarrij | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| N. Bajrami | F | 57 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Faris Al Ghamdi | M | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Al Aqel | F | 10 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Y. El Bahraoui | F | 33 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/3 |
| Ibrahim Mahnashi | D | 68 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi | M | 80 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| A. Hendi | M | 22 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mailson | G | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Belaïd | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Saedi | M | 22 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Awn Al Saluli | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nasser Al Haleel | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Jadani | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al Shabab vs Al Taawon?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al Shabab to win against Al Taawon.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al Shabab vs Al Taawon?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al Shabab 2–1 Al Taawon.
- What were the win probabilities for Al Shabab vs Al Taawon?
- Fipster's model gave Al Shabab a 56% chance of winning, Al Taawon a 22% chance, and a 22% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 56% confidence — a medium-confidence call.