Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh
Match recap
Al Shabab and Al Riyadh drew 3–3 in their Pro League fixture. Brownhill, Carrasco, and Borjan scored for Al Shabab; Trézéguet, Leandro Antunes, and Okou replied for Al Riyadh. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.87 for Al Shabab versus 1.21 for Al Riyadh. Al Shabab sit 11th in the Pro League table while Al Riyadh are 13th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 Al Shabab win
Actual
3–3
Outcome probability
This Saudi league fixture between Al Shabab and Al Riyadh promises an intriguing battle, with both sides eager to climb the table. Al Shabab will look to leverage their home advantage and attacking prowess to claim all three points.
Match factors
Carrasco's home form boosts Al Shabab attack
Carrasco's 3 goals and strong home scoring rate give Al Shabab a key attacking edge at home
Al Shabab's midfield creativity outpaces Al Riyadh
Brownhill and Adli's combined assists and passing accuracy surpass league averages, aiding Al Shabab's attack
Roger Martínez's recent away goals signal threat
Martínez scored 2 goals in last 5 away games, showing good form despite team's overall struggles
Al Riyadh's Okou and Trézéguet provide attacking options
Okou leads with 3 goals and Trézéguet adds 2, offering multiple scoring threats for away side
No confirmed injuries maintain full squad strength
Both teams have no confirmed outs, ensuring all key scorers and assisters are available
The context
Al Shabab currently sit 14th in the league with 4 points from 7 games, struggling to find consistent wins but showing resilience. Al Riyadh are slightly better placed at 11th with 9 points from 8 matches, offering a competitive challenge. Historically, Al Shabab have dominated recent head-to-heads, winning 5 of 7 encounters against Al Riyadh, who have yet to claim a victory in this fixture.
Key insights
Yannick Ferreira Carrasco
Al Shabab
Carrasco's 3 goals and strong home scoring rate give Al Shabab a key attacking edge at home.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 8 appearances, strong home form with 2 goals in last 5 home games
Joshua Brownhill
Al Shabab
Brownhill and Adli's combined assists and passing accuracy surpass league averages, aiding Al Shabab's attack.
Pro League 26/272 assists in 8 appearances, 88% passing accuracy
Roger Martínez
Al Riyadh
Martínez scored 2 goals in last 5 away games, showing good form despite team's overall struggles.
Pro League 26/272 goals in 7 appearances, 0.29 avg per game
Teddy Okou
Al Riyadh
Okou leads with 3 goals, offering a consistent scoring threat for the away side.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 8 appearances, consistent starter
Analysis
Al Shabab's attacking threat is spearheaded by Yannick Ferreira Carrasco, who boasts 3 goals this season and a strong home scoring record. Midfield creativity from Joshua Brownhill and Yacine Adli further bolsters their chances, with both players contributing assists and maintaining high passing accuracy. Al Riyadh counter with Teddy Okou and Trézéguet providing goal threats, but their overall form and away record suggest they may struggle to contain the home side's momentum.
Key facts
- 1.Al Shabab have won 5 of the last 7 meetings against Al Riyadh, who have yet to win in this fixture.
- 2.Al Shabab are 14th in the league with 4 points from 7 games (W0 D4 L3).
- 3.Al Riyadh are 11th with 9 points from 8 games (W2 D3 L3).
- 4.Yannick Ferreira Carrasco leads Al Shabab with 3 goals this season, showing strong home form.
- 5.Joshua Brownhill tops Al Shabab's assists with 2 in 8 games, contributing to midfield creativity.
- 6.Teddy Okou is Al Riyadh's top scorer with 3 goals this season.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 2-0, consistent with the expected final 2-1 result.
- 8.A total of 4 cards is anticipated, indicating a competitive but controlled match.
Prediction
We predict Al Shabab to take an early lead, reflecting a 2-0 halftime advantage, before holding on to a 2-1 victory by full time. This scoreline aligns with the most probable outcome based on current form and statistical probabilities, with a moderate number of cards expected to keep the game competitive but fair.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al Shabab
Away — Al Riyadh
The verdict
In summary, Al Shabab's home form and attacking edge should see them narrowly overcome Al Riyadh in this Saudi league fixture. Expect a lively encounter with goals and tactical battles, but ultimately a home win to add to Al Shabab's points tally.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:43 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Trézéguet
Assist: Leandro Antunes
Brownhill
Leandro Antunes
Assist: Abascal
Sultan Alessa
Yellow Card
Carrasco
Assist: Adli
Partey
Lekhal
Yellow Card
Okou
Assist: Trézéguet
Card upgrade
Keita
Red Card
Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani
Leandro Antunes
Borjan (OG)
Okou
Trézéguet
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 10 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 |  Al Shabab | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Al-Hazm | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Al Shabab
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3M. BarryD
- 4T. JedvajD
- 8J. BrownhillF
- 9Roger MartínezF
- 10Y. CarrascoM
- 17Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al ThaniD
- 18T. ParteyM
- 21Dhari Al AnaziD
- 22Hammam Al-HammamiM
- 29Y. AdliM
- 33Mohammed Al MahasnehG
Substitutes
- 5Ali MakkiD
- 6Awad Al NashriM
- 16Hussain Al SibyaniD
- 23Abdulaziz RahmaG
- 37A. Matuq
- 40Ali Al AsmariM
- 77Hisham Al DubaisF
- 99Hamad Al-KhorayefF
Al Riyadh
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 2Sultan AlessaD
- 6K. KeitaM
- 7TrézéguetF
- 10T. OkouM
- 12Sulaiman HazaziD
- 22V. LekhalM
- 26R. AbascalD
- 43B. MensahM
- 67Mohammed Al KhaibariD
- 77Leandro AntunesM
- 82M. BorjanG
Substitutes
- 5Hossam MajrashiD
- 11H. Al Ali
- 14Essam BahriD
- 16Faisal Al SobhiM
- 17Hussain Al-Raqwani
- 19A. M. MohammedM
- 29S. MatarM
- 79F. Al JayzaniM
- 97Emad FidaG
Al Shabab
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yannick Carrasco(C) | M | 90 | 10.0 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1/4 |
| Yacine Adli | M | 90 | 8.3 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 2/3 |
| Josh Brownhill | F | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Thomas Partey | M | 45 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Mamadou Barry | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Roger Martínez | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Hammam Al-Hammami | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/4 |
| Dhari Al-Enezi | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Mahasneh | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tin Jedvaj | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Al-Thani | D | 70 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Hamad Al-Khorayef | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hussain Al-Sebyani | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hisham Al-Dubais | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Makki | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al-Awairdhi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lazar Stojanović | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Awad Al-Nashri | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Asmari | M | 45 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Matuq | F | 20 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Al Riyadh
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mahmoud Trézéguet | F | 89 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Leandro Antunes | M | 79 | 7.9 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Milan Borjan(C) | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Abascal | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Teddy Okou | M | 86 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Bernard Mensah | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/5 |
| Mohammed Al-Khaibari | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Lekhal | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sulaiman Hahya Hazazi | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Sultan Alessa | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Kader Keïta | M | 61 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Faisal Al-Sobhi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salman Matar | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fahad Al Jayzani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hussain Al-Shurafa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hussain Al-Raqwani | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emad Fidaa | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hussam Majrashi | D | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hassan Hashim Al-Ali | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Essam Bahri | D | 11 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al Shabab to win against Al Riyadh.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al Shabab 2–1 Al Riyadh.
- What were the win probabilities for Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
- Fipster's model gave Al Shabab a 69% chance of winning, Al Riyadh a 15% chance, and a 16% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 69% confidence — a high-confidence call.