Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Match recap
Al-Hilal Saudi FC beat Al Shabab 2–0 in their Pro League fixture. Milinković-Savić and Rúben Neves scored for Al-Hilal Saudi FC. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.77 for Al Shabab versus 4.04 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC. Al Shabab sit 11th in the Pro League table while Al-Hilal Saudi FC are 1st.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC win
Actual
0–2
Outcome probability
This clash between Al Shabab and Al-Hilal Saudi FC promises a display of contrasting fortunes, with Al-Hilal's potent attack expected to outshine Al Shabab's efforts.
Match factors
Al-Hilal's potent attacking trio
Martinelli, Watkins, and Milinković-Savić combine high scoring and assist rates, posing a major threat
Al-Hilal's superior scoring form
Al-Hilal averages 3.25 goals per game vs Al Shabab's 1.13, indicating offensive dominance
Carrasco's consistent impact for Al Shabab
Carrasco has scored 3 goals in 8 games with strong home form, key to Al Shabab's attack
Rúben Neves' midfield control and creativity
Neves excels in passing and tackling, also contributing goals and assists, controlling midfield tempo
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups and tactical plans
The context
Al-Hilal Saudi FC currently top the league with 21 points from 8 games, boasting a strong goal difference of +24. In contrast, Al Shabab sit 14th with just 4 points from 7 matches. Historically, Al-Hilal have the upper hand, winning 12 of their 20 head-to-head encounters against Al Shabab.
Key insights
Gabriel Martinelli
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Top scorer for Al-Hilal with 4 goals in 4 games, showcasing excellent finishing and form away from home.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 4 appearances, 1.0 goals/game
Oliver Watkins
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Highly involved attacker with 4 goals and 4 assists in 5 games, providing both scoring and creative threat.
Pro League 26/274 goals and 4 assists in 5 appearances
Rúben Neves
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Midfield anchor with strong passing accuracy (87%) and defensive contributions, controlling the game's tempo.
Pro League 26/273 assists in 8 appearances, 87% passing accuracy
Yannick Ferreira Carrasco
Al Shabab
Key attacking outlet for Al Shabab with 3 goals in 8 games, showing consistent goal threat at home.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 8 appearances, 0.375 goals/game
Analysis
Al-Hilal's attacking trio, featuring Gabriel Martinelli and Oliver Watkins, have been in fine form, combining for multiple goals and assists this season. Martinelli alone has netted 4 goals in 4 appearances, while Watkins contributes both goals and assists at a high rate. Midfield maestro Rúben Neves controls the tempo with precise passing and defensive work. Al Shabab's Yannick Ferreira Carrasco offers some resistance with his 3 goals in 8 games, but the gulf in quality and form is evident.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Hilal Saudi FC lead the league with 21 points from 8 games.
- 2.Al Shabab are 14th with 4 points from 7 matches.
- 3.Al-Hilal have won 12 of 20 head-to-head matches against Al Shabab.
- 4.Al-Hilal's goal difference (+24) far exceeds Al Shabab's this season.
- 5.Gabriel Martinelli has scored 4 goals in 4 games for Al-Hilal.
- 6.Oliver Watkins has 4 goals and 4 assists in 5 games this season.
- 7.Yannick Ferreira Carrasco has 3 goals in 8 games for Al Shabab.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
Prediction
Expect Al-Hilal Saudi FC to assert their dominance with a 3-1 victory. The halftime scoreline of 0-2 reflects their early control, with Al Shabab managing a consolation goal later on. Discipline should be maintained with an anticipated total of 4 cards in the match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al Shabab
Away — Al-Hilal Saudi FC
The verdict
In summary, Al-Hilal's superior form, attacking firepower, and midfield control make them clear favourites to claim all three points. Al Shabab will need to tighten up defensively and find more attacking inspiration to challenge this prediction.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:27 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani
Yellow Card
Podence
Milinković-Savić
Assist: Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari
Ali Al Asmari
Sultan Mandash
Hassan Tambakti
Hassan Tambakti
Yellow Card
Rúben Neves
Penalty
Moteb Al Harbi
Summerville
Watkins
Barry
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 10 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 |  Al Shabab | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Al-Hazm | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
Match Statistics
Al Shabab
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1M. DiawG
- 3M. BarryD
- 4T. JedvajD
- 8J. BrownhillM
- 9Roger MartínezF
- 10Y. CarrascoM
- 11Daniel PodenceF
- 17Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al ThaniD
- 22Hammam Al-HammamiM
- 29Y. AdliM
- 40Ali Al AsmariD
Substitutes
- 2Mohammed Al ShwirekhD
- 6Awad Al NashriM
- 24Abdulrahman Al ObudF
- 33Mohammed Al MahasnehG
- 37A. Matuq
- 74Abdulaziz HadhoodF
- 77Hisham Al DubaisF
- 94Mubarak Al RajehD
- 99Hamad Al-KhorayefF
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2Mohammed Mater Mohsin MahzariD
- 3K. KoulibalyD
- 8Rúben NevesM
- 11O. WatkinsF
- 22S. Milinković-SavićM
- 24Moteb Al HarbiD
- 27Sultan MandashF
- 28Mohamed KannoM
- 37Y. BounouG
- 38C. SummervilleM
- 87Hassan TambaktiD
Substitutes
- 6Nasser Al DawsariM
- 7Gabriel MartinelliF
- 18Murad Al HawsawiM
- 33Mohammed Al OwaisG
- 44Saad Al Mutairi
- 55M. Al DawoodD
- 72S. DahalF
- 75M. MeïtéF
- 77Nawaf Al HabashiD
Al Shabab
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mory Diaw | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yacine Adli | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Mamadou Barry | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Yannick Carrasco(C) | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3/5 |
| Josh Brownhill | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Podence | F | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Tin Jedvaj | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Thani | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Roger Martínez | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Hammam Al-Hammami | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/5 |
| Ali Al Asmari | D | 63 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Awad Al-Nashri | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Mahasneh | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hamad Al-Khorayef | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Shwirekh | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mubarak Al-Rajeh | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hisham Al-Dubais | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Hadhood | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Alobud | F | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abdullah Matuq | F | 27 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rúben Neves | M | 90 | 8.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1/1 |
| Sergej Milinković-Savić | M | 90 | 8.3 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1/4 |
| Mohammed Mahzari | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| Crysencio Summerville | M | 88 | 7.5 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Yassine Bounou | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kalidou Koulibaly | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Sultan Mandash | F | 68 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Mohamed Kanno(C) | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Hassan Tambakti | D | 76 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Moteb Al-Harbi | D | 88 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Ollie Watkins | F | 88 | 5.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Nawaf Al-Habashi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Owais | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saad Al Mutairy | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meshal Al Dawood | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sabri Abdu Dahal | F | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Murad Al Hawsawi | M | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Kader Meite | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nasser Al-Dawsari | M | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Gabriel Martinelli | F | 22 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win against Al Shabab.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al Shabab 1–3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Al Shabab vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
- Fipster's model gave Al Shabab a 2% chance of winning, Al-Hilal Saudi FC a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.