Al Riyadh vs NEOM
Match recap
Al Riyadh beat NEOM 1–0 in their Pro League fixture. Okou scored for Al Riyadh. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.81 for Al Riyadh versus 0.88 for NEOM. Al Riyadh sit 13th in the Pro League table while NEOM are 6th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
0-1 NEOM win
Actual
1–0
Outcome probability
As the Saudi Pro League season progresses, NEOM and Al Riyadh face off in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams have shown glimpses of quality, but NEOM's recent form and attacking prowess give them the slight edge in this fixture.
Match factors
NEOM's potent attack led by Lacazette
Alexandre Lacazette leads NEOM with 5 goals in 8 games, providing a clear scoring threat in their favored 4-4-2 formation
Al Riyadh's top scorer Okou shows consistency
Teddy Okou has scored 3 goals in 8 appearances and scored in the last meeting against NEOM, indicating scoring potential despite team struggles
NEOM's midfield creativity from Koné and Camara
Amadou Koné and Haroune Camara have combined for multiple goals and assists recently, boosting NEOM's attacking momentum
Al Riyadh's Abascal key in defense and attack
Rodrigo Abascal contributes defensively and offensively with goals and assists, vital for Al Riyadh's balance
NEOM's defensive passing superiority
NEOM defenders like N. Zézé and M. Sarr have high passing accuracy and volume, aiding in controlling possession and build-up
The context
This match is part of the Regular Season - 4 round in the Saudi Pro League. NEOM currently sit 5th with 16 points from 8 games, boasting a superior goal difference and points-per-game ratio compared to Al Riyadh, who are 11th with 9 points from 8 games. Historically, NEOM have won both previous head-to-head meetings against Al Riyadh, adding a psychological advantage.
Key insights
Alexandre Lacazette
NEOM
Lacazette leads NEOM's attack with 5 goals in 8 games, making him a constant threat in their 4-4-2 setup.
Pro League 26/275 goals in 8 apps, 0.625 goals/game
Teddy Okou
Al Riyadh
Okou is Al Riyadh's top scorer with 3 goals, including one in the last meeting against NEOM, showing his knack for important strikes.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 8 apps, 0.375 goals/game
Amadou Koné
NEOM
Koné contributes significantly from midfield with 4 goals, adding to NEOM's offensive creativity and goal threat.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 8 apps, 0.5 goals/game
- R
Rodrigo Abascal Barros
Al Riyadh
Abascal is key for Al Riyadh both defensively and offensively, providing balance with goals and assists.
Pro League 26/271 goal and assists in current season
Analysis
NEOM's attack, spearheaded by Alexandre Lacazette with 5 goals in 8 games, is their main threat, supported by creative midfielders like Amadou Koné and Haroune Camara. Al Riyadh rely heavily on Teddy Okou, their top scorer with 3 goals, including one in their last meeting. NEOM's defensive solidity and superior passing from defenders like N. Zézé help them control possession and limit Al Riyadh's chances. The predicted 0-0 halftime score reflects a tight first half, with NEOM likely to break the deadlock in the second half.
Key facts
- 1.NEOM lead the head-to-head with 2 wins from 2 matches against Al Riyadh.
- 2.NEOM are 5th in the league with 16 points from 8 games; Al Riyadh are 11th with 9 points.
- 3.Alexandre Lacazette is NEOM's top scorer with 5 goals in 8 games.
- 4.Teddy Okou is Al Riyadh's leading scorer with 3 goals in 8 games.
- 5.NEOM have a significantly better goal difference (+15) than Al Riyadh this season.
- 6.NEOM average 2.00 points per game compared to Al Riyadh's 1.13.
- 7.The predicted final score is a narrow 1-0 win for NEOM after a goalless first half.
- 8.Four cards are expected in this competitive fixture.
Prediction
We expect NEOM to edge out Al Riyadh with a narrow 1-0 victory. The match should remain tight throughout, with the decisive goal coming after the break. Four cards are anticipated, indicating a competitive and physical contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al Riyadh
Away — NEOM
The verdict
In summary, NEOM's consistent form and attacking threats make them favourites to claim all three points in this encounter. Al Riyadh will need to tighten their defence and find a way to unlock NEOM's backline if they are to avoid defeat.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:41 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Lekhal
Yellow Card
Haroune Camara
Yellow Card
Al Jayzani
Yellow Card
Al Jayzani
Card reviewed
Mensah
Yellow Card
Okou
Islam Hawsawi
Khalifah Al Dawsari
Trézéguet
Haroune Camara
Okou
Khalil Al Absi
Unknown
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 12 |  Al-Hazm | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Al Riyadh
4-5-1Starting XI
- 2Sultan AlessaD
- 7TrézéguetF
- 10T. OkouM
- 12Sulaiman HazaziD
- 22V. LekhalM
- 26R. AbascalD
- 43B. MensahM
- 67Mohammed Al KhaibariD
- 77Leandro AntunesM
- 79F. Al JayzaniM
- 82M. BorjanG
Substitutes
- 5Hossam MajrashiD
- 11H. Al Ali
- 14Essam BahriD
- 16Faisal Al SobhiM
- 17Hussain Al-Raqwani
- 19A. M. MohammedM
- 29S. MatarM
- 87Marzouq TambaktiD
- 97Emad FidaG
NEOM
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1M. BułkaG
- 4Khalifah Al DawsariD
- 5M. SarrD
- 7G. MasourasM
- 14Khalil Al AbsiM
- 18Ala Al Haji
- 27Islam HawsawiD
- 44N. ZézéD
- 70Haroune CamaraF
- 72A. KonéM
- 91A. LacazetteF
Substitutes
- 8Faisal Al GhamdiM
- 15Abdulmalik Al OyayariD
- 19Mohannad Abu TahaD
- 22A. Al AnziF
- 38M. Al DawsariD
- 55Muhammad Al DosariD
- 75Khalid Al RammahD
- 77Muhannad Al SaadF
- 81Luís MaximianoG
Al Riyadh
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Teddy Okou | M | 82 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/5 |
| Sulaiman Hahya Hazazi | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Victor Lekhal | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Milan Borjan(C) | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Khaibari | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rodrigo Abascal | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Leandro Antunes | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Sultan Alessa | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Mahmoud Trézéguet | F | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Bernard Mensah | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Fahad Al Jayzani | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Hussain Al-Raqwani | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Essam Bahri | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faisal Al-Sobhi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hussam Majrashi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emad Fidaa | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salman Matar | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hassan Hashim Al-Ali | F | 45 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Marzouq Tambakti | D | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hussain Al-Shurafa | M | 21 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
NEOM
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Zeze | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Malang Sarr | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Marcin Bułka | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ala'a Al-Hejji | M | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Alexandre Lacazette(C) | F | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1/2 |
| Khalil Al-Absi | M | 83 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| Amadou Koné | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Giorgos Masouras | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Haroune Camara | F | 74 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Khalifah Al-Dawsari | D | 65 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Islam Ahmed Hawsawi | D | 65 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mohammed Al Dossari | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al Rammah | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Dakhil Al-Dawsari | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Luís Maximiano | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhannad Al Saad | F | 16 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Abdulmalik Al Oyayari | D | 25 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohannad Abu Taha | D | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Ahmed Al-Anzi | F | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faisal Al-Ghamdi | M | 14 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al Riyadh vs NEOM?
- Fipster's AI model predicted NEOM to win against Al Riyadh.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al Riyadh vs NEOM?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al Riyadh 0–1 NEOM.
- What were the win probabilities for Al Riyadh vs NEOM?
- Fipster's model gave Al Riyadh a 22% chance of winning, NEOM a 55% chance, and a 23% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 55% confidence — a medium-confidence call.