Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon
Al Riyadh edge past Al Taawon in tight contest
Okou and Mensah secure a narrow home victory despite a late reply.
Al Riyadh claimed a 2-1 win over Al Taawon in the Pro League, with T. Okou opening the scoring before B. Mensah doubled the lead after the break. N. Bajrami pulled one back for Al Taawon shortly after, but it wasn't enough to prevent the home side from taking all three points. Fipster's prediction of a home win was spot on, though the actual scoreline was a bit closer than the forecasted 2-0.
Outcome probability
Al Riyadh and Al Taawon face off in a league stage match where the home side looks poised to extend their points tally. Both teams have had their moments this season, but recent form and defensive strength suggest a clear favourite.
Match factors
Al Riyadh's strong home defensive form
Al Riyadh has kept 2 clean sheets in last 3 home games, supporting predicted 2-0 win
Al Riyadh's midfield passing dominance
V. Lekhal's high passing volume and accuracy can control midfield and supply attacks
Al Taawon struggles to score away
Al Taawon has scored only 0.8 goals per away game with 70% failed to score rate away
Al Taawon relies heavily on Hamed Allah for goals
Hamed Allah scored 3 of team's 4 goals this season, focal point of attack
Al Riyadh's defensive stalwarts key to shutout
Defenders like Sulaiman Hazazi excel in tackles and interceptions, crucial to keep clean sheet
The context
This fixture is part of the regular season's 11th round in the league. Al Riyadh currently sit 12th with 9 points from 8 games, while Al Taawon are struggling near the bottom at 17th with just 4 points from 9 matches. The head-to-head record is balanced with two wins apiece and two draws from six meetings, making this a contest with some history but recent form tips the scales.
Key insights
- V
V. Lekhal
Al Riyadh
Controls midfield with high passing accuracy (86%) and volume (42 passes/game), crucial for supplying attacks.
Pro League 26/277 appearances, 609 minutes, 86% passing accuracy
- S
Sulaiman Hazazi
Al Riyadh
Defensive stalwart with 17 tackles and 6 interceptions in 8 games, key to maintaining clean sheets.
Pro League 26/2717 tackles, 6 interceptions, 57% duel win rate
Abderrazzaq Hamed Allah
Al Taawon
Main attacking threat, scoring 3 of the team’s 4 goals this season, vital for any hope of scoring.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 7 appearances, 0.43 goals per game
Analysis
Al Riyadh's defensive resilience at home is notable, having kept two clean sheets in their last three home games. Their midfield, led by V. Lekhal, boasts high passing accuracy and volume, enabling control and supply to the forwards. Al Taawon, on the other hand, have struggled to find the net away from home, scoring less than a goal per away game and failing to score in 70% of those matches. Their attacking hopes rest heavily on Abderrazzaq Hamed Allah, who has netted three of the team's four goals this season. However, Al Riyadh's defensive stalwarts, including Sulaiman Hazazi, are expected to limit his impact effectively.
Key facts
- 1.Al Riyadh and Al Taawon have each won 2 of their 6 head-to-head matches, with 2 draws.
- 2.Average goals per head-to-head match is 2.5, with Al Riyadh scoring 7 and Al Taawon 8 in total.
- 3.Al Riyadh are 12th in the league with 9 points from 8 games (W2 D3 L3).
- 4.Al Taawon are 17th with 4 points from 9 games (W0 D4 L5).
- 5.Al Riyadh have a points-per-game advantage of 1.13 compared to Al Taawon’s 0.44.
- 6.Al Riyadh have kept 2 clean sheets in their last 3 home matches.
- 7.Al Taawon have failed to score in 70% of their away games this season.
- 8.Abderrazzaq Hamed Allah is Al Taawon’s top scorer with 3 goals in 7 appearances.
Prediction
The prediction is a 2-0 victory for Al Riyadh, with a halftime lead of 1-0. The home side's superior points per game and defensive form suggest they will control the match and keep a clean sheet. Al Taawon’s scoring difficulties away from home further support this outcome.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al Riyadh
No standout top scorers flagged for Al Riyadh
Away — Al Taawon
The verdict
In summary, Al Riyadh's combination of midfield control and defensive solidity should see them comfortably overcome Al Taawon. Expect a steady first half with a goal to the hosts, followed by a second-half strike to seal the win and maintain their upward momentum in the league.
Prediction generated 20 Oct 2026, 17:12 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji
Yellow Card
M. Mohammed
Okou
Assist: Mensah
Goal cancelled
Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji
Dahal
Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi
Guiagon
Al Haleel
Mensah
Bajrami
Okou
Ibrahim Mahnashi
Yellow Card
Faris Al Ghamdi
Match Statistics
Al Riyadh
4-3-3Starting XI
- 5Hossam MajrashiD
- 6K. KeitaM
- 7TrézéguetF
- 10T. OkouF
- 19A. M. MohammedF
- 22V. LekhalM
- 23Hussain QasimD
- 26R. AbascalD
- 32Awad DahalD
- 43B. MensahM
- 82M. BorjanG
Substitutes
- 3Y. M. Al MusaD
- 11H. Al AliF
- 12Sulaiman HazaziD
- 13Osama Al BowardiD
- 17Hussain Al-RaqwaniF
- 20Battal Al HarthiF
- 28J. PetekG
- 79F. Al JayzaniM
Al Taawon
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1MailsonG
- 4Nasser Al HaleelD
- 5Z. BelaïdD
- 6Mohammed Bassam Al HurayjiD
- 7Mohammed Al KuwaykibiM
- 8P. GuiagonM
- 9A. Hamed AllahF
- 16Faris Al GhamdiM
- 18A. El MahdiouiM
- 40Ibrahim MahnashiD
- 88M. PetkovD
Substitutes
- 10N. BajramiM
- 17Mohammed Al AqelF
- 23Rakan Al TulayhiM
- 30Abdullah Al JadaniG
- 45Mohammed Al SaediM
- 47Y. El BahraouiF
- 93Awn Al SaluliD
Al Riyadh
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Mensah | M | 90 | 9.0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 1/2 |
| T. Okou | F | 86 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| R. Abascal | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Hussain Qasim | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Hossam Majrashi | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Osama Al Bowardi | D | 4 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Keita | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. M. Al Harthi | F | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Borjan | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Awad Dahal | D | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Al Ali | F | 73 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| V. Lekhal | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| F. Al Jayzani | M | 22 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Trézéguet | F | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Y. M. Al Musa | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sulaiman Hazazi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Petek | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hussain Al-Raqwani | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Battal Al Harthi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Taawon
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. El Mahdioui | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Mailson | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Petkov | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Ibrahim Mahnashi | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Z. Belaïd | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| N. Bajrami | M | 18 | 6.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Nasser Al Haleel | D | 72 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Faris Al Ghamdi | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi | M | 72 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/4 |
| A. Hamed Allah | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Y. El Bahraoui | F | 44 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Saedi | M | 18 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rakan Al Tulayhi | M | 18 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji | D | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| P. Guiagon | M | 72 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Awn Al Saluli | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Aqel | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Jadani | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al Riyadh to win against Al Taawon.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al Riyadh 2–0 Al Taawon.
- What were the win probabilities for Al Riyadh vs Al Taawon?
- Fipster's model gave Al Riyadh a 91% chance of winning, Al Taawon a 4% chance, and a 5% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 91% confidence — a high-confidence call.