Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC

Pro LeagueMatchweek 12
Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium, Riyadh · 28,000 cap
Fipster Pick
Away Winhigh

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This Saudi Professional League clash sees Al Riyadh face off against Al-Qadisiyah FC in the 12th round of the regular season. Both teams have had contrasting fortunes so far, setting the stage for an intriguing encounter.

FıpsterPredicted Scoreline
Pre-Match
1–2
Half-time0–1
Al-Qadisiyah FC Win
HIGH
Confidence
Al Riyadh 8%Draw 9%Al-Qadisiyah FC 83%

The context

Al-Qadisiyah FC currently sit third in the league with 25 points from 11 games, showcasing a potent attack and solid defence. In contrast, Al Riyadh find themselves 13th with 9 points from 9 matches, struggling to find consistency. Historically, Al-Qadisiyah have the upper hand, winning four of their six meetings against Al Riyadh.

Match factors

Statistical Edgehigh

Al-Qadisiyah's superior scoring form

Al-Qadisiyah averages 2.36 goals per game vs Al Riyadh's 1.1, indicating stronger attack

Tactical Advantagehigh

Al-Qadisiyah's midfield creativity

Mohammed Abu Al Shamat's dual role as top assister and tackler gives midfield control

Form Momentumhigh

Mateo Retegui's hot streak

Retegui scored 5 goals in last 5 games, boosting Al-Qadisiyah's attack confidence

Tactical Advantagemedium

Al Riyadh's defensive stalwart Sultan Alessa

Alessa's tackling and interceptions are key to disrupting Al-Qadisiyah's attack

Injury Impacthigh

No confirmed injuries for either team

Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from absences

Analysis

Al-Qadisiyah's superior goal difference (+14 compared to Al Riyadh's -9) highlights their stronger offensive and defensive capabilities. Mateo Retegui leads the charge with six goals this season, including five in his last five games, making him a constant threat. Midfielder Mohammed Abu Al Shamat adds creativity and defensive grit, topping both assists and tackles for his side. Meanwhile, Al Riyadh's Sultan Alessa offers defensive resilience but may struggle to contain Al-Qadisiyah's attacking flair.

Prediction

The prediction favours an away win for Al-Qadisiyah FC with a 2-1 scoreline. The most likely halftime score is 0-1, reflecting Al-Qadisiyah's tendency to start strong on the road. Given their current form and historical edge, Al-Qadisiyah are expected to maintain their momentum and secure the three points.

Key facts

  1. 1.Al-Qadisiyah FC have won 4 of 6 matches against Al Riyadh.
  2. 2.Al-Qadisiyah FC are 3rd in the league with 25 points from 11 games.
  3. 3.Al Riyadh are 13th with 9 points from 9 games.
  4. 4.Al-Qadisiyah FC have a goal difference of +14; Al Riyadh have -9.
  5. 5.Mateo Retegui has scored 6 goals this season, including 5 in his last 5 games.
  6. 6.Mohammed Abu Al Shamat leads Al-Qadisiyah with 4 assists and 30 tackles.
  7. 7.Sultan Alessa is Al Riyadh's top tackler with 17 tackles in 8 games.
  8. 8.No confirmed injuries for either team.

The verdict

Expect a competitive match with Al-Qadisiyah FC's attacking prowess ultimately proving decisive. Al Riyadh will need to tighten up defensively and find a way to contain Mateo Retegui if they are to avoid defeat. However, the visitors' blend of form and tactical strength should see them through to a narrow victory.

Player Insights

Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists

Home — Al Riyadh

No standout top scorers flagged for Al Riyadh

Away — Al-Qadisiyah FC

Mateo Retegui

Mateo Retegui

Attacker

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Total Goals
6
League avg: 0.47
10 played
9 starts
739 mins
~74 mins/game
Tijjani Reijnders

Tijjani Reijnders

Midfielder

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Total Goals
5
League avg: 0.47
8 played
7 starts
653 mins
~82 mins/game
J. Quiñones

J. Quiñones

Attacker

Al-Qadisiyah FC

Total Goals
4
League avg: 0.47
9 played
9 starts
810 mins
~90 mins/game

Prediction generated 24 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165

Prediction Q&A

Who does Fipster predict will win Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Fipster's AI model predicts Al-Qadisiyah FC to win against Al Riyadh.
What is the predicted score for Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Fipster predicts a final score of Al Riyadh 1–2 Al-Qadisiyah FC.
What are the win probabilities for Al Riyadh vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
Fipster's model gives Al Riyadh a 8% chance of winning, Al-Qadisiyah FC a 83% chance, and a 9% chance of a draw.
How confident is Fipster in this prediction?
Fipster's model assigns this prediction 83% confidence — a high-confidence call.