Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr
Match recap
Al-Nassr beat Al Riyadh 4–0 in their Pro League fixture. Abdulelah Al Amri, Ângelo, Félix, and Cristiano Ronaldo scored for Al-Nassr. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.59 for Al Riyadh versus 2.02 for Al-Nassr. Al Riyadh sit 13th in the Pro League table while Al-Nassr are 2nd.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-2 Al-Nassr win
Actual
0–4
Outcome probability
This Saudi Pro League encounter sees Al Riyadh face off against Al-Nassr, with both teams eager to climb the standings early in the season. Al-Nassr come into this match with a solid points tally and a superior goal difference, setting the stage for a competitive clash.
Match factors
Al-Nassr's superior scoring rate
Al-Nassr averages 2.38 goals per game vs Al Riyadh's 1.1, indicating offensive dominance.
Al-Nassr's 5-game scoring streak
Al-Nassr has scored in each of their last 5 matches, showing consistent offensive form.
No confirmed absences for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so predicted lineups should be at full strength.
Rodrigo Abascal's dual threat from defense
Abascal contributes both defensively and offensively with tackles, interceptions, and goal involvements.
The context
Al Riyadh currently sit 11th in the league with 9 points from 8 games, showing a mixed bag of results. Meanwhile, Al-Nassr hold a more comfortable 3rd place with 19 points from the same number of matches, boasting a significantly better goal difference and points-per-game ratio. Historically, Al-Nassr have dominated recent meetings, winning 5 of the last 6 encounters against Al Riyadh.
Key insights
Cristiano Ronaldo
Al-Nassr
Top scorer for Al-Nassr with 4 goals in 7 games, providing a key attacking threat.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 7 appearances, 73.3 avg mins/game
João Félix
Al-Nassr
Creative midfielder with 3 goals and 3 assists in 7 games, influencing play significantly.
Pro League 26/273 goals and 3 assists in 7 appearances, 84.1 avg mins/game
T. Okou
Al Riyadh
Leading scorer for Al Riyadh with 3 goals in 8 games, important for their offensive hopes.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 8 appearances, 82.8 avg mins/game
- N
Nawaf Boushal
Al-Nassr
Key defensive midfielder leading team in tackles and interceptions, disrupting opposition play.
Pro League 26/2719 tackles and 14 interceptions in 8 games
Analysis
Al-Nassr's attacking prowess is evident, averaging 2.38 goals per game compared to Al Riyadh's 1.13. Their consistent scoring streak over the last five matches highlights their offensive momentum. Key players like Cristiano Ronaldo, who leads Al-Nassr with 4 goals in 7 appearances, and João Félix, contributing both goals and assists, provide a creative edge. Al Riyadh's top scorer, T. Okou, has 3 goals but faces a tough defensive challenge. The midfield battle will be crucial, with Al-Nassr's Nawaf Boushal leading in tackles and interceptions, aiming to disrupt Al Riyadh's rhythm.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Nassr are 3rd in the league with 19 points from 8 games (W6 D1 L1).
- 2.Al Riyadh are 11th with 9 points from 8 games (W2 D3 L3).
- 3.Al-Nassr have a goal difference of +20, significantly better than Al Riyadh.
- 4.In 6 recent head-to-head matches, Al-Nassr have won 5, Al Riyadh none.
- 5.Al-Nassr average 2.38 goals per game compared to Al Riyadh's 1.13.
- 6.Cristiano Ronaldo is Al-Nassr's top scorer with 4 goals in 7 games.
- 7.Al-Nassr have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
Prediction
The prediction favours an away win for Al-Nassr with a final score of 2-1. The halftime scoreline is expected to be 0-2, reflecting Al-Nassr's ability to establish an early lead and manage the game effectively thereafter. While Al Riyadh may pull one back, the visitors' superior form and goal-scoring capability should see them through.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al Riyadh
Away — Al-Nassr
The verdict
In summary, Al-Nassr's consistent offensive threat and defensive solidity make them the favourites to claim all three points. Al Riyadh will need to tighten up defensively and find a way to break down a well-organised Al-Nassr side if they are to avoid defeat in this encounter.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:55 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Abdulelah Al Amri
Assist: Ângelo
Ângelo
Félix
Sulaiman Hazazi
Okou
Abdullah Al Hamdan
Mané
Abdullah Al Khaibari
Abdulelah Al Amri
Al Jayzani
Cristiano Ronaldo
Assist: Ayman Yahya
Leandro Antunes
Hossam Majrashi
Félix
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 12 |  Al-Hazm | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
Match Statistics
Al Riyadh
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 2Sultan AlessaD
- 5Hossam MajrashiD
- 6K. KeitaM
- 7TrézéguetM
- 10T. OkouM
- 12Sulaiman HazaziD
- 43B. MensahM
- 67Mohammed Al KhaibariD
- 77Leandro AntunesF
- 79F. Al JayzaniM
- 82M. BorjanG
Substitutes
- 11H. Al Ali
- 14Essam BahriD
- 16Faisal Al SobhiM
- 17Hussain Al-Raqwani
- 19A. M. MohammedM
- 24A. Al TaleM
- 29S. MatarM
- 97Emad FidaG
Al-Nassr
4-4-2Starting XI
- 5Abdulelah Al AmriD
- 9Abdullah Al HamdanF
- 10S. ManéM
- 12Nawaf BoushalD
- 17Abdullah Al KhaibariM
- 20ÂngeloM
- 21K. ComanM
- 24BentoG
- 26Íñigo MartínezD
- 79João FélixF
- 83Salem Al NajdiD
Substitutes
- 4Nader Al SharariD
- 7Cristiano RonaldoF
- 14Sami Al NajiM
- 18Abdulmalik Al-JaberM
- 19Ali Al HassanM
- 23Ayman YahyaM
- 53A. Al OtaibiG
- 60Saad HaqawiF
- 70Awad AmanD
Al Riyadh
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bernard Mensah | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/4 |
| Kader Keïta | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Leandro Antunes | F | 83 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Teddy Okou | M | 62 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Fahad Al Jayzani | M | 76 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Hussam Majrashi | D | 83 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Khaibari | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mahmoud Trézéguet | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/4 |
| Sulaiman Hahya Hazazi | D | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Milan Borjan(C) | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Alessa | D | 90 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Hussain Al-Shurafa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emad Fidaa | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulilah Al Tale | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salman Matar | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hassan Hashim Al-Ali | F | 14 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Hussain Al-Raqwani | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Cheikh Fall | M | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Faisal Al-Sobhi | M | 9 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Essam Bahri | D | 28 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
Al-Nassr
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdulelah Al-Amri(C) | D | 75 | 8.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| João Félix | F | 85 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Nawaf Boushal | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Kingsley Coman | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Ângelo | M | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Salem Alnajdi | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Iñigo Martínez | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Abdullah Al-Khaibari | M | 75 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Sadio Mané | M | 75 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Bento | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al-Hamdan | F | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Abdulmalik Al-Jaber | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sami Al Naji | M | 5 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Awad Aman | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saad Haqawi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al-Otaibi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | F | 28 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Ayman Yahya | M | 15 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | — |
| Nader Al Sharari | D | 15 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al-Hassan | M | 15 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Nassr to win against Al Riyadh.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al Riyadh 1–2 Al-Nassr.
- What were the win probabilities for Al Riyadh vs Al-Nassr?
- Fipster's model gave Al Riyadh a 27% chance of winning, Al-Nassr a 45% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 45% confidence — a medium-confidence call.