Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ittihad FC
Match recap
Al-Ittihad FC beat Al-Qadisiyah FC 1–0 in their Pro League fixture. Ilenikhena scored for Al-Ittihad FC. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.61 for Al-Qadisiyah FC versus 0.28 for Al-Ittihad FC. Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 3rd in the Pro League table while Al-Ittihad FC are 4th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-3 Al-Qadisiyah FC win
Actual
0–1
Outcome probability
The upcoming fixture between Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ittihad FC promises an exciting battle, with both sides showing strong form in the league. Fans can expect a match filled with attacking intent and plenty of goals.
Match factors
Al-Qadisiyah's attacking midfield dominance
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat's high assist rate and defensive work gives home team control in midfield
Retegui's consistent goal scoring form
Mateo Retegui has scored 5 goals in 8 games, outperforming league average for attackers
En-Nesyri's strong recent scoring
Youssef En-Nesyri scored 4 goals in last 5 matches, showing good form for away team
Bergwijn's pace and scoring threat
Steven Bergwijn's 5 goals and pace create a tactical mismatch against home defense
Al-Qadisiyah's superior home scoring rate
Home team averages 2.3 goals per game at home, higher than league average, supporting predicted win
The context
Al-Qadisiyah FC currently sit 2nd in the league with 19 points from 8 games, boasting a superior goal difference of +13. Al-Ittihad FC are close behind in 4th place with 17 points and a +5 goal difference. Historically, Al-Ittihad have the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, winning 7 of 13 matches against Al-Qadisiyah, who have won 3 and drawn 3.
Key insights
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Al-Qadisiyah FC
His 4 assists and strong defensive work give Al-Qadisiyah control in midfield, crucial for creating chances.
Pro League 26/274 assists in 8 appearances, 0.5 avg per game
Mateo Retegui
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Top scorer with 5 goals in 8 games, showing consistent form and a key goal threat at home.
Pro League 26/275 goals in 8 appearances, 0.625 avg per game
Youssef En-Nesyri
Al-Ittihad FC
Strong recent form with 4 goals in last 5 matches, providing a significant scoring threat for the visitors.
Pro League 26/275 goals in 8 appearances, 0.625 avg per game
Steven Bergwijn
Al-Ittihad FC
His pace and 5 goals this season create tactical problems for Al-Qadisiyah's defence.
Pro League 26/275 goals in 8 appearances, 0.625 avg per game
Analysis
Al-Qadisiyah's attacking midfield, led by Mohammed Abu Al Shamat with 4 assists this season, provides them with control and creativity. Mateo Retegui, their top scorer with 5 goals in 8 games, is in fine form and a key threat. Meanwhile, Al-Ittihad's Youssef En-Nesyri has been prolific recently, scoring 4 goals in his last 5 matches. Steven Bergwijn's pace and goal threat add to their attacking options. Both teams have shown strong offensive capabilities, setting the stage for a high-scoring encounter.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Qadisiyah FC are 2nd in the league with 19 points from 8 games (W6 D1 L1).
- 2.Al-Ittihad FC are 4th with 17 points from 8 games (W5 D2 L1).
- 3.Al-Qadisiyah FC have a better goal difference (+13) than Al-Ittihad FC (+5).
- 4.In 13 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad FC have won 7, Al-Qadisiyah FC 3, with 3 draws.
- 5.Mateo Retegui leads Al-Qadisiyah with 5 goals in 8 games.
- 6.Mohammed Abu Al Shamat has provided 4 assists for Al-Qadisiyah this season.
- 7.Youssef En-Nesyri has scored 5 goals for Al-Ittihad, including 4 in the last 5 games.
Prediction
Despite Al-Ittihad's historical edge and recent form, the prediction leans towards a home win for Al-Qadisiyah FC in a thrilling 4-3 scoreline. The home side's superior goal difference and midfield dominance could be decisive in this closely matched contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Qadisiyah FC
Away — Al-Ittihad FC
The verdict
Expect a nail-biting match with end-to-end action and plenty of goals. Al-Qadisiyah FC's attacking prowess and home advantage should just see them through in what promises to be a memorable fixture.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:54 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal cancelled
Lopy
Yellow Card
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Yellow Card
Ilenikhena
Assist: Bergwijn
Kaabi
Lopy
Yellow Card
Lopy
Red Card
Otávio
Bergwijn
Ilenikhena
Abdullatif Ahm
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Musab Al Juwayr
Retegui
En-Nesyri
Hassan Kadesh
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
Match Statistics
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3-1-4-2Starting XI
- 2Mohammed Abu Al ShamatM
- 4Jehad Abdullatif AhmD
- 5J. WeiglM
- 6NachoD
- 10Musab Al JuwayrM
- 17G. ÁlvarezD
- 22C. Bonsu BaahM
- 25OtávioM
- 28Ahmed Al KassarG
- 32M. ReteguiF
- 33J. QuiñonesF
Substitutes
- 7Turki Al AmmarM
- 9Abdullah Al SalemF
- 12Yasir Al ShahraniD
- 14T. ReijndersM
- 15Mohammed Al Qahtani
- 27E. HoussaM
- 40Ibrahim MahnashiM
- 50Meshari SunyurG
- 90Amar Al YuhaybiM
Al-Ittihad FC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1P. RajkovićG
- 3S. KellerD
- 4J. ŠimićD
- 9G. IlenikhenaF
- 10H. AouarM
- 15Hassan KadeshD
- 21Y. En-NesyriF
- 25F. AbdiD
- 30D. LopyM
- 34S. BergwijnM
- 60Rakan KaabiM
Substitutes
- 8Mukhtar AliM
- 11Saleh Al ShehriF
- 22Marwan Al SahafiF
- 27Ahmed Al GhamdiF
- 29Farhah Al ShamraniM
- 32Ahmed Al JulaydanD
- 42Muath FaqeehiD
- 50Mohammed Al AbsiG
- 66Mohammed BarnawiD
Al-Qadisiyah FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musab Al Juwayr | M | 79 | 7.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2/2 |
| Christopher Baah | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 6/6 |
| Julian Weigl | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Nacho Fernández(C) | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat | M | 79 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Otávio | M | 57 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Jehad Thakri | D | 71 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Gastón Álvarez | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Mateo Retegui | F | 80 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Ahmed Al-Kassar | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julián Quiñones | F | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mshari Sanyoor | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amar Hamed Al Yuhaybi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yasser Al-Shahrani | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Mahnashi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani | F | 19 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Tijjani Reijnders | M | 33 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Turki Alammar | M | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Eyad Houssa | M | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Abdullah Al-Salem | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Ittihad FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predrag Rajković | G | 90 | 9.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hassan Kadesh(C) | D | 89 | 8.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faris Abdi | D | 90 | 8.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Stephane Keller | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| George Ilenikhena | F | 57 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Jan-Carlo Simić | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Houssem Aouar | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/5 |
| Steven Bergwijn | M | 57 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| Rakan Kaabi | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youssef En-Nesyri | F | 87 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Dion Lopy | M | 47 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Saleh Al-Shehri | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muath Faqeehi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Farhah Ali Alshamrani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Barnawi | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Absi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al-Julaydan | D | 10 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mukhtar Ali | M | 33 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marwan Al-Sahafi | F | 33 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/5 |
| Ahmed Al-Ghamdi | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ittihad FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Qadisiyah FC to win against Al-Ittihad FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ittihad FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Qadisiyah FC 4–3 Al-Ittihad FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ittihad FC?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Qadisiyah FC a 35% chance of winning, Al-Ittihad FC a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.