Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC
Match recap
Al-Qadisiyah FC beat Al-Faisaly FC 3–1 in their Pro League fixture. Retegui, Mohammed Abu Al Shamat, and Mohammed Ali Al Shanqiti scored for Al-Qadisiyah FC; Seck replied for Al-Faisaly FC. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.46 for Al-Qadisiyah FC versus 0.71 for Al-Faisaly FC. Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 3rd in the Pro League table while Al-Faisaly FC are 15th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-1 Al-Qadisiyah FC win
Actual
3–1
Outcome probability
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Faisaly FC face off in the Regular Season - 4 of the 2026 league. With Al-Qadisiyah sitting comfortably near the top of the table and Al-Faisaly struggling near the bottom, this match promises a clear favourite.
Match factors
Al-Qadisiyah's attacking midfield dominance
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat's high assist and tackle rates give Al-Qadisiyah control in midfield, enabling strong attacking transitions
Retegui's prolific scoring form
Mateo Retegui leads with 5 goals in 8 games, well above league attacker average, boosting home team's scoring potential
Consistent scoring streak for Al-Qadisiyah
Team has scored in last 5 matches, with key players like Quiñones and Reijnders contributing regularly
Full squad availability boosts Al-Qadisiyah
No confirmed injuries or suspensions for Al-Qadisiyah, ensuring strongest lineup possible
Al-Faisaly's lack of top scorers limits threat
Absence of top scorers in Al-Faisaly's squad reduces their goal threat against a strong Al-Qadisiyah defense
The context
Al-Qadisiyah FC currently rank 2nd with 19 points from 8 games, boasting a strong goal difference of +21. In contrast, Al-Faisaly FC are 15th with just 3 points from 7 games and a goal difference of -8. Historically, their head-to-head meetings have been competitive, but recent form heavily favours Al-Qadisiyah.
Key insights
Mateo Retegui
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Leads team scoring with 5 goals in 8 games, well above league attacker average, boosting home team's scoring potential.
Pro League 26/275 goals in 8 appearances, 0.625 goals/game
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Top assister with 4 assists and high defensive work rate, enabling strong attacking transitions.
Pro League 26/274 assists in 8 appearances, 0.5 assists/game, 2.875 tackles/game
J. Quiñones
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Reliable scorer and assister with 4 goals and 3 assists, playing full matches consistently.
Pro League 26/274 goals and 3 assists in 8 appearances
Analysis
Al-Qadisiyah's attacking midfield, led by Mohammed Abu Al Shamat with 4 assists and impressive defensive work, provides a solid foundation for their offensive play. Mateo Retegui, the team's top scorer with 5 goals in 8 games, is in fine form and expected to be a key threat. Al-Faisaly's lack of prolific scorers and weaker defensive record suggest they will struggle to contain the home side's firepower.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Qadisiyah FC are 2nd in the league with 19 points from 8 games.
- 2.Al-Faisaly FC sit 15th with 3 points from 7 games.
- 3.Al-Qadisiyah FC have a goal difference of +21; Al-Faisaly FC have -8.
- 4.Mateo Retegui leads Al-Qadisiyah with 5 goals in 8 games.
- 5.Mohammed Abu Al Shamat has provided 4 assists and strong defensive contributions.
- 6.Head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals, supporting a high-scoring game.
- 7.Al-Qadisiyah FC have scored in their last 5 matches.
- 8.Predicted total cards in the match is 4, indicating moderate discipline issues.
Prediction
The prediction is a confident home win for Al-Qadisiyah FC with a 4-1 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 2-0, reflecting their early dominance. The match is also likely to see around 4 cards, indicating a moderately competitive encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Qadisiyah FC
Away — Al-Faisaly FC
No standout top scorers flagged for Al-Faisaly FC
The verdict
All signs point to a strong performance from Al-Qadisiyah FC, who should capitalize on their superior form and squad strength. Al-Faisaly FC will need to tighten up defensively and find some attacking spark to avoid a heavy defeat.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:33 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Retegui
Assist: Musab Al Juwayr
Seck
Assist: Girotto
Mohammed Ali Al Shanqiti
Yellow Card
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Mendy
Yellow Card
Mohammed Ali Al Shanqiti (OG)
Al Sabeat
Seoane
Yellow Card
Al Shereaf
Bongonda
Retegui
Bonsu Baah
Bassogog
Seoane
Musab Al Juwayr
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Match Statistics
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1K. CasteelsG
- 2Mohammed Abu Al ShamatM
- 5J. WeiglM
- 6NachoD
- 10Musab Al JuwayrF
- 14T. ReijndersM
- 17G. ÁlvarezD
- 22C. Bonsu BaahM
- 32M. ReteguiF
- 33J. QuiñonesF
- 40Ibrahim MahnashiD
Substitutes
- 4Jehad Abdullatif AhmD
- 7Turki Al AmmarM
- 9Abdullah Al SalemF
- 12Yasir Al ShahraniD
- 15Mohammed Al QahtaniF
- 27E. HoussaM
- 28Ahmed Al KassarG
- 50Meshari SunyurG
- 90Amar Al YuhaybiM
Al-Faisaly FC
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1Fernando PachecoG
- 4A. SeckD
- 5Andrei GirottoM
- 10T. BongondaM
- 13C. BassogogM
- 19Alexandre MendyF
- 20Jaime SeoaneM
- 50Mohammed Ali Al ShanqitiD
- 70Mohammed JahfaliD
- 77A. Al ShereafM
- 87A. Al SabeatD
Substitutes
- 2Yaseen BarnawiD
- 3Khalid Al HarbiD
- 7Yousef Al ShammariF
- 11A. EllaF
- 26Mohammed Al HasawiG
- 88Saud HaddadD
- 95Ayman Fallatah\tM
- 99Ahmad Al MhemaidD
Al-Qadisiyah FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Musab Al Juwayr | F | 89 | 8.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Christopher Baah | M | 80 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 5 | 2/4 |
| Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat | M | 90 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Julian Weigl | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mateo Retegui | F | 80 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| Julián Quiñones | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 3 | 3/4 |
| Gastón Álvarez | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Koen Casteels | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nacho Fernández(C) | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ibrahim Mahnashi | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Tijjani Reijnders | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Eyad Houssa | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amar Hamed Al Yuhaybi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mshari Sanyoor | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al-Kassar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yasser Al-Shahrani | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al-Salem | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jehad Thakri | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Hamad Alqahtani | F | 10 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Turki Alammar | M | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Faisaly FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Pacheco | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrei Girotto | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Jahfali(C) | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al-Shereaf | M | 74 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| Théo Bongonda | M | 74 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 3/3 |
| Alexandre Mendy | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Bassogog | M | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abdoulaye Seck | D | 90 | 6.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jaime Seoane | M | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Abdullah Bin Subayt | D | 58 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Al-Shanqiti | D | 90 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Saud Haddad | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al-Harbi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Hasawi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayman Fallatah | M | 8 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Yaseen Barnawi | D | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Jordy Ella | F | 8 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yousef Al-Shammari | F | 16 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ahmad Al Mhemaid | D | 16 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Qadisiyah FC to win against Al-Faisaly FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Qadisiyah FC 4–1 Al-Faisaly FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Faisaly FC?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Qadisiyah FC a 95% chance of winning, Al-Faisaly FC a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.