Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq
Match recap
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ettifaq drew 3–3 in their Pro League fixture. Quiñones, Retegui, and Mohammed Al Qahtani scored for Al-Qadisiyah FC; Celina, Medrán, and Larsson replied for Al-Ettifaq. Al-Qadisiyah FC held 51% possession to 49% for Al-Ettifaq. Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 3rd in the Pro League table while Al-Ettifaq are 7th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-3 Al-Qadisiyah FC win
Actual
3–3
Outcome probability
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ettifaq are set for a pulsating clash in the Regular Season - 7, with both sides boasting attacking talents and a penchant for goals. Fans should brace themselves for an entertaining encounter.
Match factors
Home team's attacking trio in strong form
Retegui, Reijnders, and Quiñones combine high scoring and assist rates, boosting home attack potential
Home midfield creativity and defensive work
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat leads in assists and tackles, providing both creativity and defensive stability
Away team's key scorer Dembélé in moderate form
Dembélé has 3 goals this season but none in last 5 matches, indicating some dip in recent scoring
Álvaro Medrán's playmaking role for away side
Medrán's high assist count and passing accuracy make him a key creative outlet for Al-Ettifaq
Home defense led by Gastón Álvarez strong in duels
Álvarez's duel win rate and tackling stats exceed league averages, key to containing away attackers
The context
Al-Qadisiyah FC currently sit 2nd in the league with 19 points from 8 games, demonstrating strong form. Al-Ettifaq are 7th with 12 points, making this a contest between a high-flying side and a mid-table challenger. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced, with Al-Qadisiyah holding a slight edge in wins.
Key insights
Mateo Retegui
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Top scorer with 5 goals in 8 games, including 4 in the last 5 matches, making him a key threat up front.
Pro League 26/275 goals in 8 apps, 0.625 goals/game
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Leading assister with 4 assists and strong defensive work, providing creativity and stability in midfield.
Pro League 26/274 assists in 8 apps, 0.5 assists/game
J. Quiñones
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Consistent contributor with 4 goals and 3 assists, showing fitness and importance by playing full matches.
Pro League 26/274 goals and 3 assists in 8 apps
Moussa Dembélé
Al-Ettifaq
Top scorer for Al-Ettifaq with 3 goals, though recent form shows a scoring dip in the last 5 games.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 8 apps, 0.375 goals/game
Álvaro Medrán
Al-Ettifaq
Key playmaker with 3 assists and high passing accuracy, vital for creating chances.
Pro League 26/273 assists in 8 apps, 0.375 assists/game
Analysis
This fixture has a history of goals, averaging 3.3 per match, and recent form suggests more of the same. Al-Qadisiyah's attacking trio of Mateo Retegui, Tijjani Reijnders, and J. Quiñones have been in fine form, combining goals and assists effectively. Midfielder Mohammed Abu Al Shamat adds creativity and defensive solidity. Al-Ettifaq rely on Moussa Dembélé for goals, though his recent scoring has dipped, while Álvaro Medrán provides key playmaking. Defensively, Gastón Álvarez is a stalwart for Al-Qadisiyah, crucial in duels and interceptions.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Qadisiyah FC are 2nd in the league with 19 points from 8 games (W6 D1 L1).
- 2.Al-Ettifaq are 7th with 12 points from 8 games (W3 D3 L2).
- 3.In 12 head-to-head meetings, Al-Qadisiyah FC have 5 wins, Al-Ettifaq 4, with 3 draws.
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 3.3 goals per game.
- 5.Mateo Retegui is the top scorer for Al-Qadisiyah with 5 goals in 8 games.
- 6.Mohammed Abu Al Shamat leads Al-Qadisiyah with 4 assists and strong defensive stats.
- 7.Moussa Dembélé is Al-Ettifaq's top scorer with 3 goals in 8 games.
- 8.Gastón Álvarez excels defensively with high duel win rates and interceptions.
Prediction
We predict a narrow home win for Al-Qadisiyah FC with a 4-3 scoreline. The attacking prowess and home form of Al-Qadisiyah's key players should just edge out Al-Ettifaq's spirited challenge in what promises to be a thrilling encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Qadisiyah FC
Away — Al-Ettifaq
The verdict
Expect end-to-end action with both teams pushing for goals. Al-Qadisiyah's slight statistical and form advantage should see them prevail, but Al-Ettifaq will not make it easy. A 4-3 scoreline fits the bill for a match full of drama and attacking intent.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:13 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Meshal Al Alaeli
Yellow Card
Quiñones
Assist: Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Retegui
Assist: Bonsu Baah
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Yellow Card
Celina
Assist: Kanté
Yasir Shammari
Yellow Card
Meshal Al Alaeli
Abdullatif Ahm
Yasir Shammari
Messi
Musab Al Juwayr
Yellow Card
Khalid Al Ghannam
Medrán
Assist: Duda
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Musab Al Juwayr
Retegui
Mohammed Al Qahtani
Assist: Turki Al Ammar
Duda
Al Otaibi
Yellow Card
Larsson
Assist: Medrán
Nández
Dembélé
Yellow Card
Hendry
Yellow Card
Mohammed Al Qahtani
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
Match Statistics
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1K. CasteelsG
- 2Mohammed Abu Al ShamatM
- 4Jehad Abdullatif AhmD
- 6NachoD
- 8N. NándezM
- 10Musab Al JuwayrM
- 14T. ReijndersM
- 17G. ÁlvarezD
- 22C. Bonsu BaahM
- 32M. ReteguiF
- 33J. QuiñonesF
Substitutes
- 7Turki Al AmmarM
- 9Abdullah Al SalemF
- 12Yasir Al ShahraniD
- 15Mohammed Al QahtaniF
- 18Abdulmalik Al-JaberM
- 19Haitham AsiriF
- 27E. HoussaM
- 28Ahmed Al KassarG
- 46Abdulaziz Al ElewaiF
Al-Ettifaq
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4J. HendryD
- 7Khalid Al GhannamM
- 11O. DudaM
- 13Meshal Al AlaeliD
- 42A. KantéM
- 43B. CelinaM
- 58Yasir ShammariF
- 61Radhi Al OtaibiD
- 70Abdullah KhateebD
- 80R. MessiM
- 92Turki Ba Al JawshG
Substitutes
- 3Abdullah MaduD
- 9M. DembéléF
- 10Álvaro MedránM
- 17J. LarssonF
- 22Abdulbasit HawsawiG
- 33Madallah Al OlayanD
- 77AbdulelahM
- 78Marzouq TambaktiD
- 87Meshal SibyaniD
Al-Qadisiyah FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Quiñones | F | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Retegui | F | 78 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Qahtani | F | 26 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| T. Reijnders | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| C. Bonsu Baah | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Nacho | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Abu Al Shamat | M | 64 | 6.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Jehad Abdullatif Ahm | D | 45 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Álvarez | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| N. Nández | M | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| Yasir Al Shahrani | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Casteels | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Turki Al Ammar | M | 26 | 6.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Musab Al Juwayr | M | 64 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| E. Houssa | M | 12 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulmalik Al-Jaber | M | 1 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Haitham Asiri | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al Kassar | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Elewai | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Salem | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Ettifaq
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro Medrán | M | 45 | 8.2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| J. Larsson | F | 32 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| B. Celina | M | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| A. Kanté | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Yasir Shammari | F | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Khalid Al Ghannam | M | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| O. Duda | M | 82 | 6.4 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Dembélé | F | 28 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Khateeb | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Hendry | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Radhi Al Otaibi | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Turki Ba Al Jawsh | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Madallah Al Olayan | D | 45 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Abdulelah | M | 8 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Messi | M | 58 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Meshal Al Alaeli | D | 45 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Madu | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meshal Sibyani | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulbasit Hawsawi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marzouq Tambakti | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Qadisiyah FC to win against Al-Ettifaq.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Qadisiyah FC 4–3 Al-Ettifaq.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ettifaq?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Qadisiyah FC a 35% chance of winning, Al-Ettifaq a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.