Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Match recap
Al-Qadisiyah FC beat Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–2 in their Pro League fixture. Reijnders, Reijnders, and Mohammed Abu Al Shamat scored for Al-Qadisiyah FC; Toney and Toney replied for Al-Ahli Jeddah. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.55 for Al-Qadisiyah FC versus 1.26 for Al-Ahli Jeddah. Al-Qadisiyah FC sit 3rd in the Pro League table while Al-Ahli Jeddah are 5th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-3 Al-Qadisiyah FC win
Actual
3–2
Outcome probability
The Saudi Pro League fixture between Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al-Ahli Jeddah promises an entertaining spectacle, with both teams boasting potent attacks and a history of goal-laden encounters.
Match factors
Home team's attacking midfield strength
Al-Qadisiyah's midfielders Reijnders and Abu Al Shamat combine strong scoring and assisting, creating multiple threats
Ivan Toney's prolific scoring form
Toney leads league with 11 goals in 8 games, including 8 in last 5, posing major threat to home defense
Al-Qadisiyah's recent scoring streak
Home team has scored in last 5 matches, averaging over 2 goals per game, supporting predicted 4 goals
Defensive solidity from Gastón Álvarez
Álvarez's high duel win rate and tackling provide stability against Al-Ahli's attackers
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat's dual role
Top assister and defensive tackler, Abu Al Shamat balances attack and defense effectively
The context
Al-Qadisiyah FC currently sit second in the league with 19 points from 8 games, demonstrating strong form with six wins, one draw, and a single loss. Al-Ahli Jeddah are sixth with 15 points, having won five and lost three matches. Historically, their head-to-head meetings have been lively, averaging over three goals per game.
Key insights
Tijjani Reijnders
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Reijnders' four goals in six games and recent brace against Al-Ahli underline his key role in the home side's attack.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 6 apps, 0.67 goals/game
Ivan Toney
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Toney's league-leading 11 goals in 8 games, including 8 in the last 5, make him a constant threat to any defence.
Pro League 26/2711 goals in 8 apps, 1.375 goals/game
Mateo Retegui
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Retegui leads the home scoring charts with 5 goals in 8 games, showing strong recent form with 4 goals in the last 5 matches.
Pro League 26/275 goals in 8 apps, 0.625 goals/game
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Abu Al Shamat balances attack and defence effectively, leading with 4 assists and strong tackling stats.
Pro League 26/274 assists in 8 apps, 0.5 assists/game
Analysis
This fixture is expected to be a high-scoring affair, with Al-Qadisiyah's midfield dynamo Tijjani Reijnders and prolific striker Mateo Retegui leading the charge. Al-Ahli's Ivan Toney, the league's top scorer with 11 goals, will be a constant threat. Both sides have shown attacking verve, and the predicted 4-3 scoreline reflects an open game with defensive vulnerabilities on display.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Qadisiyah FC are second in the league with 19 points from 8 games (W6 D1 L1).
- 2.Al-Ahli Jeddah hold sixth place with 15 points from 8 games (W5 D0 L3).
- 3.Their head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals per game.
- 4.Al-Qadisiyah FC have a points-per-game advantage of 2.38 over Al-Ahli's 1.88.
- 5.Tijjani Reijnders scored twice in this fixture, highlighting his attacking influence.
- 6.Ivan Toney netted two goals for Al-Ahli Jeddah in this match.
- 7.The predicted halftime score is 2-2, indicating a balanced first half.
- 8.The final predicted score is a thrilling 4-3 win for Al-Qadisiyah FC.
Prediction
We foresee a closely contested match with a 2-2 halftime scoreline, setting the stage for an exhilarating second half. Ultimately, Al-Qadisiyah FC are predicted to edge out Al-Ahli Jeddah 4-3, capitalising on their home advantage and attacking depth.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Qadisiyah FC
Away — Al-Ahli Jeddah
The verdict
Fans should brace themselves for a rollercoaster of goals and drama. With key players firing on all cylinders, this match could be a classic encounter in the Saudi Pro League calendar.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:19 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Reijnders
Assist: Musab Al Juwayr
Atangana Edoa
Yellow Card
Álvarez
Yellow Card
Reijnders
Assist: Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Assist: Bonsu Baah
Hamidou
Nacho
Yellow Card
Galeno
Feras Al Brikan
Musab Al Juwayr
Yellow Card
Toney
Assist: Trincão
Yaslam
Musab Al Juwayr
Toney
Assist: Saleh
Mohammed Al Qahtani
Yellow Card
Retegui
Abdullatif Ahm
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Atangana Edoa
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
Match Statistics
Al-Qadisiyah FC
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1K. CasteelsG
- 2Mohammed Abu Al ShamatM
- 4Jehad Abdullatif AhmD
- 5J. WeiglM
- 6NachoD
- 10Musab Al JuwayrF
- 14T. ReijndersM
- 17G. ÁlvarezD
- 22C. Bonsu BaahM
- 32M. ReteguiF
- 33J. QuiñonesF
Substitutes
- 7Turki Al AmmarM
- 9Abdullah Al SalemF
- 12Yasir Al ShahraniD
- 15Mohammed Al QahtaniF
- 18Abdulmalik Al-JaberM
- 27E. HoussaM
- 28Ahmed Al KassarG
- 77S. Haroun
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3IbañezD
- 6V. Atangana EdoaM
- 7TrincãoM
- 8E. SpertsyanM
- 9Feras Al BrikanM
- 13GalenoM
- 16É. MendyG
- 17I. ToneyF
- 28M. DemiralD
- 31Saad YaslamD
- 46Rayane Hamidou
Substitutes
- 1Abdulrahman Al SanbiG
- 2Zakaria Al HawsawiD
- 5Mohammed BakorD
- 11Meshal Al MutairiM
- 15Saeed BaattiaD
- 21Abdullah RadifF
- 29Mohammed YousefD
- 47Waheb SalehF
- 66Naif MasoudM
Al-Qadisiyah FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tijjani Reijnders | M | 90 | 8.7 | 2 | — | 5 | 3 | — | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat | M | 88 | 8.3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Musab Al Juwayr | F | 69 | 8.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Christopher Baah | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 2/2 |
| Koen Casteels | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julian Weigl | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mateo Retegui | F | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nacho Fernández(C) | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julián Quiñones | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jehad Thakri | D | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Gastón Álvarez | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Abdulmalik Al-Jaber | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Harun | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eyad Houssa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al-Kassar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al-Salem | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yasser Al-Shahrani | D | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Turki Alammar | M | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani | F | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa | F | 10 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Al-Ahli Jeddah
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ivan Toney | F | 90 | 8.9 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | — | — |
| Edouard Mendy(C) | G | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Francisco Trincão | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2/5 |
| Firas Al-Buraikan | M | 61 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Saad Yaslam Balobaid | D | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Merih Demiral | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Wenderson Galeno | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Rayan Hamed | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Valentin Atangana Edoa | M | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eduard Spertsyan | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Roger Ibañez | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Saeed Baattia | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Radif | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al Sanbi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meshal Al Mutairi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zakaria Hawsawi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Naif Masoud | M | 29 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saleh Abu Al-Shamat | F | 30 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Sulaiman Bakor | D | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Abdulrahman | D | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Qadisiyah FC to win against Al-Ahli Jeddah.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Qadisiyah FC 4–3 Al-Ahli Jeddah.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Qadisiyah FC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Qadisiyah FC a 85% chance of winning, Al-Ahli Jeddah a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.