Al-Nassr vs Al Taawon
Match recap
Al-Nassr beat Al Taawon 2–1 in their Pro League fixture. Samú Costa and Cristiano Ronaldo scored for Al-Nassr; Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji replied for Al Taawon. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.00 for Al-Nassr versus 0.80 for Al Taawon. Al-Nassr sit 2nd in the Pro League table while Al Taawon are 17th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-0 Al-Nassr win
Actual
2–1
Outcome probability
Al-Nassr and Al Taawon face off in the Saudi league's fourth round, with Al-Nassr looking to extend their strong form against a struggling Al Taawon side.
Match factors
Al-Nassr's attacking midfield trio outperforms league averages
Ângelo, Samú Costa, and Sadio Mané combine strong goal and assist rates above league midfielder averages, creating multiple scoring threats.
Cristiano Ronaldo's home scoring form boosts Al-Nassr's attack
Ronaldo has scored 3 goals in 4 home games, exceeding league attacker averages, increasing likelihood of scoring at home.
Al-Nassr's recent scoring streak supports predicted 4-0 win
Team has scored in last 5 matches, with multiple players contributing goals and assists, indicating strong offensive momentum.
No confirmed injuries for either team ensures full strength squads
Both teams have no confirmed out players, allowing key scorers and assisters to participate fully.
Al Taawon's defensive struggles increase Al-Nassr scoring chances
Al Taawon concedes 1.7 goals per game and has lost 4 of last 5 matches, favoring Al-Nassr's attacking players.
The context
Al-Nassr currently sit third in the league with 19 points from 8 games, boasting a healthy goal difference of +21. In contrast, Al Taawon languish near the bottom, 16th with just 3 points from 7 matches. Historically, Al-Nassr have the upper hand, winning 12 of their 20 encounters against Al Taawon.
Key insights
Cristiano Ronaldo
Al-Nassr
Ronaldo’s home scoring form is exceptional, netting 3 goals in 4 home games, boosting Al-Nassr’s attack significantly.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 7 apps, 3 goals in 4 home games
Ângelo
Al-Nassr
Ângelo contributes both goals and assists, exceeding league averages for midfielders, making him a key creative force.
Pro League 26/273 goals and 2 assists in 7 apps
Samú Costa
Al-Nassr
Samú Costa’s strong home form and high passing accuracy make him an important link between defence and attack.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 7 apps, 94% passing accuracy
Analysis
Al-Nassr's attacking midfield trio, including Ângelo and Samú Costa, outperform league averages with impressive goal and assist contributions. Cristiano Ronaldo leads the charge with 4 goals in 7 games, particularly clinical at home. Al Taawon's defensive frailties, conceding 1.7 goals per game and recent poor form, further tip the scales. Both teams have full-strength squads, ensuring key players will be on the pitch to influence the outcome.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Nassr are 3rd in the league with 19 points from 8 games.
- 2.Al Taawon sit 16th with 3 points from 7 games.
- 3.Al-Nassr have a +21 goal difference this season, significantly better than Al Taawon.
- 4.Al-Nassr have won 12 of 20 head-to-head matches against Al Taawon.
- 5.Cristiano Ronaldo has scored 4 goals in 7 games, with strong home form.
- 6.Ângelo and Samú Costa contribute both goals and assists above league averages.
- 7.Al Taawon concede an average of 1.7 goals per game this season.
Prediction
Expect Al-Nassr to assert dominance early, building on a predicted 2-0 halftime lead and extending it to a 4-0 fulltime scoreline. The match should feature moderate discipline with around four cards shown, reflecting competitive but controlled play.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Nassr
Away — Al Taawon
The verdict
With their attacking firepower and solid form, Al-Nassr look set to secure a comfortable win over Al Taawon. Fans can anticipate a display of clinical finishing and tactical superiority from the home side.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:40 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji
Salem Al Najdi
Yellow Card
Samú Costa
Assist: Mané
Mohammed Al Aqel
Cristiano Ronaldo
Assist: Simakan
El Bahraoui
Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji
Petkov
Yellow Card
Ângelo
Cristiano Ronaldo
Dorley
Petkov
Samú Costa
Coman
Félix
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Abha | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Al-Nassr
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 1Nawaf Al AqidiG
- 3M. SimakanD
- 5Abdulelah Al AmriD
- 7Cristiano RonaldoF
- 10S. ManéM
- 11Samú CostaM
- 12Nawaf BoushalD
- 20ÂngeloM
- 21K. ComanM
- 79João FélixF
- 83Salem Al NajdiD
Substitutes
- 4Nader Al SharariD
- 9Abdullah Al HamdanF
- 14Sami Al NajiM
- 17Abdullah Al KhaibariM
- 18Abdulmalik Al-JaberM
- 23Ayman YahyaM
- 26Íñigo MartínezD
- 53A. Al OtaibiG
- 56R. Al GhamdiM
Al Taawon
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1MailsonG
- 5Z. BelaïdD
- 6Mohammed Bassam Al HurayjiM
- 9A. Hamed AllahF
- 17Mohammed Al AqelF
- 18A. El MahdiouiM
- 19O. DorleyM
- 32Muteb Al MufarrijD
- 47Y. El BahraouiF
- 88M. PetkovM
- 93Awn Al SaluliD
Substitutes
- 7Mohammed Al KuwaykibiF
- 8P. GuiagonF
- 14Saif RashadF
- 20Bassem Al-AriniF
- 23Rakan Al TulayhiM
- 27Adeeb Al Hassan
- 39Abdul Rahman Al GhamdiG
- 45Mohammed Al SaediM
- 70A. Hendi
Al-Nassr
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| João Félix | F | 90 | 8.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2/2 |
| Samú Costa | M | 87 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Abdulelah Al-Amri | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Sadio Mané | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 2/6 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo(C) | F | 80 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Nawaf Boushal | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 4/4 |
| Salem Alnajdi | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ângelo | M | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/5 |
| Nawaf Al-Aqidi | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kingsley Coman | M | 87 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Mohamed Simakan | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Abdulmalik Al-Jaber | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al-Otaibi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rakan Al-Ghamdi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iñigo Martínez | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nader Al Sharari | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sami Al Naji | M | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al-Khaibari | M | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayman Yahya | M | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al-Hamdan | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Taawon
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bassam Al-Hurayji | M | 73 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Mailson | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Aqal | F | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ashraf El Mahdioui(C) | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Awn Al-Saluli | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abderazak Hamdallah | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/5 |
| Muteb Al-Mufarrij | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Zineddine Belaid | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Marin Petkov | M | 85 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Younes El Bahraoui | F | 59 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Oscar Dorley | M | 85 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Bassem Al-Arini | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Saedi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adeeb Al Hassan | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al-Ghamdi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Parfait Guiagon | F | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Saif Rashad Mohamed | F | 11 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rakan Al-Tulayhi | M | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi | F | 31 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Hendi | M | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Nassr vs Al Taawon?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Nassr to win against Al Taawon.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Nassr vs Al Taawon?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Nassr 4–0 Al Taawon.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Nassr vs Al Taawon?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Nassr a 95% chance of winning, Al Taawon a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.