Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood
Al-Nassr's Ronaldo hat-trick seals thrilling win
A six-goal spectacle sees Al-Nassr edge past Al Kholood in a Pro League classic
Al-Nassr triumphed 5-3 over Al Kholood in a high-scoring encounter that kept fans on the edge of their seats. Cristiano Ronaldo was the star of the show, netting a second-half hat-trick to turn the tide after Al Kholood's early strikes from J. Domingues and A. Essomba. Despite conceding three goals, Al-Nassr's firepower proved decisive, with Ângelo and S. Mané also contributing. Fipster's prediction of an Al-Nassr win was spot on, though the actual scoreline was far more dramatic than the anticipated 4-0.
Outcome probability
Al-Nassr face Al Kholood in the 12th round of the regular season, with the home side looking to extend their impressive run of form. The visitors will need to tighten up defensively to avoid a heavy defeat.
Match factors
Cristiano Ronaldo's home scoring form vs Al Kholood's defense
Ronaldo averages 1 goal per home game recently, facing a defense conceding 2.1 goals per game
Al-Nassr's superior attacking and defensive metrics
Al-Nassr scores 2.3 goals per game and concedes 0.8, while Al Kholood concedes 2.1 goals per game
Al-Nassr's strong recent form and scoring streak
Al-Nassr has won 80% of recent matches and scored in last 5 home games consecutively
Creative midfielders João Félix and Ângelo key to unlocking defense
Both have above average assists and goals, linking well with Ronaldo and attackers
No confirmed injuries for Al-Nassr ensures full attacking strength
All top scorers and assisters are available, maximizing scoring potential
The context
Al-Nassr currently sit 2nd in the league with 25 points from 10 games, boasting a +15 goal difference. Al Kholood are 9th with 12 points from 9 matches and a -4 goal difference. Historically, Al-Nassr have dominated this fixture, winning three of the last four encounters and scoring 11 goals to Al Kholood's 4.
Key insights
Cristiano Ronaldo
Al-Nassr
Ronaldo averages 1 goal per home game recently, facing a defence conceding 2.1 goals per game.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 8 games, 0.5 avg per game
João Félix
Al-Nassr
Top assister with 3 assists and 3 goals, key creative hub linking well with Ronaldo.
Pro League 26/273 goals and 3 assists in 8 games, 0.375 avg per game
Ângelo
Al-Nassr
Consistent goal and assist output from midfield, reliable starter with no disciplinary issues.
Pro League 26/273 goals and 3 assists in 8 games, 0.375 avg per game
Analysis
Al-Nassr's attacking firepower is led by Cristiano Ronaldo, who has netted 4 goals this season, including a strong home scoring record with 1 goal per game in his last three home matches. Midfield creators João Félix and Ângelo provide ample support, each contributing 3 goals and 3 assists this season. Defensively, Al-Nassr concede just 0.8 goals per game, a stark contrast to Al Kholood's 2.1 goals conceded per match. This gulf in quality and form suggests a dominant performance from the home side.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Nassr have won 3 of the last 4 meetings against Al Kholood.
- 2.Al-Nassr rank 2nd in the league with 25 points from 10 games.
- 3.Al Kholood are 9th with 12 points from 9 games.
- 4.Al-Nassr have a +15 goal difference compared to Al Kholood's -4.
- 5.Cristiano Ronaldo has scored 4 goals this season, with a strong home scoring record.
- 6.Al-Nassr concede just 0.8 goals per game, while Al Kholood concede 2.1.
- 7.João Félix and Ângelo each have 3 goals and 3 assists this season.
Prediction
We expect Al-Nassr to take control early, leading 2-0 at halftime and extending their advantage to a 4-0 victory by full time. The match is likely to see a moderate level of discipline with around three cards shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Nassr
Away — Al Kholood
No standout top scorers flagged for Al Kholood
The verdict
With all key players fit and firing, Al-Nassr look set to continue their strong season with a comprehensive win over Al Kholood. The visitors will need to regroup quickly to avoid further damage in the league standings.
Prediction generated 24 Oct 2026, 16:59 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Goal cancelled
Buckley
Yellow Card
Domingues
Assist: Abdulrahman Al Dosari
Ângelo
Yellow Card
Ângelo
Assist: Félix
Mané
Assist: Félix
Essomba
Assist: Domingues
Félix
Yellow Card
Pinas
Cristiano Ronaldo
Assist: Félix
Essomba
Cristiano Ronaldo
Assist: Félix
Abdullah Al Hamdan
Coba
Kortajarena
Abdulrahman Al Dosari
Abdullah Al Khaibari
Ayman Yahya
Ângelo
Cristiano Ronaldo
Assist: Mané
Nawaf Boushal
Penalty confirmed
Domingues
Penalty
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +20 | 28 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 28 |
| 3 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 10 |  Al Shabab | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | +5 | 14 |
| 11 |  Al Kholood | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -9 | 12 |
| 12 |  Al Riyadh | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | -14 | 12 |
Match Statistics
Al-Nassr
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3M. SimakanD
- 7Cristiano RonaldoF
- 9Abdullah Al HamdanM
- 10S. ManéM
- 12Nawaf BoushalD
- 17Abdullah Al KhaibariM
- 20ÂngeloM
- 23Ayman YahyaD
- 24BentoG
- 26Íñigo MartínezD
- 79João FélixF
Substitutes
- 5Abdulelah Al AmriD
- 6Saad Al NasserD
- 8Hayder AbdulkareemM
- 14Sami Al NajiM
- 29Abdulrahman GhareebF
- 56R. Al GhamdiF
- 70Awad AmanD
- 83Salem Al NajdiD
Al Kholood
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Hamed Abdullah YousefG
- 6J. BuckleyM
- 7Sultan Al ShehriD
- 10Iker KortajarenaM
- 11CobaM
- 15Ramzi SolanD
- 22J. DominguesF
- 25Mansour CamaraD
- 38S. PinasD
- 39Abdulrahman Al DosariM
- 77A. EssombaM
Substitutes
- 23Yazan MadaniD
- 24O. AbdulghaniD
- 26Yaseen Al ZubaidiF
- 30Mohammed Mazyad AlshammariG
- 47Abdulrahman Al ObaidD
- 48Muhannad Al YahyaG
- 67Mohammed Al RashidiM
- 70Muhammad SawanM
- 99GugaF
Al-Nassr
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristiano Ronaldo | F | 90 | 9.3 | 3 | — | 6 | 4 | — | — |
| João Félix | F | 90 | 8.7 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 5 | 1/1 |
| S. Mané | M | 90 | 8.6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3/5 |
| Ângelo | M | 81 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3/4 |
| Íñigo Martínez | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Hamdan | M | 74 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| R. Al Ghamdi | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Ghareeb | F | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Khaibari | M | 81 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Simakan | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Boushal | D | 83 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Ayman Yahya | D | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Awad Aman | D | 9 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saad Al Nasser | D | 7 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bento | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sami Al Naji | M | 9 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Salem Al Najdi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hayder Abdulkareem | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulelah Al Amri | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Kholood
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Domingues | F | 90 | 9.0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| A. Essomba | M | 67 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Abdulrahman Al Dosari | M | 78 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Guga | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/4 |
| J. Buckley | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yaseen Al Zubaidi | F | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Coba | M | 78 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/6 |
| S. Pinas | D | 54 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Sultan Al Shehri | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/4 |
| Iker Kortajarena | M | 78 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Hamed Abdullah Yousef | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mansour Camara | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramzi Solan | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Al Rashidi | M | 12 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhammad Sawan | M | 23 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/5 |
| Abdulrahman Al Obaid | D | 36 | 5.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhannad Al Yahya | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yazan Madani | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| O. Abdulghani | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Mazyad Alshammari | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Nassr to win against Al Kholood.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Nassr 4–0 Al Kholood.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Nassr a 95% chance of winning, Al Kholood a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.