Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah
Al-Nassr cruise past Al Diriyah with commanding win
Cristiano Ronaldo and Samú Costa set the tone before K. Coman sealed the deal.
Al-Nassr delivered a dominant performance in the Pro League, securing a 3-0 victory over Al Diriyah. Cristiano Ronaldo opened the scoring in the first half, followed by Samú Costa, giving the hosts a comfortable lead before the break. K. Coman added the final touch after the break to confirm the comprehensive win. This result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of an away win, proving the home side's strength on the day.
Outcome probability
As the Saudi Pro League season progresses, Al-Nassr and Al Diriyah face off in what promises to be a tightly contested encounter. Both sides have shown glimpses of quality, but this fixture could well hinge on who seizes the moment in the second half.
Match factors
Al Diriyah's potent away scoring
Al Diriyah averages 2 goals per away game, boosted by Núñez's 1.5 goals per away match recently.
Cristiano Ronaldo's home scoring impact
Ronaldo scores more at home with 2 goals in last 5 games, likely focal point for Al-Nassr attack.
Óscar Rodríguez's creative form
Óscar Rodríguez has 3 assists in 4 games, showing strong recent creativity for Al Diriyah.
Discipline concerns for João Félix
João Félix's 4 yellow cards in 6 games may risk availability or cautious play.
Al-Nassr's midfield creativity
Ângelo and João Félix combine for 4 assists this season, key to unlocking defenses.
The context
Al-Nassr currently sit third in the league with 16 points from seven games, boasting a strong goal difference and a points-per-game average of 2.29. Meanwhile, Al Diriyah are eighth with 11 points from the same number of matches, holding a respectable 1.57 points per game. Despite Al-Nassr's superior league standing and home advantage, Al Diriyah have demonstrated a potent attacking threat away from home, making this clash far from straightforward.
Key insights
- D
Darwin Núñez Ribeiro
Al Diriyah
Núñez is a key threat with 3 goals in 4 games, averaging 1.5 goals per away match recently, boosting Al Diriyah's potent away scoring.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 4 games, 87.5 avg mins
Cristiano Ronaldo
Al-Nassr
Ronaldo's home scoring impact is significant, with 3 goals in 6 games and 2 in the last 5 at home, making him Al-Nassr's attacking focal point.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 6 games, 0.5 avg per game
Óscar Rodríguez
Al Diriyah
Óscar Rodríguez is in fine creative form with 3 assists in 4 games, acting as the primary playmaker for Al Diriyah.
Pro League 26/273 assists in 4 games, 0.75 avg per game
João Félix
Al-Nassr
João Félix's aggressive style has earned him 4 yellow cards in 6 games, posing a disciplinary risk that could affect his availability or performance.
Pro League 26/274 yellow cards in 6 games
Analysis
The first half is expected to be cagey, with a predicted 0-0 scoreline reflecting cautious tactics from both sides. Al Diriyah's Darwin Núñez Ribeiro is a key figure to watch, having netted three goals in four games and averaging 1.5 goals per away match recently. His clinical finishing could unsettle Al-Nassr's defence. On the home side, Cristiano Ronaldo remains a focal point, with three goals in six games and a strong home scoring record. Creative forces like Óscar Rodríguez for Al Diriyah and midfielders Ângelo and João Félix for Al-Nassr will be crucial in unlocking defences. However, João Félix's disciplinary record might force him to tread carefully.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Nassr are 3rd in the league with 16 points from 7 games (W5 D1 L1).
- 2.Al Diriyah sit 8th with 11 points from 7 games (W3 D2 L2).
- 3.Al-Nassr have a superior goal difference of +7 compared to Al Diriyah.
- 4.Al-Nassr average 2.29 points per game, higher than Al Diriyah's 1.57.
- 5.Darwin Núñez Ribeiro leads Al Diriyah's scoring with 3 goals in 4 games.
- 6.Cristiano Ronaldo has scored 3 goals in 6 games, with 2 at home recently.
- 7.Óscar Rodríguez has provided 3 assists in 4 games for Al Diriyah.
- 8.João Félix has a high yellow card count with 4 in 6 games, risking suspension.
Prediction
Despite Al-Nassr's higher league position and home form, the prediction leans towards an away win for Al Diriyah with a 2-1 scoreline. The match is likely to remain goalless at halftime before Al Diriyah pull ahead in the second half, capitalising on their recent away scoring prowess. Four cards are expected, hinting at a competitive and physical encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Nassr
Away — Al Diriyah
The verdict
This fixture promises a fascinating battle between a strong home side and a determined away team with a knack for scoring on the road. While Al-Nassr will aim to assert their dominance, Al Diriyah's attacking threat and recent form suggest they could snatch the points. Expect a tense, tactical game with the visitors edging it 2-1.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Cristiano Ronaldo
Mbemba
Yellow Card
Samú Costa
Assist: Félix
Penalty cancelled
Abdulaziz Al Faraj
Yellow Card
Abdulaziz Al Faraj
Hussain Al Sibyani
Coman
Assist: Mané
Abdullah Al Khaibari
Coman
Félix
Boulbina
Rodríguez
Gueye
Aman
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Kholood | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
Match Statistics
Al-Nassr
4-4-2Starting XI
- 3M. SimakanD
- 7Cristiano RonaldoF
- 10S. ManéM
- 11Samú CostaM
- 12Nawaf BoushalD
- 17Abdullah Al KhaibariM
- 21K. ComanM
- 24BentoG
- 26Íñigo MartínezD
- 70Awad AmanD
- 79João FélixF
Substitutes
- 4Nader Al SharariD
- 6Saad Al NasserD
- 9Abdullah Al HamdanF
- 14Sami Al NajiM
- 23Ayman YahyaM
- 50Majed QasheeshD
- 60Saad HaqawiF
Al Diriyah
5-3-2Starting XI
- 2Abdulaziz Al FarajD
- 5I. GueyeM
- 10A. BoulbinaM
- 14Óscar RodríguezF
- 16Hussain Al SibyaniD
- 19B. DjimsitiD
- 20E. MillotM
- 29D. NúñezF
- 33Waleed AbdullahG
- 87Qassem LajamiD
- 99C. MbembaD
Substitutes
- 4Saeed Al RubaieD
- 6Sultan Al FarhanM
- 12T. WadiD
- 52Hussain Al QahtaniM
- 75Meshari Al NemerF
- 78Khalid Al AsiriD
Al-Nassr
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristiano Ronaldo | F | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | — |
| K. Coman | M | 78 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 3/5 |
| Samú Costa | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| João Félix | F | 78 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | — |
| S. Mané | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | — |
| Íñigo Martínez | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Boushal | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Awad Aman | D | 84 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| M. Simakan | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Saad Al Nasser | D | 6 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bento | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sami Al Naji | M | 12 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayman Yahya | M | 12 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abdullah Al Hamdan | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Khaibari | M | 78 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Majed Qasheesh | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nader Al Sharari | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saad Haqawi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Diriyah
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Óscar Rodríguez | F | 83 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| A. Boulbina | M | 83 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | — |
| E. Millot | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Waleed Abdullah | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Núñez | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| I. Gueye | M | 84 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Qassem Lajami | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Meshari Al Nemer | F | 6 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Hussain Al Sibyani | D | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| C. Mbemba | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Faraj | D | 68 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| B. Djimsiti | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| T. Wadi | D | 7 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hussain Al Qahtani | M | 7 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Sultan Al Farhan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saeed Al Rubaie | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al Asiri | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al Diriyah to win against Al-Nassr.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Nassr 1–2 Al Diriyah.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Nassr vs Al Diriyah?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Nassr a 28% chance of winning, Al Diriyah a 44% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 44% confidence — a low-confidence call.