Al Kholood vs Al Shabab
Match recap
Al Kholood beat Al Shabab 2–1 in their Pro League fixture. Kortajarena and Abdulrahman Al Dosari scored for Al Kholood; Roger Martínez replied for Al Shabab. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.19 for Al Kholood versus 0.62 for Al Shabab. Al Kholood sit 9th in the Pro League table while Al Shabab are 11th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 Al Kholood win
Actual
2–1
Outcome probability
Al Kholood and Al Shabab face off in the Regular Season - 6 of the 2026 campaign. Both teams have shown glimpses of quality, but recent form and league standings suggest a tight encounter with a slight edge to Al Kholood.
Match factors
Kortajarena-Domingues synergy boosts Al Kholood attack
Iker Kortajarena and Julien Domingues combine for multiple goals and assists, enhancing home scoring chances
Al Kholood's superior recent scoring form at home
Al Kholood averages 2 goals per home game, above league average, supporting predicted 2-1 win
Roger Martínez's strong away scoring form for Al Shabab
Roger Martínez scored 2 goals in last 5, including 2 away goals, key threat despite away struggles
Al Kholood's midfield defensive solidity led by Cissé
Seydouba Cissé's high tackle and interception rates help disrupt Al Shabab's build-up
Al Shabab's creative midfield led by Yacine Adli and Brownhill
Adli and Brownhill provide key passes and assists, crucial for breaking down Al Kholood defense
The context
Al Kholood currently sit 8th in the league with 12 points from 8 games, while Al Shabab are 14th with 4 points from 7 games. Historically, in their five head-to-head meetings, Al Shabab have a slight advantage with three wins to Al Kholood's two, but no draws have been recorded.
Key insights
Iker Kortajarena
Al Kholood
Kortajarena’s 4 goals in 8 games, including 3 at home, make him a key offensive driver for Al Kholood.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 8 games, 3 at home
J. Domingues
Al Kholood
Domingues’ 3 goals and 2 assists highlight his importance in Al Kholood’s attack, especially his synergy with Kortajarena.
Pro League 26/273 goals and 2 assists in 8 games
Roger Martínez
Al Shabab
Martínez’s 2 goals in 7 games, including strong away scoring, make him Al Shabab’s main attacking threat.
Pro League 26/272 goals in 7 games
- S
Seydouba Cissé
Al Kholood
Cissé’s high tackle and interception rates provide crucial midfield defensive solidity for Al Kholood.
Pro League 26/2722 tackles and 8 interceptions in 8 games
Analysis
Al Kholood boast a points-per-game advantage (1.50 PPG) over Al Shabab's 0.57 PPG, reflecting their stronger recent form. Their attack, led by midfielder Iker Kortajarena who has netted 4 goals in 8 games including 3 at home, is a key factor. Partnering him is J. Domingues, contributing both goals and assists, enhancing their offensive threat. Al Shabab's main attacking outlet, Roger Martínez, has shown promise with 2 goals in 7 games, particularly away from home. Defensively, Al Kholood benefit from Seydouba Cissé's midfield solidity, disrupting Al Shabab's build-up play. The predicted total of four cards suggests a competitive but controlled match.
Key facts
- 1.Al Kholood have a points-per-game advantage (1.50 PPG) over Al Shabab (0.57 PPG).
- 2.In 5 head-to-head meetings, Al Kholood have won 2, Al Shabab 3, no draws.
- 3.Al Kholood are ranked 8th with 12 points from 8 games; Al Shabab 14th with 4 points from 7 games.
- 4.Iker Kortajarena has scored 4 goals in 8 games, including 3 at home.
- 5.J. Domingues has contributed 3 goals and 2 assists this season.
- 6.Roger Martínez has scored 2 goals in 7 games, showing strong away form.
- 7.Seydouba Cissé leads Al Kholood's midfield defensive efforts with 22 tackles and 8 interceptions in 8 games.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a 2-1 victory for Al Kholood, with the halftime score expected to be 1-1. This aligns with their superior home scoring form and the tactical edge provided by their key players. Al Shabab will pose challenges, but Al Kholood's cohesion and recent performances should see them through.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al Kholood
Away — Al Shabab
The verdict
Expect a spirited contest with Al Kholood leveraging their home advantage and attacking synergy to claim a narrow win. Al Shabab will fight hard, but the balance of form and key player contributions tip the scales in favour of the home side.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:17 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Roger Martínez
Assist: Brownhill
Podence
Yellow Card
Mansour Camara
Yellow Card
Dhari Al Anazi
Yellow Card
Kortajarena
Assist: Domingues
Cissé
Yellow Card
Podence
Essomba
Kortajarena
Yellow Card
Al-Hammami
Dhari Al Anazi
Abdulrahman Al Dosari
Assist: Muhammad Sawan
Al Rashdi
Yellow Card
Coba
Jedvaj
Yellow Card
Abdulrahman Al Dosari
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Kholood | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
| 10 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 |  Al Shabab | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Al-Hazm | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
Match Statistics
Al Kholood
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Hamed Abdullah YousefG
- 5E. UtkusD
- 8S. CisséM
- 10Iker KortajarenaM
- 11CobaM
- 15Ramzi SolanD
- 22J. DominguesF
- 25Mansour CamaraD
- 38S. PinasD
- 39Abdulrahman Al DosariM
- 77A. EssombaM
Substitutes
- 7Sultan Al ShehriD
- 23Yazan MadaniD
- 24O. Abdulghani
- 26Yaseen Al ZubaidiF
- 27Abdullah Al AjyanF
- 30Mohammed Mazyad AlshammariG
- 47Abdulrahman Al ObaidD
- 70Muhammad SawanM
Al Shabab
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. DiawG
- 3M. BarryD
- 4T. JedvajD
- 8J. BrownhillM
- 9Roger MartínezF
- 10Y. CarrascoM
- 11Daniel PodenceM
- 17Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al ThaniD
- 21Dhari Al AnaziD
- 22Hammam Al-HammamiM
- 29Y. AdliM
Substitutes
- 2Mohammed Al ShwirekhD
- 5Ali MakkiD
- 6Awad Al NashriM
- 33Mohammed Al MahasnehG
- 37A. Matuq
- 40Ali Al AsmariM
- 55Ali Al BulayhiD
- 74Abdulaziz HadhoodF
- 97Mourad KhodariF
Al Kholood
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdulrahman Al-Dosari | M | 89 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Mansour Camara | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edgaras Utkus | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Seydouba Cisse | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Julien Domingues | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Iker Kortajarena | M | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Ramzi Sawlan | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Antoin Loic Essomba | M | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 0/2 |
| Hamed Al-Shanqity | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Coba Da Costa | M | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4/9 |
| Shaquille Riley Pinas(C) | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yaseen Al-Zubaidi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Mazyad Alshammari | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Ajyan | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yazan Madani | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Rashidi | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Abdulrahman Al Obaid | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Al Shehri | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhammad Sawan | M | 26 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
Al Shabab
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mory Diaw | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roger Martínez | F | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Josh Brownhill | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Yacine Adli | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 4/5 |
| Tin Jedvaj | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yannick Carrasco(C) | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Hammam Al-Hammami | M | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/5 |
| Mamadou Barry | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Daniel Podence | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Dhari Al-Enezi | D | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Mohammed Al-Thani | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mohammed Al Shwirekh | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Makki | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Hadhood | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Asmari | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Mahasneh | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Awad Al-Nashri | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Matuq | F | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mourad Khodari | F | 12 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al-Bulaihi | D | 12 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al Kholood vs Al Shabab?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al Kholood to win against Al Shabab.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al Kholood vs Al Shabab?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al Kholood 2–1 Al Shabab.
- What were the win probabilities for Al Kholood vs Al Shabab?
- Fipster's model gave Al Kholood a 75% chance of winning, Al Shabab a 12% chance, and a 13% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 75% confidence — a high-confidence call.