Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Match recap
Al Kholood beat Al-Ahli Jeddah 3–1 in their Pro League fixture. Kortajarena, Domingues, and Muhammad Sawan scored for Al Kholood; Toney replied for Al-Ahli Jeddah. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.15 for Al Kholood versus 2.28 for Al-Ahli Jeddah. Al Kholood sit 9th in the Pro League table while Al-Ahli Jeddah are 5th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-3 Al Kholood win
Actual
3–1
Outcome probability
This Saudi Pro League fixture promises goals and drama as Al Kholood take on Al-Ahli Jeddah. Both sides have shown attacking intent this season, setting the stage for an entertaining encounter.
Match factors
Al Kholood's attacking midfield strength
Kortajarena's 4 goals and Coba's 2 assists provide creative and scoring edge at home
Al-Ahli Jeddah's prolific striker
Toney's 11 goals in 8 games make him a constant threat, especially at home
Al Kholood's home scoring form
Al Kholood averages 2 goals per home game, supporting predicted 4 goals in match
Al-Ahli Jeddah's recent scoring streak
Team scored in 4 of last 5 matches, with Toney and Spertsyan in good form
Full squad availability
No confirmed injuries for either team, allowing full strength lineups
The context
Al Kholood sit 8th with 12 points from 8 games, while Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th with 15 points. Historically, Al-Ahli Jeddah have dominated their head-to-head meetings, winning 5 of 6, but recent form and home advantage could level the playing field.
Key insights
Iker Kortajarena
Al Kholood
Kortajarena's 4 goals and strong home form give Al Kholood a creative and scoring edge at home.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 8 games, 3 goals at home
I. Toney
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Toney's prolific scoring with 11 goals in 8 games makes him a constant threat, especially at home.
Pro League 26/2711 goals in 8 games, 5 goals at home
Coba
Al Kholood
Coba's 2 assists and strong connection with key scorers boost Al Kholood's attacking threat.
Pro League 26/272 assists in 8 games
Analysis
Al Kholood's attacking midfield duo, led by Iker Kortajarena with 4 goals this season, have been crucial in their home scoring form, averaging 2 goals per home game. Meanwhile, Al-Ahli Jeddah boast the prolific I. Toney, who has netted 11 goals in 8 games, making him a constant threat. The match is expected to be a goal fest, with both teams showing strong offensive capabilities and full squad availability.
Key facts
- 1.Al Kholood are 8th with 12 points from 8 games.
- 2.Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th with 15 points from 8 games.
- 3.Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 5 of 6 head-to-head matches against Al Kholood.
- 4.Al Kholood average 2 goals per home game this season.
- 5.Iker Kortajarena has scored 4 goals in 8 games for Al Kholood.
- 6.I. Toney has scored 11 goals in 8 games for Al-Ahli Jeddah.
- 7.Both teams have full squad availability for this match.
Prediction
We see Al Kholood narrowly edging this one 4-3, capitalising on their home scoring strength and creative midfield play. Despite Al-Ahli Jeddah's firepower, the hosts' attacking edge should just about see them through in a thrilling contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al Kholood
Away — Al-Ahli Jeddah
The verdict
Expect an open game with plenty of chances and goals. Al Kholood's home form and key players like Kortajarena and Coba could be the difference, but Al-Ahli Jeddah's Toney will keep them honest until the final whistle.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:36 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Penalty cancelled
Kortajarena
Assist: Coba
Hamed Abdullah Yousef
Yellow Card
Toney
Yellow Card
Hamidou
Feras Al Brikan
Yaslam
Toney
Assist: Spertsyan
Kortajarena
Mansour Camara
Yellow Card
Unknown
Domingues
Assist: Ramzi Solan
Bondarenko
Domingues
Muhammad Sawan
Assist: Coba
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Kholood | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
| 10 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
Match Statistics
Al Kholood
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Hamed Abdullah YousefG
- 5E. UtkusD
- 6J. BuckleyM
- 8S. CisséM
- 10Iker KortajarenaM
- 11CobaM
- 15Ramzi SolanD
- 22J. DominguesF
- 25Mansour CamaraD
- 38S. PinasD
Substitutes
- 7Sultan Al ShehriD
- 24O. Abdulghani
- 27Abdullah Al AjyanF
- 39Abdulrahman Al DosariM
- 41I. BarabaaM
- 48Muhannad Al YahyaG
- 52R. JamanM
- 70Muhammad SawanM
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3IbañezD
- 6V. Atangana EdoaM
- 7TrincãoF
- 8E. SpertsyanM
- 9Feras Al BrikanF
- 16É. MendyG
- 17I. ToneyF
- 19A. BondarenkoM
- 28M. DemiralD
- 31Saad YaslamD
- 46Rayane Hamidou
Substitutes
- 1Abdulrahman Al SanbiG
- 2Zakaria Al HawsawiD
- 5Mohammed BakorD
- 11Meshal Al MutairiM
- 21Abdullah RadifF
- 29Mohammed YousefD
- 30Ziyad Al JohaniM
- 47Waheb SalehF
- 66Naif MasoudM
Al Kholood
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iker Kortajarena | M | 73 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Seydouba Cisse | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 4/4 |
| Edgaras Utkus | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramzi Sawlan | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Coba Da Costa | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 2 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Julien Domingues | F | 89 | 6.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Mansour Camara | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hamed Al-Shanqity | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| John Buckley | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Shaquille Riley Pinas(C) | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa | M | 78 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/7 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Rakan Abdulrahman bin Jaman | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhannad Al-Yahya | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Al Shehri | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Ajyan | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahem Barabaa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhammad Sawan | M | 12 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Abdulrahman Al-Dosari | M | 17 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Ahli Jeddah
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Francisco Trincão | F | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 1/3 |
| Roger Ibañez | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ivan Toney | F | 90 | 7.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Eduard Spertsyan | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 4 | 2/3 |
| Saad Yaslam Balobaid | D | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Valentin Atangana Edoa | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Firas Al-Buraikan | F | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| Artem Bondarenko | M | 87 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Rayan Hamed | D | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Merih Demiral | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Edouard Mendy(C) | G | 90 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ziyad Aljohani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al Sanbi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Sulaiman Bakor | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Naif Masoud | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meshal Al Mutairi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saleh Abu Al-Shamat | F | 26 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Abdullah Radif | F | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Zakaria Hawsawi | D | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Mohammed Abdulrahman | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al Kholood to win against Al-Ahli Jeddah.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al Kholood 4–3 Al-Ahli Jeddah.
- What were the win probabilities for Al Kholood vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- Fipster's model gave Al Kholood a 35% chance of winning, Al-Ahli Jeddah a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.