Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Nassr
Al Khaleej Saihat hold Al-Nassr to draw
Mascarell's stoppage-time strike earns home side a point against the favourites
In a Pro League clash that defied expectations, Al Khaleej Saihat secured a 1-1 draw with Al-Nassr. Omar Mascarell's goal just after the first half's end gave the hosts the lead, only for Abdullah Al Hamdan to level for Al-Nassr in the second half. Despite Fipster's high-confidence prediction of an away win, the match ended evenly, marking a notable upset against the forecast.
Outcome probability
As the Saudi Professional League rolls on, Al-Nassr face off against Al Khaleej Saihat in what promises to be a one-sided affair. With Al-Nassr's impressive form and goal difference, the visitors look set to extend their dominance.
Match factors
Al-Nassr's midfield creativity vs Al Khaleej's defense
Al-Nassr's João Félix and Ângelo provide high assist and goal threat, exploiting Al Khaleej's defensive vulnerabilities
Cristiano Ronaldo's scoring form
Ronaldo has 3 goals in 5 games, outperforming league average attackers and leading Al-Nassr's attack
Al-Nassr's strong recent form
Al-Nassr has won 5 of last 6 with consistent scoring, while Al Khaleej struggles to score and win
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, so all key players expected to participate
The context
Al-Nassr currently sit 4th in the league with 15 points from 6 games, boasting a goal difference of +16. In contrast, Al Khaleej Saihat languish near the bottom at 13th with just 4 points and a significantly poorer goal difference. Historically, Al-Nassr have won 9 of their 11 head-to-head clashes, underscoring their superiority in this matchup.
Key insights
Cristiano Ronaldo
Al-Nassr
Ronaldo’s 3 goals in 5 games make him the prime threat to Al Khaleej’s defence.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 5 games, 66.6 avg mins/game
João Félix
Al-Nassr
João Félix’s creativity and 2 assists in 5 games provide the spark behind Al-Nassr’s attack.
Pro League 26/272 assists in 5 games, 84 avg mins/game
Ângelo
Al-Nassr
Ângelo’s 3 goals and 2 assists in 6 games highlight his importance in midfield and goal threat.
Pro League 26/273 goals and 2 assists in 6 games, 74 avg mins/game
Analysis
Al-Nassr's midfield creativity, led by João Félix and Ângelo, is expected to exploit Al Khaleej's defensive vulnerabilities. Cristiano Ronaldo, with 3 goals in 5 games, remains the key attacking threat, supported by Sadio Mané's consistent contributions. Al Khaleej's defensive organisation, anchored by Mohammed Al-Khabrani, will be tested severely. The predicted halftime score of 0-2 reflects Al-Nassr's early control, with the visitors likely to maintain their advantage through to a 3-1 fulltime result.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Nassr have won 9 of 11 head-to-head matches against Al Khaleej Saihat.
- 2.Al-Nassr rank 4th with 15 points from 6 games; Al Khaleej Saihat rank 13th with 4 points.
- 3.Al-Nassr have a goal difference of +16 compared to Al Khaleej Saihat's significantly lower figure.
- 4.Al-Nassr's points-per-game (2.50) far exceeds Al Khaleej Saihat's (0.67).
- 5.Cristiano Ronaldo has scored 3 goals in 5 games this season.
- 6.João Félix leads Al-Nassr with 2 assists in 5 games.
- 7.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4.
Prediction
Expect Al-Nassr to secure a comfortable 3-1 victory, with Ronaldo and Ângelo among the likely scorers. The match should see around four cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al Khaleej Saihat
Away — Al-Nassr
The verdict
In summary, Al-Nassr's superior form, goal-scoring ability, and tactical edge make them clear favourites. Al Khaleej Saihat will need a miracle to upset the odds, but football is never short of surprises.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Nawaf Al Saadi
Yellow Card
Mohammed Al Khabrani
Yellow Card
Saad Al Nasser
Yellow Card
Mascarell
Assist: Fulgini
Abdullah Al Khaibari
Nawaf Al Saadi
Saleh Al Amri
Saad Al Nasser
Abdullah Al Hamdan
Assist: Martínez
Yellow Card
Fulgini
Saeed Al Hamsal
Majed Kanabah
Mansour Hamzi
Yellow Card
Abdulelah Al Amri
Ângelo
Samú Costa
Yellow Card
Moris
Yellow Card
Sami Al Naji
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +18 | 18 |
| 2 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 17 |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 16 |
| 4 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 12 |  Al-Fayha | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 7 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -7 | 5 |
| 14 |  Al Shabab | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Al Khaleej Saihat
4-3-3Starting XI
- 3Mohammed Al KhabraniD
- 4K. KouyatéD
- 5Pedro RebochoD
- 8Omar MascarellM
- 10A. FulginiF
- 11Saleh Al AmriF
- 12Majed KanabahM
- 18Nawaf Al SaadiF
- 19Miguel CrespoM
- 39Saeed Al HamsalD
- 49A. MorisG
Substitutes
- 14Ali Al ShaafiD
- 15Mansour HamziF
- 16Bader MunshiM
- 17Abdullah Al HafithD
- 27Fawaz Al SaqourD
- 28Hussain Al EisaF
- 29Raed Al ShanqitiD
- 96Marwan Al HaidariG
- 97Fahad Al RashidiF
Al-Nassr
4-4-2Starting XI
- 5Abdulelah Al AmriD
- 6Saad Al NasserD
- 7Cristiano RonaldoF
- 10S. ManéM
- 11Samú CostaM
- 12Nawaf BoushalD
- 17Abdullah Al KhaibariM
- 20ÂngeloM
- 24BentoG
- 26Íñigo MartínezD
- 79João FélixF
Substitutes
- 1Nawaf Al AqidiG
- 3M. SimakanD
- 4Nader Al SharariD
- 9Abdullah Al HamdanF
- 14Sami Al NajiM
- 50Majed QasheeshD
- 56R. Al GhamdiM
- 60Saad HaqawiF
- 70Awad AmanD
Al Khaleej Saihat
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Omar Mascarell | M | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Pedro Rebocho | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Kouyaté | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Fulgini | F | 74 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Saleh Al Amri | F | 61 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Hussain Al Eisa | F | 15 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Majed Kanabah | M | 75 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Fawaz Al Saqour | D | 16 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Al Saadi | F | 61 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Fahad Al Rashidi | F | 29 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Bader Munshi | M | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mansour Hamzi | F | 29 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Khabrani | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Saeed Al Hamsal | D | 74 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Miguel Crespo | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Moris | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marwan Al Haidari | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Shaafi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Raed Al Shanqiti | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Hafith | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Nassr
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdullah Al Hamdan | F | 20 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Íñigo Martínez | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Abdulelah Al Amri | D | 84 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Abdullah Al Khaibari | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Samú Costa | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| Saad Al Nasser | D | 70 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| S. Mané | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 4/4 |
| M. Simakan | D | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Boushal | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Ângelo | M | 84 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| João Félix | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Majed Qasheesh | D | 6 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Sami Al Naji | M | 6 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bento | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Al Ghamdi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nader Al Sharari | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Al Aqidi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Awad Aman | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saad Haqawi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Nassr?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Nassr to win against Al Khaleej Saihat.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Nassr?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al Khaleej Saihat 1–3 Al-Nassr.
- What were the win probabilities for Al Khaleej Saihat vs Al-Nassr?
- Fipster's model gave Al Khaleej Saihat a 2% chance of winning, Al-Nassr a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.