Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr
Match recap
Al-Ittihad FC beat Al-Nassr 2–1 in their Pro League fixture. Ilenikhena and Ilenikhena scored for Al-Ittihad FC; Ângelo replied for Al-Nassr. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.84 for Al-Ittihad FC versus 1.65 for Al-Nassr. Al-Ittihad FC sit 4th in the Pro League table while Al-Nassr are 2nd.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-2 Al-Ittihad FC win
Actual
2–1
Outcome probability
The Saudi Pro League fixture between Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Nassr promises to be a high-scoring affair, with both teams boasting potent attacks and recent good form. Fans can expect a lively contest with plenty of goalmouth action.
Match factors
Ilenikhena's Form Boosts Al-Ittihad Attack
George Ilenikhena's 4 goals in 6 games and strong home form give Al-Ittihad a potent striker advantage
Al-Nassr's Consistent Scoring Streak
Al-Nassr has scored in 5 consecutive matches, led by Ronaldo's 4 goals in 7 games
Aouar's Creative Influence for Al-Ittihad
Houssem Aouar's 2 assists in 7 games and high passing accuracy underpin Al-Ittihad's attacking creativity
Mané and João Félix Drive Al-Nassr Creativity
Mané (3 assists) and João Félix (3 assists) provide key creative outlets, enhancing Al-Nassr's attack
Full Squad Availability Enhances Tactical Options
No confirmed injuries for either team ensures all key scorers and assisters are available, maximizing tactical flexibility
The context
Al-Ittihad currently sit fourth in the league with 17 points from 8 games, while Al-Nassr are just above them in third with 19 points. Their head-to-head history is competitive, with Al-Ittihad winning 9 of their 20 meetings and Al-Nassr 6, and an average of 3.2 goals per match between them.
Key insights
George Ilenikhena
Al-Ittihad FC
George Ilenikhena's 4 goals in 6 games and strong home scoring form give Al-Ittihad a potent attacking edge.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 6 games, 3 goals in last 4 home games
Cristiano Ronaldo
Al-Nassr
Cristiano Ronaldo is Al-Nassr's top scorer with 4 goals in 7 games, providing a focal point for their attack.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 7 games, 3 goals in 4 home games
Houssem-Eddine Chaâbane Aouar
Al-Ittihad FC
Houssem Aouar's 2 assists and 87% passing accuracy underpin Al-Ittihad's creative midfield play.
Pro League 26/272 assists in 7 games, 87% passing accuracy
Sadio Mané
Al-Nassr
Sadio Mané's 3 assists make him a key creative outlet for Al-Nassr, complementing Ronaldo's goal threat.
Pro League 26/273 assists in 8 games
Analysis
Al-Ittihad's attacking threat is spearheaded by George Ilenikhena, who has netted 4 goals in 6 games and thrives particularly well at home. His partnership with creative midfielder Houssem Aouar, who boasts a high passing accuracy and 2 assists, adds to their offensive potency. On the other side, Al-Nassr rely on Cristiano Ronaldo's goal-scoring prowess and the creative contributions of Sadio Mané and João Félix, both with 3 assists this season. The predicted 3-2 scoreline reflects the attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Ittihad are 4th in the league with 17 points from 8 games (W5 D2 L1).
- 2.Al-Nassr are 3rd with 19 points from 8 games (W6 D1 L1).
- 3.In 20 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad have 9 wins, Al-Nassr 6, with 5 draws.
- 4.Head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals per game.
- 5.George Ilenikhena has scored 4 goals in 6 games, with strong home form.
- 6.Cristiano Ronaldo leads Al-Nassr with 4 goals in 7 games.
- 7.Houssem Aouar has 2 assists and 87% passing accuracy this season.
- 8.Sadio Mané and João Félix each have 3 assists, boosting Al-Nassr's creativity.
Prediction
We see Al-Ittihad clinching a 3-2 victory after a 2-1 halftime lead. The match is expected to be competitive and entertaining, with a total of around four cards reflecting the intensity of the contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Ittihad FC
Away — Al-Nassr
The verdict
Expect a thrilling encounter where Al-Ittihad's home advantage and sharp finishing could just tip the scales against a resilient Al-Nassr side. With key players fit and firing, this match should keep fans on the edge of their seats until the final whistle.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:24 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ilenikhena
Ilenikhena
Assist: Aouar
Ângelo
Mukhtar Ali
Ahmed Al Julaydan
Lopy
Yellow Card
Samú Costa
Yellow Card
Salem Al Najdi
Coman
Ilenikhena
Ahmed Al Ghamdi
Félix
Yellow Card
Samú Costa
Ângelo
Abdullah Al Khaibari
Yellow Card
Bergwijn
Abdulelah Al Amri
Yellow Card
En-Nesyri
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
Match Statistics
Al-Ittihad FC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1P. RajkovićG
- 2Danilo PereiraD
- 8Mukhtar AliM
- 9G. IlenikhenaF
- 10H. AouarM
- 15Hassan KadeshD
- 25F. AbdiD
- 27Ahmed Al GhamdiM
- 30D. LopyM
- 32Ahmed Al JulaydanD
- 34S. BergwijnM
Substitutes
- 5R. RiosM
- 11Saleh Al ShehriF
- 13Muhannad Al ShanqitiD
- 21Y. En-NesyriF
- 22Marwan Al SahafiF
- 42Muath FaqeehiD
- 50Mohammed Al AbsiG
- 60Rakan KaabiM
- 66Mohammed BarnawiD
Al-Nassr
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 1Nawaf Al AqidiG
- 3M. SimakanD
- 5Abdulelah Al AmriD
- 7Cristiano RonaldoF
- 10S. ManéM
- 11Samú CostaM
- 12Nawaf BoushalD
- 20ÂngeloM
- 21K. ComanM
- 79João FélixF
- 83Salem Al NajdiD
Substitutes
- 4Nader Al SharariD
- 6Saad Al NasserD
- 9Abdullah Al HamdanF
- 14Sami Al NajiM
- 17Abdullah Al KhaibariM
- 23Ayman YahyaM
- 24BentoG
- 60Saad HaqawiF
- 70Awad AmanD
Al-Ittihad FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| George Ilenikhena | F | 67 | 8.2 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Predrag Rajković | G | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Houssem Aouar | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Dion Lopy | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 4/4 |
| Danilo Pereira(C) | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Faris Abdi | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 3/3 |
| Ahmed Al-Ghamdi | M | 67 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Hassan Kadesh | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mukhtar Ali | M | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al-Julaydan | D | 53 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Steven Bergwijn | M | 82 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Muath Faqeehi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saleh Al-Shehri | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Absi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Barnawi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Richard Ríos | M | 45 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Muhannad Shanqeeti | D | 37 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Marwan Al-Sahafi | F | 23 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Rakan Kaabi | M | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youssef En-Nesyri | F | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Al-Nassr
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ângelo | M | 78 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/2 |
| Sadio Mané | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5/6 |
| Abdulelah Al-Amri | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| João Félix | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1/4 |
| Mohamed Simakan | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Cristiano Ronaldo(C) | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/1 |
| Nawaf Boushal | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Samú Costa | M | 78 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Nawaf Al-Aqidi | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kingsley Coman | M | 60 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Salem Alnajdi | D | 60 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Saad Haqawi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Awad Aman | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sami Al Naji | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nader Al Sharari | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bento | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saad Al-Nasser | D | 30 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayman Yahya | M | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Abdullah Al-Khaibari | M | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al-Hamdan | F | 12 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Ittihad FC to win against Al-Nassr.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Ittihad FC 3–2 Al-Nassr.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Nassr?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Ittihad FC a 68% chance of winning, Al-Nassr a 16% chance, and a 16% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 68% confidence — a high-confidence call.