Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Kholood
Match recap
Al-Ittihad FC and Al Kholood drew 1–1 in their Pro League fixture. Aouar and En-Nesyri scored for Al-Ittihad FC; Domingues replied for Al Kholood. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.34 for Al-Ittihad FC versus 2.27 for Al Kholood. Al-Ittihad FC sit 4th in the Pro League table while Al Kholood are 9th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
3-1 Al-Ittihad FC win
Actual
1–1
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Al-Ittihad FC facing Al Kholood in what promises to be an engaging encounter. Both teams have shown glimpses of quality, but the home side's recent form and attacking prowess set the stage for an exciting match.
Match factors
Al-Ittihad's potent attacking trio
En-Nesyri, Bergwijn, and Ilenikhena combine strong recent scoring form and starting roles in 4-3-3, likely to exploit Al Kholood's defense
Creative midfield supply from Aouar
Aouar's 2 assists and high passing accuracy provide Al-Ittihad with quality chances, boosting scoring potential
Iker Kortajarena's recent scoring surge
Kortajarena has 4 goals in last 5 games, showing form that could challenge Al-Ittihad's defense
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or outs, so all key scorers and assisters are available, maintaining team strength
Defensive solidity from Faris Abdi
Abdi's tackling and interceptions exceed league averages, crucial to disrupting Al Kholood's midfield creativity
The context
Al-Ittihad FC currently sit 4th in the league with 17 points from 8 games, boasting a positive goal difference of +5. In contrast, Al Kholood are 8th with 12 points and a -3 goal difference. Historically, Al-Ittihad have the upper hand in head-to-head clashes, having won half of their six meetings against Al Kholood without a single loss.
Key insights
Youssef En-Nesyri
Al-Ittihad FC
En-Nesyri's recent scoring spree with 4 goals in last 5 games makes him the focal point of Al-Ittihad's attack.
Pro League 26/275 goals in 8 games, 0.625 avg per game
Houssem-Eddine Chaâbane Aouar
Al-Ittihad FC
Aouar's creativity and 2 assists, combined with a 90% passing accuracy, provide quality chances for Al-Ittihad.
Pro League 26/272 assists in 7 games, 0.286 avg per game
Iker Kortajarena
Al Kholood
Kortajarena's 4 goals make him a key threat for Al Kholood, especially at home.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 8 games, 0.5 avg per game
- F
Faris Abdi
Al-Ittihad FC
Abdi's defensive work with high tackle and interception rates is crucial to disrupting Al Kholood's midfield.
Pro League 26/2720 tackles and 11 interceptions in 8 games
Analysis
Al-Ittihad's attacking trio of Youssef En-Nesyri, Steven Bergwijn, and George Ilenikhena have been in fine form, combining for a significant portion of the team's goals this season. En-Nesyri, in particular, has netted 4 goals in his last 5 games, making him a key threat. Creative midfielder Houssem-Eddine Chaâbane Aouar adds quality service with his precise passing and assists. On the other side, Al Kholood's Iker Kortajarena has been their standout scorer with 4 goals, but the defensive solidity of Al-Ittihad, led by Faris Abdi's tackling and interceptions, is expected to stifle their efforts.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Ittihad FC have won 3 of 6 head-to-head matches against Al Kholood, with 3 draws and no losses.
- 2.Al-Ittihad FC are ranked 4th in the league with 17 points from 8 games.
- 3.Al Kholood are ranked 8th with 12 points from 8 games.
- 4.Al-Ittihad FC have a goal difference of +5 compared to Al Kholood's -3 this season.
- 5.Youssef En-Nesyri has scored 4 goals in his last 5 games for Al-Ittihad FC.
- 6.Iker Kortajarena is Al Kholood's top scorer with 4 goals this season.
- 7.Houssem-Eddine Chaâbane Aouar has provided 2 assists with a high passing accuracy for Al-Ittihad FC.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards a home win for Al-Ittihad FC with a 3-1 scoreline. The halftime score is expected to be 1-0, reflecting a steady build-up to a convincing victory. The match is likely to feature moderate disciplinary action, with an estimated total of four cards.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Ittihad FC
Away — Al Kholood
The verdict
In summary, Al-Ittihad FC's superior form, attacking firepower, and home advantage should see them through to a comfortable 3-1 victory over Al Kholood. While Al Kholood will pose some challenges, especially through Kortajarena, the home side's quality and depth are expected to prevail.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:58 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Coba
Yellow Card
Aouar
Missed Penalty
En-Nesyri
Assist: Ahmed Al Julaydan
Farhah Al Shamrani
Domingues
Assist: Pinas
Card upgrade
Danilo Pereira
Red Card
Diaby
Ahmed Al Julaydan
Ramzi Solan
Muhannad Al Shanqiti
Yellow Card
Domingues
En-Nesyri
Pinas
Aouar
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Kholood | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
| 10 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
Match Statistics
Al-Ittihad FC
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1P. RajkovićG
- 2Danilo PereiraD
- 3S. KellerD
- 10H. AouarM
- 19M. DiabyF
- 21Y. En-NesyriF
- 25F. AbdiD
- 29Farhah Al ShamraniM
- 30D. LopyM
- 32Ahmed Al JulaydanD
- 34S. BergwijnF
Substitutes
- 11Saleh Al ShehriF
- 13Muhannad Al ShanqitiD
- 15Hassan KadeshD
- 22Marwan Al SahafiF
- 27Ahmed Al GhamdiF
- 42Muath FaqeehiD
- 50Mohammed Al AbsiG
- 60Rakan KaabiM
- 66Mohammed BarnawiD
Al Kholood
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Hamed Abdullah YousefG
- 5E. UtkusD
- 6J. BuckleyM
- 8S. CisséM
- 11CobaM
- 15Ramzi SolanD
- 22J. DominguesF
- 25Mansour CamaraD
- 38S. PinasD
- 39Abdulrahman Al DosariM
Substitutes
- 7Sultan Al ShehriD
- 10Iker KortajarenaM
- 23Yazan MadaniD
- 24O. Abdulghani
- 26Yaseen Al ZubaidiF
- 27Abdullah Al AjyanF
- 47Abdulrahman Al ObaidD
- 48Muhannad Al YahyaG
- 70Muhammad SawanM
Al-Ittihad FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Youssef En-Nesyri | F | 82 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Moussa Diaby | F | 62 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Predrag Rajković | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dion Lopy | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Stephane Keller | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Steven Bergwijn | F | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1/4 |
| Ahmed Al-Julaydan | D | 62 | 6.7 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Faris Abdi | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/4 |
| Houssem Aouar | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Farhah Ali Alshamrani | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Danilo Pereira(C) | D | 58 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ahmed Al-Ghamdi | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Al-Absi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Barnawi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muath Faqeehi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saleh Al-Shehri | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hassan Kadesh | D | 28 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rakan Kaabi | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Marwan Al-Sahafi | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Muhannad Shanqeeti | D | 28 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Kholood
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edgaras Utkus | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Shaquille Riley Pinas(C) | D | 86 | 7.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Hamed Al-Shanqity | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julien Domingues | F | 73 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | — | — |
| Coba Da Costa | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1/4 |
| Seydouba Cisse | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| John Buckley | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 4/5 |
| Abdulrahman Al-Dosari | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mansour Camara | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramzi Sawlan | D | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yaseen Al-Zubaidi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yazan Madani | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhammad Sawan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhannad Al-Yahya | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Ajyan | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al Obaid | D | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Sultan Al Shehri | D | 13 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Iker Kortajarena | M | 17 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Kholood?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Ittihad FC to win against Al Kholood.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Kholood?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Ittihad FC 3–1 Al Kholood.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Kholood?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Ittihad FC a 35% chance of winning, Al Kholood a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.