Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm
Match recap
Al-Ittihad FC beat Al-Hazm 3–2 in their Pro League fixture. Bergwijn, Bergwijn, and Bergwijn scored for Al-Ittihad FC; Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi and Bendebka replied for Al-Hazm. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 3.90 for Al-Ittihad FC versus 0.79 for Al-Hazm. Al-Ittihad FC sit 4th in the Pro League table while Al-Hazm are 12th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-1 Al-Ittihad FC win
Actual
3–2
Outcome probability
Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Hazm face off in the Saudi Pro League's third round, with Al-Ittihad looking to extend their strong start to the season. The home side boasts a potent attack and solid league position, while Al-Hazm aim to improve on their mid-table standing.
Match factors
Al-Ittihad's attacking trio in strong form
Bergwijn, En-Nesyri, and Ilenikhena combine high scoring and assist rates, likely to exploit Al-Hazm's defense
Creative midfield dominance by Aouar
Aouar's assist rate and passing accuracy surpass league averages, enhancing Al-Ittihad's chance creation
Ilenikhena's recent scoring surge
Ilenikhena scored 3 goals in last 5 games, showing rising form and impact off the bench
Al-Hazm's defensive discipline risk
Al-Dakheel's high yellow card count may lead to cautious play, weakening defense against Al-Ittihad's attack
Al-Hazm's limited scoring threats
Top scorers have low goal rates compared to Al-Ittihad's attackers, indicating offensive disadvantage
The context
Al-Ittihad currently sit 4th in the league with 17 points from 8 games, demonstrating consistent form with five wins, two draws, and just one loss. Al-Hazm, on the other hand, are 10th with 9 points, struggling to find the net as their goal difference lags behind. Historically, Al-Ittihad have the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, having won half of their last ten encounters.
Key insights
Steven Bergwijn
Al-Ittihad FC
Bergwijn’s 5 goals in 8 games, including a hat-trick against Al-Hazm, make him a constant threat at home.
Pro League 26/275 goals, 8 apps, 0.625 goals/game
Houssem-Eddine Chaâbane Aouar
Al-Ittihad FC
Aouar’s creativity with 2 assists in 7 games and high passing accuracy boosts Al-Ittihad’s attacking chances.
Pro League 26/272 assists, 7 apps, 0.29 assists/game
George Ilenikhena
Al-Ittihad FC
Ilenikhena’s recent scoring surge with 4 goals in 6 games adds depth to Al-Ittihad’s forward line.
Pro League 26/274 goals, 6 apps, 0.67 goals/game
- A
Abdurahman Al-Dakheel
Al-Hazm
Al-Dakheel’s 5 yellow cards in 7 games may force cautious defending, weakening Al-Hazm’s backline.
Pro League 26/275 yellow cards, 7 apps
Analysis
Al-Ittihad's attacking trio of Steven Bergwijn, Youssef En-Nesyri, and George Ilenikhena have been in fine form, combining for numerous goals and assists this season. Bergwijn, in particular, is a key threat with five goals in eight games, including a hat-trick against Al-Hazm previously. Midfielder Houssem-Eddine Chaâbane Aouar adds creativity with his above-average assist rate. Al-Hazm's defensive discipline is a concern, with key defender Abdurahman Al-Dakheel carrying a high yellow card count, potentially limiting his effectiveness. Offensively, Al-Hazm's top scorers have struggled to match the firepower of Al-Ittihad's forwards, suggesting a tough day ahead for the visitors.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Ittihad are 4th in the league with 17 points from 8 games (W5 D2 L1).
- 2.Al-Hazm sit 10th with 9 points from 8 games (W2 D3 L3).
- 3.Al-Ittihad have a superior goal difference of +7 compared to Al-Hazm.
- 4.In 10 head-to-head matches, Al-Ittihad have won 5, Al-Hazm 1, with 4 draws.
- 5.Steven Bergwijn has scored 5 goals in 8 games this season.
- 6.Bergwijn scored a hat-trick against Al-Hazm in a recent fixture.
- 7.Houssem-Eddine Chaâbane Aouar has 2 assists in 7 games, leading Al-Ittihad's creativity.
- 8.Al-Dakheel of Al-Hazm has received 5 yellow cards in 7 games, risking defensive caution.
Prediction
Expect Al-Ittihad to assert their dominance early, building on a predicted 2-0 halftime lead and extending it to a 4-1 fulltime victory. The home side's attacking prowess and superior league form make them clear favourites to secure all three points comfortably.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Ittihad FC
Away — Al-Hazm
The verdict
In summary, Al-Ittihad's blend of clinical finishing and creative midfield play should prove too much for Al-Hazm. The visitors will need to tighten their defence and find a way to contain the home side's key players if they hope to avoid a heavy defeat.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:47 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi
Assist: Pululu
Bah
Yellow Card
Bergwijn
Assist: Aouar
Penalty confirmed
Ben Hmida
Yellow Card
Bergwijn
Penalty
Marwan Al Sahafi
Yellow Card
Marwan Al Sahafi
Keller
Hassan Kadesh
Yellow Card
Abdi
Yellow Card
Bendebka
Assist: Saud Al Rashed
En-Nesyri
Al Nakhli
Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi
Šimić
Ahmed Al Shamrani
Yellow Card
Bah
Saud Al Rashed
Penalty confirmed
Bergwijn
Penalty
Bergwijn
Ben Hmida
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
| 11 |  Al Shabab | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Al-Hazm | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 9 |
Match Statistics
Al-Ittihad FC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1P. RajkovićG
- 2Danilo PereiraD
- 3S. KellerD
- 4J. ŠimićD
- 8Mukhtar AliM
- 10H. AouarM
- 21Y. En-NesyriF
- 22Marwan Al SahafiM
- 25F. AbdiD
- 27Ahmed Al GhamdiM
- 34S. BergwijnM
Substitutes
- 9G. IlenikhenaF
- 11Saleh Al ShehriF
- 15Hassan KadeshD
- 29Farhah Al ShamraniM
- 32Ahmed Al JulaydanD
- 42Muath FaqeehiD
- 50Mohammed Al AbsiG
- 60Rakan KaabiM
- 66Mohammed BarnawiD
Al-Hazm
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 2Saud Al RashedD
- 3A. Ben HmidaD
- 4Sultan TankerD
- 9Afimico PululuF
- 17Bonheur MugishaM
- 22Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al DhuwayhiM
- 23Ibrahim ZaidG
- 24A. BahM
- 27Ahmed Al NakhliM
- 28S. BendebkaM
- 34Abdulrahman Al-DakheelD
Substitutes
- 5Mohammed Essa Harbush
- 8M. KonatéM
- 11Waleed Al Shanqiti
- 12Farhan Al-AazmiD
- 13Abdullah Al ShanqitiD
- 29Aboubacar DiakiteF
- 33Majed Al-Ghamdi
- 70Ahmed Al ShamraniM
- 77M. Al HamdaniF
Al-Ittihad FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steven Bergwijn | M | 85 | 9.2 | 3 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 3/6 |
| Mukhtar Ali | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Danilo Pereira(C) | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Marwan Al-Sahafi | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ahmed Al-Ghamdi | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Youssef En-Nesyri | F | 60 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jan-Carlo Simić | D | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Houssem Aouar | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Stephane Keller | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Predrag Rajković | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faris Abdi | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mohammed Barnawi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Farhah Ali Alshamrani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muath Faqeehi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Absi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rakan Kaabi | M | 14 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| George Ilenikhena | F | 30 | 6.7 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Saleh Al-Shehri | F | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ahmed Al-Julaydan | D | 45 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Hassan Kadesh | D | 45 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Hazm
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe | M | 65 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Sofiane Bendebka | M | 90 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Aboubacar Bah | M | 77 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ibrahim Zaied | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Afimico Pululu | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 1 | 1/5 |
| Abdurahman Al-Dakheel(C) | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al-Nakhli | M | 65 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Bonheur Mugisha | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Saud Al Rashed | D | 77 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Sultan Tanker | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Amine Ben Hmida | D | 88 | 5.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Abdullah Al-Shanqiti | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Majed Al Ghamdi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Walead Alshangeati | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mory Konate | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Hamdani | F | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al-Shamrani | M | 25 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Farhan Al-Azmi | D | 13 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Yami | D | 13 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Aboubacar Diakite | F | 11 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Ittihad FC to win against Al-Hazm.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Ittihad FC 4–1 Al-Hazm.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Hazm?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Ittihad FC a 85% chance of winning, Al-Hazm a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.