Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fayha
Match recap
Al-Ittihad FC beat Al-Fayha 2–1 in their Pro League fixture. Ilenikhena and En-Nesyri scored for Al-Ittihad FC; Jason replied for Al-Fayha. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 2.42 for Al-Ittihad FC versus 0.62 for Al-Fayha. Al-Ittihad FC sit 4th in the Pro League table while Al-Fayha are 14th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-0 Al-Ittihad FC win
Actual
2–1
Outcome probability
Al-Ittihad FC and Al-Fayha face off in the Regular Season - 6, with Al-Ittihad looking to continue their strong league form. Both teams have shown contrasting fortunes so far, setting the stage for an intriguing encounter.
Match factors
Al-Ittihad's potent attacking trio
Bergwijn, En-Nesyri, and Ilenikhena combine strong scoring and assist form, boosting home attack
Superior home scoring rate for Al-Ittihad
Al-Ittihad averages 2 goals per home game, well above league average and Al-Fayha's away scoring
Ilenikhena's recent scoring surge
Ilenikhena scored 3 goals in last 5 games, including multiple home goals, indicating strong form
Aouar's creative influence
Aouar's assist and passing stats suggest he will be key in unlocking Al-Fayha's defense
No confirmed absences for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups and tactical plans
The context
Al-Ittihad FC currently sit 4th in the league with 17 points from 8 games, demonstrating solid form with five wins, two draws, and just one loss. Meanwhile, Al-Fayha find themselves 12th with 7 points, having struggled to convert draws into wins. Historically, Al-Ittihad have the upper hand in their 20 meetings, winning 11 to Al-Fayha's 5, with 4 draws.
Key insights
Steven Bergwijn
Al-Ittihad FC
Bergwijn’s strong home form with 3 goals in 4 home games makes him a key threat for Al-Ittihad.
Pro League 26/275 goals in 8 appearances, 3 at home
George Ilenikhena
Al-Ittihad FC
Ilenikhena’s recent scoring surge includes 3 goals in the last 5 games, highlighting his excellent home scoring rate.
Pro League 26/274 goals and 2 assists in 6 games, 1.5 goals/game at home
Houssem-Eddine Chaâbane Aouar
Al-Ittihad FC
Aouar’s creativity and 2 assists in 7 games suggest he will be crucial in unlocking Al-Fayha’s defence.
Pro League 26/272 assists in 7 appearances
Analysis
Al-Ittihad's attacking trio of Steven Bergwijn, Youssef En-Nesyri, and George Ilenikhena have been in fine form, combining for a significant share of the team's goals and assists. Bergwijn boasts 5 goals in 8 appearances, including 3 at home, while Ilenikhena has scored 4 in 6 games with an impressive home scoring rate. Midfielder Houssem-Eddine Chaâbane Aouar adds creativity with 2 assists in 7 games, likely to be pivotal in breaking down Al-Fayha's defence. Al-Fayha's top scorer Lázaro has 3 goals but has struggled away from home, which could limit their attacking threat.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Ittihad FC are 4th in the league with 17 points from 8 games (W5 D2 L1).
- 2.Al-Fayha are 12th with 7 points from 8 games (W1 D4 L3).
- 3.In 20 head-to-head meetings, Al-Ittihad have won 11, Al-Fayha 5, with 4 draws.
- 4.Al-Ittihad average 2 goals per home game, well above league average.
- 5.Steven Bergwijn has scored 5 goals in 8 games, including 3 at home.
- 6.George Ilenikhena has 4 goals and 2 assists in 6 games, with excellent home form.
- 7.Houssem-Eddine Chaâbane Aouar has 2 assists in 7 games, key in creating chances.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for Al-Ittihad FC with a 2-0 scoreline. Their superior home scoring rate and attacking depth should see them edge out Al-Fayha, who have found it tough on the road. While the confidence in this exact scoreline is cautious due to limited match history, the overall indicators point to a solid home victory.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Ittihad FC
Away — Al-Fayha
The verdict
Expect Al-Ittihad FC to leverage their attacking strengths and home advantage to secure a 2-0 win over Al-Fayha. The visitors will need to tighten their defence and find more attacking spark to challenge the hosts effectively.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:18 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ilenikhena
Jason
Assist: Ahmed Bamasud
Bergwijn
Šimić
Yellow Card
Ahmed Al Ghamdi
Šimić
Penalty confirmed
Mohammed Al Baqawi
Yellow Card
En-Nesyri
Penalty
Aouar
Al Hussain
Mohammed Al Baqawi
Ilenikhena
Semedo
Ahmed Bamasud
Paulo Oliveira
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
| 13 |  Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Al-Ittihad FC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Danilo PereiraD
- 4J. ŠimićD
- 5R. RiosM
- 9G. IlenikhenaF
- 10H. AouarM
- 15Hassan KadeshD
- 25F. AbdiD
- 27Ahmed Al GhamdiM
- 30D. LopyM
- 34S. BergwijnM
- 50Mohammed Al AbsiG
Substitutes
- 11Saleh Al ShehriF
- 13Muhannad Al ShanqitiD
- 21Y. En-NesyriF
- 22Marwan Al SahafiF
- 29Farhah Al ShamraniM
- 42Muath FaqeehiD
- 60Rakan KaabiM
- 66Mohammed BarnawiD
- 88Osama Al MermeshG
Al-Fayha
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 2Mukhir Al RashidiD
- 5Hugo MouraM
- 6Ali Al HussainM
- 10F. SakalaM
- 15Paulo OliveiraD
- 17LázaroF
- 22Mohammed Al BaqawiD
- 23JasonM
- 24Ahmed BamasudD
- 30Alfa SemedoF
- 52O. MosqueraG
Substitutes
- 1Abdulraoof Al-DeqeelG
- 9Malek Al AbdulmanamF
- 12Turki Al JaadiD
- 14Mansor Al BesheM
- 21Ziyad Al SahafiD
- 27S. Al HarbiF
- 43Fahad Majed AlhubayshiM
- 47Mohammed Al DowaishD
- 77R. Enad
Al-Ittihad FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Danilo Pereira(C) | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Houssem Aouar | M | 75 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0/1 |
| Hassan Kadesh | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Richard Ríos | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Jan-Carlo Simić | D | 62 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Dion Lopy | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Mohammed Al-Absi | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| George Ilenikhena | F | 86 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/2 |
| Faris Abdi | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Ahmed Al-Ghamdi | M | 62 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| Steven Bergwijn | M | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Saleh Al-Shehri | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Osama Al-Mermesh | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Barnawi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Farhah Ali Alshamrani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Youssef En-Nesyri | F | 28 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Muhannad Shanqeeti | D | 28 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Marwan Al-Sahafi | F | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Muath Faqeehi | D | 15 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rakan Kaabi | M | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Fayha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Mosquera | G | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jason | M | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2/6 |
| Hugo Moura | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Ahmed Bamasud | D | 89 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Mokher Al-Rashidi | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alfa Semedo | F | 89 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Fashion Sakala | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 4/7 |
| Lázaro | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Paulo Oliveira | D | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Baqawi(C) | D | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Hussain | M | 81 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Fahad Majed Alhubayshi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ziyad Al-Sahafi | D | 1 | — | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Abdulraouf Al-Duqayl | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mansor Al-Beshe | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Turki Al-Jaadi | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Dowaish | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Al-Jabri | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malek Al Abdulmonam | F | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Enad | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fayha?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Ittihad FC to win against Al-Fayha.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fayha?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Ittihad FC 2–0 Al-Fayha.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al-Fayha?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Ittihad FC a 35% chance of winning, Al-Fayha a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.