Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah
Al-Ittihad FC secures solid win over Al Diriyah
Goals from G. Ilenikhena and G. Wijnaldum ensure a comfortable 2-0 victory.
Al-Ittihad FC claimed a straightforward 2-0 victory against Al Diriyah in the Pro League, with G. Ilenikhena opening the scoring in the first half and G. Wijnaldum sealing the win from the penalty spot after the break. While Fipster predicted a higher-scoring 3-1 result, the call for an Al-Ittihad home win was spot on, confirming their dominance without the expected goal glut.
Outcome probability
Al-Ittihad FC and Al Diriyah face off in the 11th round of the regular season, with Al-Ittihad looking to extend their strong run of form. Both teams have shown glimpses of quality, but the home side holds a clear edge in recent performances and league standing.
Match factors
Al-Ittihad's midfield control via D. Lopy
D. Lopy's exceptional passing accuracy (90%) and high involvement will help control midfield and supply attackers.
Darwin Núñez's scoring threat for Al Diriyah
Núñez leads Al Diriyah with 3 goals in 7 games, showing strong finishing and consistent minutes.
George Ilenikhena's recent goal form
Ilenikhena has scored multiple goals recently with high match ratings, boosting Al-Ittihad's attack.
Óscar Rodríguez's creative influence
Rodríguez's 4 assists in 6 games and set-piece duties make him a key playmaker for Al Diriyah.
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups and tactical options.
The context
Al-Ittihad FC currently sit 5th in the league with 17 points from 8 games, boasting a better goal difference and points-per-game ratio than Al Diriyah, who are 8th with 12 points from 9 matches. This fixture offers Al-Ittihad a chance to consolidate their position and maintain momentum.
Key insights
- D
Darwin Núñez Ribeiro
Al Diriyah
Núñez leads Al Diriyah with 3 goals in 7 games, showing strong finishing and consistent minutes.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 7 games, 0.43 goals/game, 620 mins played
George Ilenikhena
Al-Ittihad FC
Ilenikhena has scored multiple goals recently with high match ratings, boosting Al-Ittihad's attack.
Pro League 26/27Multiple goals in recent fixtures, strong attacking presence
Óscar Rodríguez
Al Diriyah
Rodríguez's 4 assists in 6 games and set-piece duties make him a key playmaker for Al Diriyah.
Pro League 26/274 assists in 6 games, 0.67 assists/game
- D
D. Lopy
Al-Ittihad FC
D. Lopy's exceptional passing accuracy (90%) and high involvement will help control midfield and supply attackers.
Pro League 26/27Passing accuracy at 90%, 54.4 passes/game
Analysis
The prediction models strongly favour a home win, with a 69% likelihood and the most probable full-time scoreline being 3-1. Al-Ittihad's midfield control, led by D. Lopy's impressive passing accuracy, and the attacking threat of George Ilenikhena, who has been in good scoring form, underpin this forecast. Meanwhile, Al Diriyah's Darwin Núñez remains a key threat, but the visitors are expected to struggle to contain the home side's attacking prowess.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Ittihad FC are 5th in the league with 17 points from 8 games (W5 D2 L1).
- 2.Al Diriyah are 8th with 12 points from 9 games (W3 D3 L3).
- 3.Al-Ittihad FC have a superior goal difference of +6 compared to Al Diriyah.
- 4.Al-Ittihad FC average 2.13 points per game, while Al Diriyah average 1.33.
- 5.The most likely full-time score is 3-1 in favour of Al-Ittihad FC.
- 6.Halftime score prediction is 1-0, consistent with the final scoreline.
- 7.Predicted total cards in the match is 4, indicating a moderately physical game.
Prediction
Expect Al-Ittihad FC to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted 1-0 halftime score, before extending their advantage to finish 3-1. The match is also likely to see around four cards, suggesting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Ittihad FC
Away — Al Diriyah
The verdict
All signs point to a confident home victory for Al-Ittihad FC, who have the form, firepower, and tactical edge to overcome Al Diriyah. Fans can anticipate a lively match with goals and a fair share of competitive spirit.
Prediction generated 20 Oct 2026, 19:56 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Saad Al Mosa
Yellow Card
Mukhtar Ali
Yellow Card
Ilenikhena
Goal confirmed
Rodríguez
Yellow Card
Ilenikhena
Yellow Card
Ilenikhena
Saad Al Mosa
Djimsiti
Yellow Card
Chelfi
Goal cancelled
Hussain Al Qahtani
Millot
Yellow Card
Hussain Al Sibyani
Meshari Al Nemer
Meshari Al Nemer
Yellow Card
Abdulelah Al Malki
Yellow Card
Wijnaldum
Penalty
Wijnaldum
Rodríguez
Ahmed Al Ghamdi
Aouar
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Kholood | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
Match Statistics
Al-Ittihad FC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1P. RajkovićG
- 2Danilo PereiraD
- 5R. RiosM
- 6Saad Al MosaD
- 8Mukhtar AliM
- 9G. IlenikhenaF
- 10H. AouarM
- 13Muhannad Al ShanqitiD
- 23G. WijnaldumM
- 25F. AbdiD
- 27Ahmed Al GhamdiM
Substitutes
- 11Saleh Al ShehriF
- 21Y. En-NesyriF
- 22Marwan Al SahafiF
- 30D. LopyM
- 32Ahmed Al JulaydanD
- 41Mohammed FallatahM
- 42Muath FaqeehiD
- 50Mohammed Al AbsiG
- 66Mohammed BarnawiD
Al Diriyah
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 10A. BoulbinaM
- 12T. WadiD
- 14Óscar RodríguezM
- 16Hussain Al SibyaniD
- 19B. DjimsitiD
- 20E. MillotM
- 25L. ChelfiM
- 52Hussain Al QahtaniM
- 75Meshari Al NemerF
- 97Amin Al BukhariG
- 99C. MbembaD
Substitutes
- 2Abdulaziz Al FarajD
- 6Sultan Al FarhanM
- 17C. DiandyF
- 21M. HameranD
- 29D. NúñezF
- 78Khalid Al AsiriD
- 87Qassem LajamiD
- 88Abdulelah Al MalkiM
Al-Ittihad FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Abdi | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | — |
| G. Ilenikhena | F | 46 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Muhannad Al Shanqiti | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| Danilo Pereira | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Wijnaldum | M | 78 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 5 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| D. Lopy | M | 44 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Rios | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Saad Al Mosa | D | 46 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muath Faqeehi | D | 8 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mukhtar Ali | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/1 |
| P. Rajković | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marwan Al Sahafi | F | 12 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al Ghamdi | M | 82 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| H. Aouar | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Y. En-Nesyri | F | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Saleh Al Shehri | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Absi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Barnawi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al Julaydan | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Fallatah | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Diriyah
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amin Al Bukhari | G | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Millot | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 3 | 3/3 |
| D. Núñez | F | 32 | 6.8 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Hussain Al Qahtani | M | 58 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| C. Mbemba | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al Asiri | D | 32 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| C. Diandy | F | 32 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Hussain Al Sibyani | D | 58 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Boulbina | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| T. Wadi | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| B. Djimsiti | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Óscar Rodríguez | M | 81 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Meshari Al Nemer | F | 58 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Faraj | D | 9 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| L. Chelfi | M | 58 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulelah Al Malki | M | 32 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Hameran | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Qassem Lajami | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Al Farhan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Ittihad FC to win against Al Diriyah.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Ittihad FC 3–1 Al Diriyah.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Diriyah?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Ittihad FC a 73% chance of winning, Al Diriyah a 13% chance, and a 14% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 73% confidence — a high-confidence call.