Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC
Al-Hilal edge out Al-Ittihad in five-goal thriller
Martinelli and Summerville shine as hosts deny visitors in a tight contest
Al-Hilal Saudi FC secured a narrow 3-2 victory over Al-Ittihad FC in a lively Pro League encounter. Gabriel Martinelli and O. Watkins gave the hosts an early advantage, with C. Summerville adding a crucial goal after the break. Despite late pressure and a penalty from S. Bergwijn, Al-Ittihad couldn't find an equaliser. The result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction favouring an away win, proving the home side's resilience.
Outcome probability
The upcoming clash between Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Ittihad FC promises to be a compelling encounter between two of the league's strongest sides. Both teams have shown impressive form this season, setting the stage for a tightly contested match.
Match factors
Midfield dominance by Al-Hilal's Milinković-Savić and Neves
Both players have strong goal and assist contributions, likely to control midfield and create scoring chances.
Al-Ittihad's Bergwijn and En-Nesyri form key attacking threat
Bergwijn and En-Nesyri have combined for 8 goals this season, providing strong offensive options.
Al-Hilal's superior away scoring rate
Al-Hilal averages 3.3 goals per away game, well above league average, indicating strong offensive potential on the road.
Al-Ittihad's recent unbeaten run with consistent scoring
Al-Ittihad has scored in 4 of last 5 matches and remains unbeaten, showing strong form momentum.
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, ensuring strongest lineups and tactical flexibility.
The context
Al-Ittihad currently lead the league with 17 points from 7 games, remaining unbeaten, while Al-Hilal sit closely behind in third place with 15 points from 6 games. Historically, Al-Hilal have had the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, winning 14 of the 20 encounters, but recent form suggests a shift in momentum.
Key insights
Sergej Milinković-Savić
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Leads team scoring with 4 goals in 6 games and strong away form with 3 goals in last 4 away matches, key to midfield control.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 6 appearances, 0.67 goals/game
Rúben Neves
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Contributes both goals and assists with 3 goals and 2 assists, excellent penalty taker and passing stats.
Pro League 26/273 goals and 2 assists in 6 appearances
Steven Bergwijn
Al-Ittihad FC
Top scorer for Al-Ittihad with 4 goals in 7 games, strong home scoring and consistent starter.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 7 appearances, 0.57 goals/game
Youssef En-Nesyri
Al-Ittihad FC
Important striker with 4 goals in 7 games, strong recent away form with 2 goals in last 2 away matches.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 7 appearances, 0.57 goals/game
Analysis
Al-Ittihad's attacking duo, Steven Bergwijn and Youssef En-Nesyri, have been in fine form, combining for 8 goals this season and providing a significant threat. Meanwhile, Al-Hilal's midfield maestros Sergej Milinković-Savić and Rúben Neves are expected to control the midfield with their goal and assist contributions. Despite Al-Hilal's superior goal difference and strong offensive stats, Al-Ittihad's unbeaten streak and consistent scoring make them the favourites to edge this one.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Hilal Saudi FC have won 14 of 20 head-to-head matches against Al-Ittihad FC.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.0 total goals.
- 3.Al-Ittihad FC lead the league unbeaten with 17 points from 7 games.
- 4.Al-Hilal Saudi FC are third in the league with 15 points from 6 games.
- 5.Al-Hilal have a better goal difference (+12) than Al-Ittihad (+6) this season.
Prediction
The prediction leans towards an away win for Al-Ittihad with a 2-1 scoreline. This outcome reflects their current league dominance and attacking prowess, while acknowledging Al-Hilal's resilience and quality. Expect a competitive match with both sides finding the net, but ultimately Al-Ittihad will come out on top.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Away — Al-Ittihad FC
The verdict
In summary, while Al-Hilal have the historical edge and a strong goal difference, Al-Ittihad's unbeaten form and attacking threat give them the slight advantage. Fans can look forward to an entertaining match with goals and tactical battles, culminating in a narrow victory for the visitors.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Gabriel Martinelli
Assist: Watkins
En-Nesyri
Assist: Marwan Al Sahafi
Watkins
Rúben Neves
Yellow Card
Lopy
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
Marwan Al Sahafi
Summerville
Assist: Watkins
Hernández
Bouabré
Muhannad Al Shanqiti
Abdi
Bergwijn
Yellow Card
Watkins
Nasser Al Dawsari
Ahmed Al Ghamdi
Aouar
Penalty confirmed
Bergwijn
Penalty
Hassan Tambakti
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +19 | 21 |
| 2 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 3 |  Al-Nassr | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 19 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
Match Statistics
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2Mohammed Mater Mohsin MahzariD
- 3K. KoulibalyD
- 6Nasser Al DawsariM
- 7Gabriel MartinelliF
- 8Rúben NevesM
- 11O. WatkinsF
- 19T. HernándezD
- 37Y. BounouG
- 38C. SummervilleM
- 70Saïmon BouabréM
- 87Hassan TambaktiD
Substitutes
- 18Murad Al HawsawiM
- 24Moteb Al HarbiD
- 27Sultan MandashF
- 28Mohamed KannoM
- 33Mohammed Al OwaisG
- 72S. DahalF
- 77Nawaf Al HabashiM
- 78Ali LajamiD
- 96Suhayb Al ZaidM
Al-Ittihad FC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1P. RajkovićG
- 2Danilo PereiraD
- 4J. ŠimićD
- 10H. AouarF
- 13Muhannad Al ShanqitiD
- 21Y. En-NesyriF
- 22Marwan Al SahafiM
- 25F. AbdiD
- 27Ahmed Al GhamdiM
- 30D. LopyM
- 34S. BergwijnM
Substitutes
- 6Saad Al MosaD
- 8Mukhtar AliM
- 11Saleh Al ShehriF
- 23G. WijnaldumM
- 29Farhah Al ShamraniM
- 32Ahmed Al JulaydanD
- 42Muath FaqeehiD
- 50Mohammed Al AbsiG
- 60Rakan KaabiM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Watkins | F | 81 | 9.6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0/1 |
| Gabriel Martinelli | F | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3/7 |
| C. Summerville | M | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Rúben Neves | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sultan Mandash | F | 9 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| T. Hernández | D | 67 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Y. Bounou | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saïmon Bouabré | M | 67 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Nasser Al Dawsari | M | 81 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hassan Tambakti | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Koulibaly | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Moteb Al Harbi | D | 23 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Kanno | M | 23 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Murad Al Hawsawi | M | 9 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| S. Dahal | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Suhayb Al Zaid | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Lajami | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Owais | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Al Habashi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Ittihad FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. En-Nesyri | F | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| J. Šimić | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| P. Rajković | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marwan Al Sahafi | M | 58 | 6.5 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| Ahmed Al Ghamdi | M | 83 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 5/6 |
| H. Aouar | F | 83 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Danilo Pereira | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Muhannad Al Shanqiti | D | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Saleh Al Shehri | F | 7 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| D. Lopy | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Ahmed Al Julaydan | D | 21 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Abdi | D | 69 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Muath Faqeehi | D | 21 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mukhtar Ali | M | 7 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Wijnaldum | M | 32 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Bergwijn | M | 90 | 5.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Saad Al Mosa | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Absi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rakan Kaabi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Farhah Al Shamrani | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Ittihad FC to win against Al-Hilal Saudi FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Hilal Saudi FC 1–2 Al-Ittihad FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Ittihad FC?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Hilal Saudi FC a 18% chance of winning, Al-Ittihad FC a 63% chance, and a 19% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 63% confidence — a medium-confidence call.