Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh
Match recap
Al-Hilal Saudi FC beat Al-Fateh 2–0 in their Pro League fixture. Watkins and Rúben Neves scored for Al-Hilal Saudi FC. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 3.63 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC versus 0.28 for Al-Fateh. Al-Hilal Saudi FC sit 3rd in the Pro League table while Al-Fateh are 16th.
Outcome probability
Al-Hilal Saudi FC and Al-Fateh face off in the 12th round of the regular season, with Al-Hilal looking to extend their impressive run of form. The clash promises goals and tactical battles, with Al-Hilal expected to assert their dominance early on.
Match factors
Al-Hilal's superior passing and defensive metrics
Al-Hilal midfielders like Rúben Neves average 69 passes/game with 87% accuracy, well above league average, enabling control and chance creation.
Al-Hilal's strong recent form and scoring streak
Al-Hilal have won 9 of last 10 games, scoring in 9 straight matches, indicating high confidence and attacking efficiency.
Al-Fateh's key attackers face tough defensive challenge
Aka Kanga and Mourad Batna are main threats but face Al-Hilal's disciplined defense led by Koulibaly with 61% duel win rate.
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so tactical and form factors dominate the match outcome.
The context
Al-Hilal currently sit 3rd in the league with 24 points from 9 games, boasting a near-flawless record of 8 wins and 1 loss. In contrast, Al-Fateh languish near the bottom at 16th place with just 6 points from 11 matches. Historically, Al-Hilal have a strong upper hand, having won 16 of their 20 encounters with Al-Fateh, and their matches tend to be high scoring affairs averaging 4.2 goals per game.
Key insights
- R
Rúben Neves
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Exceptional passing accuracy and volume enable Al-Hilal to control the midfield and create chances.
Pro League 26/2787% passing accuracy, 69 passes per game
- K
Kalidou Koulibaly
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Strong defensive presence with high duel win rate, crucial for shutting down Al-Fateh's attacks.
Pro League 26/2761% duel win rate
Aka Kanga
Al-Fateh
Top scorer for Al-Fateh with 3 goals, but faces a tough defensive challenge from Al-Hilal.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 10 games
Mourad Batna
Al-Fateh
Leading assist provider, creative force trying to unlock Al-Hilal's defence despite team's struggles.
Pro League 26/274 assists in 9 games
Analysis
Al-Hilal's midfield maestro Rúben Neves is a key figure, averaging 69 passes per game with an 87% accuracy rate, enabling his team to control possession and create chances effectively. Defensively, Kalidou Koulibaly's solidity and duel-winning prowess will be crucial in containing Al-Fateh's main threats, Aka Kanga and Mourad Batna. Al-Fateh's top scorer Aka Kanga has netted 3 goals this season but faces a tough challenge against Al-Hilal's disciplined defence. Both teams have full squads available, so expect tactics and form to be the deciding factors.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Hilal Saudi FC have won 16 of 20 head-to-head matches against Al-Fateh.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 4.2 total goals.
- 3.Al-Hilal ranks 3rd with 24 points from 9 games (W8 D0 L1).
- 4.Al-Fateh ranks 16th with 6 points from 11 games (W1 D3 L7).
- 5.Al-Hilal have won 9 of their last 10 games, scoring in 9 consecutive matches.
- 6.Rúben Neves averages 69 passes per game with 87% accuracy, key to Al-Hilal's midfield control.
- 7.Kalidou Koulibaly has a 61% duel win rate, anchoring Al-Hilal's defence.
Prediction
We anticipate Al-Hilal to take an early lead, reflected in the predicted halftime score of 1-0. Their attacking efficiency and home advantage should see them extend their lead, finishing the match 3-1. The game is also expected to be competitive in discipline, with around four cards likely to be shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Away — Al-Fateh
The verdict
In summary, Al-Hilal Saudi FC look set to continue their strong season with a confident 3-1 victory over Al-Fateh. Their superior form, tactical control, and historical dominance make them the clear favourites in this encounter.
Prediction generated 23 Oct 2026, 19:56 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Saâdane
Yellow Card
Watkins
Penalty cancelled
Penalty cancelled
Haraslín
Yellow Card
Rúben Neves
Yellow Card
Boateng
Yellow Card
Al Khaibari
Haraslín
Nasser Al Dawsari
Kanga
Penalty confirmed
Rúben Neves
Penalty
Hassan Tambakti
Batna
Sultan Mandash
Watkins
Youssouf
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +20 | 28 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 28 |
| 3 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 10 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | -14 | 5 |
Match Statistics
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 2Mohammed Mater Mohsin MahzariD
- 3K. KoulibalyD
- 6Nasser Al DawsariM
- 8Rúben NevesM
- 11O. WatkinsF
- 19T. HernándezD
- 22S. Milinković-SavićM
- 27Sultan MandashF
- 37Y. BounouG
- 38C. SummervilleM
- 87Hassan TambaktiD
Substitutes
- 18Murad Al HawsawiM
- 24Moteb Al HarbiD
- 28Mohamed KannoM
- 33Mohammed Al OwaisG
- 72S. DahalF
- 75M. MeïtéF
- 77Nawaf Al HabashiM
- 78Ali LajamiD
- 96Suhayb Al ZaidM
Al-Fateh
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1A. ŠemperG
- 3K. BoatengD
- 6Ali Al HassanM
- 8M. LixandruD
- 9W. KangaF
- 10L. HaraslínM
- 11M. BatnaM
- 16Abdulelah Al KhaibariD
- 17M. SaâdaneD
- 28Z. YoussoufM
- 78Abdulaziz Al SuwailemD
Substitutes
- 7Fahad Al ZubaidiF
- 18Abdulaziz Al FawazM
- 19R. KelderD
- 22Abdul Rahman Al KhaibariD
- 25M. Al SahihiM
- 49Saad Al SharfaF
- 80Faisal Al AbdulwahedM
- 94Waleed Al AnziG
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hernández | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Rúben Neves | M | 90 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 6 | — |
| O. Watkins | F | 92 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 5 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| K. Koulibaly | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Mater Mohsin Mahzari | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Nasser Al Dawsari | M | 81 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Hassan Tambakti | D | 92 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Kanno | M | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Y. Bounou | G | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Milinković-Savić | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 1/3 |
| Sultan Mandash | F | 92 | 6.6 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 0/2 |
| C. Summerville | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | — |
| Nawaf Al Habashi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Owais | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Lajami | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moteb Al Harbi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Suhayb Al Zaid | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Murad Al Hawsawi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Meïté | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| S. Dahal | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Fateh
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Šemper | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Youssouf | M | 92 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| W. Kanga | F | 82 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Abdulelah Al Khaibari | D | 75 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| M. Batna | M | 92 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saad Al Sharfa | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Hassan | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Faisal Al Abdulwahed | M | 15 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Abdulaziz Al Suwailem | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Saâdane | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lixandru | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| K. Boateng | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| L. Haraslín | M | 75 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| R. Kelder | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Fawaz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Waleed Al Anzi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fahad Al Zubaidi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Al Sahihi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win against Al-Fateh.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Hilal Saudi FC 3–1 Al-Fateh.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Fateh?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Hilal Saudi FC a 95% chance of winning, Al-Fateh a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.