Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Faisaly FC
Match recap
Al-Hilal Saudi FC beat Al-Faisaly FC 4–2 in their Pro League fixture. Benzema, Malcom, Rúben Neves, and Rúben Neves scored for Al-Hilal Saudi FC; Mendy and Bongonda replied for Al-Faisaly FC. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 4.50 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC versus 1.82 for Al-Faisaly FC. Al-Hilal Saudi FC sit 1st in the Pro League table while Al-Faisaly FC are 15th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
4-1 Al-Hilal Saudi FC win
Actual
4–2
Outcome probability
The new season kicks off with Al-Hilal Saudi FC facing Al-Faisaly FC in what promises to be a lively encounter. Al-Hilal's attacking prowess is expected to shine through, while Al-Faisaly will look to keep things tight and avoid a heavy defeat.
Match factors
Al-Hilal's attacking trio in strong form
Watkins, Martinelli, and Neves combine high scoring and assisting rates, creating multiple threats
Superior scoring and assist rates for Al-Hilal
Al-Hilal's top scorers and assisters exceed league averages significantly, boosting goal potential
Al-Hilal's recent winning and scoring streak
Team has won 7 of last 8 with average 3.25 goals scored, indicating strong offensive momentum
Full squad availability for Al-Hilal
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, ensuring strongest lineup possible
The context
Al-Hilal currently sit top of the league with a strong points tally and a healthy goal difference, while Al-Faisaly find themselves near the bottom, struggling to find form. Historically, Al-Hilal have had the upper hand in their head-to-head clashes, winning the majority of their meetings.
Key insights
O. Watkins
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Highest scorer and assister for Al-Hilal this season, key focal point in attack with high involvement.
Pro League 26/274 goals and 4 assists in 5 appearances this season.
Gabriel Martinelli
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Perfect goal per game ratio this season, strong away form with recent goals.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 4 appearances this season.
Rúben Neves
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Contributes goals and assists from midfield including penalties, key set-piece taker.
Pro League 26/273 goals and 3 assists in 8 appearances this season.
Analysis
Al-Hilal's offensive trio, featuring O. Watkins, Gabriel Martinelli, and Rúben Neves, have been in excellent form, combining for multiple goals and assists this season. Their ability to create and convert chances is a significant advantage. Al-Faisaly, on the other hand, have struggled defensively, reflected in their negative goal difference. The predicted 4-1 scoreline aligns with Al-Hilal's strong attacking momentum and Al-Faisaly's defensive vulnerabilities.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Hilal Saudi FC lead the league with 21 points from 8 games.
- 2.Al-Faisaly FC are 15th with just 3 points from 7 games.
- 3.Al-Hilal have a goal difference of +27 compared to Al-Faisaly's -8.
- 4.Al-Hilal have won 10 of 16 head-to-head matches against Al-Faisaly.
- 5.Rúben Neves scored 2 goals in this fixture, highlighting his offensive contribution.
- 6.The most probable full-time scoreline is 4-1 in favour of Al-Hilal.
- 7.The match is expected to see around 4 total cards, indicating moderate discipline issues.
Prediction
Expect Al-Hilal Saudi FC to secure a comfortable 4-1 victory. Their attacking efficiency and home advantage should be too much for Al-Faisaly to handle, despite the visitors' efforts to stay competitive.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Away — Al-Faisaly FC
The verdict
In summary, Al-Hilal's superior form and firepower make them clear favourites. Al-Faisaly will need to tighten up at the back and hope for some moments of magic to avoid a heavy defeat. But on this occasion, the scoreboard is likely to reflect Al-Hilal's dominance.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 10:00 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Penalty confirmed
Benzema
Penalty
Malcom
Rúben Neves
Penalty
Mendy
Assist: Seoane
Almuqrin
Yellow Card
Bongonda
Assist: Bassogog
Almuqrin
Benzema
Mohamed Kanno
Al Shereaf
Bongonda
Seoane
Bassogog
Rúben Neves
Penalty
Ali Lajami
Summerville
Moteb Al Harbi
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Match Statistics
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 2Mohammed Mater Mohsin MahzariD
- 3K. KoulibalyD
- 8Rúben NevesM
- 9K. BenzemaF
- 10MalcomM
- 22S. Milinković-SavićM
- 24Moteb Al HarbiD
- 28Mohamed KannoM
- 37Y. BounouG
- 38C. SummervilleM
- 78Ali LajamiD
Substitutes
- 6Nasser Al DawsariM
- 17M. Al RubaieG
- 18Murad Al HawsawiM
- 27Sultan MandashF
- 33Mohammed Al OwaisG
- 55M. Al DawoodD
- 72S. DahalF
- 75M. MeïtéF
- 77Nawaf Al HabashiD
Al-Faisaly FC
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1Fernando PachecoG
- 3Khalid Al HarbiD
- 4A. SeckD
- 5Andrei GirottoD
- 10T. BongondaF
- 13C. BassogogF
- 14Abdullah AlmuqrinM
- 19Alexandre MendyF
- 20Jaime SeoaneM
- 50Mohammed Ali Al ShanqitiD
- 77A. Al ShereafM
Substitutes
- 2Yaseen BarnawiD
- 6Eid Al MuwalladM
- 11A. EllaF
- 26Mohammed Al HasawiG
- 70Mohammed JahfaliD
- 87A. Al SabeatM
- 88Saud HaddadD
- 95Ayman Fallatah\tM
- 99Ahmad Al MhemaidD
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rúben Neves | M | 96 | 8.5 | 2 | — | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Karim Benzema | F | 70 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Crysencio Summerville | M | 84 | 7.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Malcom | M | 96 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Sergej Milinković-Savić | M | 96 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2/5 |
| Yassine Bounou | G | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moteb Al-Harbi | D | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Ali Lajami | D | 84 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Mahzari | D | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Mohamed Kanno(C) | M | 71 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Kalidou Koulibaly | D | 96 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Nawaf Al-Habashi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sabri Abdu Dahal | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Murad Al Hawsawi | M | 7 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Yami | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Owais | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nasser Al-Dawsari | M | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Sultan Mandash | F | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Kader Meite | F | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Meshal Al Dawood | D | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Faisaly FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Théo Bongonda | F | 71 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Alexandre Mendy | F | 96 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Jaime Seoane | M | 76 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Christian Bassogog | F | 76 | 7.3 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Andrei Girotto(C) | D | 96 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Fernando Pacheco | G | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al-Shereaf | M | 71 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abdullah Almogren | M | 65 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Shanqiti | D | 96 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Abdoulaye Seck | D | 96 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al-Harbi | D | 96 | 5.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yaseen Barnawi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Bin Subayt | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Hasawi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Jahfali | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayman Fallatah | M | 20 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Jordy Ella | F | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Eid Al Muwallad | M | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saud Haddad | D | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmad Al Mhemaid | D | 31 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Faisaly FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win against Al-Faisaly FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Faisaly FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Hilal Saudi FC 4–1 Al-Faisaly FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Hilal Saudi FC vs Al-Faisaly FC?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Hilal Saudi FC a 85% chance of winning, Al-Faisaly FC a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.