Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon
Match recap
Al-Hazm beat Al Taawon 1–0 in their Pro League fixture. Bah scored for Al-Hazm. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.98 for Al-Hazm versus 0.77 for Al Taawon. Al-Hazm sit 12th in the Pro League table while Al Taawon are 17th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-0 Al-Hazm win
Actual
1–0
Outcome probability
As the Saudi Pro League regular season rolls on, Al-Hazm and Al Taawon face off in what promises to be a closely contested encounter. Both teams have had their struggles this season, but the home side's recent form and defensive discipline could prove decisive.
Match factors
Al-Hazm's home scoring form supports predicted win
Al-Hazm scores 0.7 goals per home game with a positive scoring streak, favoring a narrow home win
Al Taawon struggles to score away from home
Al Taawon has failed to score in 71% of away games, limiting their scoring threat in this fixture
Al-Hazm's disciplined defense vs Al Taawon attack
Al-Hazm defenders have solid tackling and interception rates, likely to contain Al Taawon forwards
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from missing key players
The context
Al-Hazm currently sit 10th in the league with 9 points from 8 games, showing a modest but steady performance. Al Taawon, on the other hand, find themselves near the bottom at 16th with just 3 points from 7 matches. Historically, their head-to-head meetings have been fairly balanced, though Al Taawon have a slight edge with three wins to Al-Hazm's one in ten encounters.
Key insights
Aboubacar Bah
Al-Hazm
Bah’s strong midfield presence and two goals this season make him a key contributor to Al-Hazm’s attacking threat.
Pro League 26/272 goals in 8 apps, averaging 89.4 minutes per game
- A
Abdulrahman Al-Dakheel
Al-Hazm
Al-Dakheel’s defensive discipline and leadership are crucial in maintaining Al-Hazm’s solid backline.
Pro League 26/27High yellow card rate (0.71 per game), important defensive starter and captain
- A
Ashraf El Mahdioui
Al Taawon
El Mahdioui’s excellent passing and defensive work are vital for Al Taawon’s midfield stability despite their struggles.
Pro League 26/2791% passing accuracy, 17 tackles and 10 interceptions in 8 games
Analysis
Al-Hazm's home scoring rate of 0.7 goals per game and positive goal difference of +7 this season underline their ability to edge out tight matches. Their defence, marshalled by disciplined players like Abdulrahman Al-Dakheel, has been effective in limiting opponents' chances. Al Taawon have struggled to find the net away from home, failing to score in over 70% of their away fixtures, which dampens their attacking threat here. Both teams have full squads available, so no injury concerns should affect the outcome.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Hazm rank 10th with 9 points from 8 games (W2 D3 L3).
- 2.Al Taawon are 16th with 3 points from 7 games (W0 D3 L4).
- 3.Al-Hazm have a +7 goal difference, significantly better than Al Taawon.
- 4.Al-Hazm score 0.7 goals per home game on average.
- 5.Al Taawon have failed to score in 71% of their away matches this season.
- 6.In 10 head-to-head meetings, Al Taawon have 3 wins, Al-Hazm 1, with 6 draws.
- 7.No confirmed injuries for either team ahead of this fixture.
- 8.Predicted total cards in the match is 4, indicating moderate discipline.
Prediction
Given the statistical edge in home form and defensive solidity, Al-Hazm are predicted to clinch a narrow 1-0 victory. The halftime scoreline is expected to mirror the fulltime result, reflecting a tight but controlled performance. Expect a moderately disciplined match with around four cards shown.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Hazm
Away — Al Taawon
The verdict
In summary, Al-Hazm's better form and home advantage should see them through to a slender win over Al Taawon. While the away side will look to break their scoring drought, the home team's defensive organisation and key players' contributions are likely to keep them at bay.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:19 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Bah
Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi
Al-Arini
Rashad
Yellow Card
Acolatse
Ben Hmida
Abdulrahman Al-Dakheel
Yellow Card
Awn Al Saluli
Bajrami
Sultan Tanker
Yellow Card
Rashad
Bendebka
Pululu
Match Statistics
Al-Hazm
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Saud Al RashedD
- 3A. Ben HmidaD
- 4Sultan TankerD
- 7E. AcolatseM
- 9Afimico PululuF
- 17Bonheur MugishaM
- 22Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al DhuwayhiM
- 23Ibrahim ZaidG
- 24A. BahM
- 28S. BendebkaM
- 34Abdulrahman Al-DakheelD
Substitutes
- 5Mohammed Essa Harbush
- 10A. SayoudM
- 11Waleed Al Shanqiti
- 13Abdullah Al ShanqitiD
- 27Ahmed Al NakhliD
- 29Aboubacar DiakiteF
- 33Majed Al-Ghamdi
- 70Ahmed Al ShamraniM
- 77M. Al HamdaniF
Al Taawon
3-5-2Starting XI
- 1MailsonG
- 5Z. BelaïdD
- 8P. GuiagonM
- 10N. BajramiF
- 14Saif RashadM
- 18A. El MahdiouiM
- 19O. DorleyM
- 20Bassem Al-AriniF
- 32Muteb Al MufarrijD
- 88M. PetkovM
- 93Awn Al SaluliD
Substitutes
- 4Nasser Al HaleelD
- 7Mohammed Al KuwaykibiF
- 16Faris Al GhamdiM
- 17Mohammed Al AqelF
- 23Rakan Al TulayhiM
- 30Abdullah Al JadaniG
- 40Ibrahim MahnashiM
- 55J. CollahuazoD
- 70A. Hendi
Al-Hazm
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aboubacar Bah | M | 90 | 8.5 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Abdurahman Al-Dakheel(C) | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Tanker | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Zaied | G | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amine Ben Hmida | D | 58 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Elton Acolatse | M | 58 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Bonheur Mugisha | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saud Al Rashed | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Afimico Pululu | F | 88 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe | M | 26 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sofiane Bendebka | M | 87 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mohammed Al-Yami | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Majed Al Ghamdi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Walead Alshangeati | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amir Saâyoud | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Hamdani | F | 64 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Ahmed Al-Shamrani | M | 32 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Abdullah Al-Shanqiti | D | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al-Nakhli | D | 32 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aboubacar Diakite | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Taawon
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashraf El Mahdioui(C) | M | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Zineddine Belaid | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Muteb Al-Mufarrij | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mailson | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Oscar Dorley | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Awn Al-Saluli | D | 67 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nedim Bajrami | F | 67 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Marin Petkov | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Bassem Al-Arini | F | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Parfait Guiagon | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 4 | 2/6 |
| Saif Rashad Mohamed | M | 80 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3/7 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Nasser Al Haleel | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Hendi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al-Jadani | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jair Collahuazo | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faris Al Ghamdi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Kuwaykibi | F | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Rakan Al-Tulayhi | M | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Al Aqal | F | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Mahnashi | M | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Hazm to win against Al Taawon.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Hazm 1–0 Al Taawon.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Hazm vs Al Taawon?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Hazm a 65% chance of winning, Al Taawon a 17% chance, and a 18% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 65% confidence — a medium-confidence call.