Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab
Match recap
Al-Hazm and Al Shabab drew 1–1 in their Pro League fixture. Pululu scored for Al-Hazm; Roger Martínez replied for Al Shabab. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.02 for Al-Hazm versus 1.54 for Al Shabab. Al-Hazm sit 12th in the Pro League table while Al Shabab are 11th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-0 Al-Hazm win
Actual
1–1
Outcome probability
This Saudi Pro League encounter between Al-Hazm and Al Shabab promises a tight contest, with both sides eager to improve their league standings. Al-Hazm have shown better form recently, especially at home, while Al Shabab look to find their first win of the season.
Match factors
Al-Hazm's midfield defensive solidity
Al-Hazm midfielders Bah and Al Dhuwayhi show above-average tackling and interceptions, likely to disrupt Al Shabab's creative midfielders
Al-Hazm's home scoring consistency
Al-Hazm has scored in 3 consecutive home games, showing positive scoring momentum at home
Yannick Carrasco's attacking form
Carrasco leads Al Shabab with 3 goals and 1 assist in 8 games, showing key attacking form despite team's struggles
Al Shabab's creative midfield strength
Players like Brownhill and Adli provide high passing volume and assist potential, key for unlocking defenses
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, allowing full-strength lineups and tactical plans
The context
Al-Hazm currently sit 10th in the league with 9 points from 8 games, showing a points-per-game advantage over Al Shabab, who are 14th with 4 points from 7 matches. Historically, Al Shabab have dominated their head-to-head meetings, but recent form suggests a shift in momentum.
Key insights
- A
Aboubacar Bah
Al-Hazm
Bah's above-average passing accuracy and strong defensive contribution make him key to disrupting Al Shabab's play.
Pro League 26/2787% passing accuracy, 2.125 tackles/game, 89.4 avg mins/game
Yannick Carrasco
Al Shabab
Carrasco leads Al Shabab's attack with 3 goals and 1 assist, vital despite the team's struggles.
Pro League 26/273 goals, 1 assist in 8 games, 90 avg mins/game
Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi
Al-Hazm
Al Dhuwayhi's goal threat and midfield presence add to Al-Hazm's balanced approach.
Pro League 26/272 goals in 7 appearances, 69.4 avg mins/game
J. Brownhill
Al Shabab
Brownhill's creativity and passing volume are crucial for unlocking defenses.
Pro League 26/272 assists in 8 games, 90 avg mins/game
Analysis
Al-Hazm's midfield duo, including Aboubacar Bah and Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi, provide solid defensive coverage, disrupting Al Shabab's creative midfielders like J. Brownhill and Y. Adli. Al-Hazm have scored in three consecutive home games, indicating positive scoring momentum. Meanwhile, Al Shabab's Yannick Carrasco remains a key attacking threat with 3 goals this season, but the visitors have struggled to convert chances consistently.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Hazm are 10th in the league with 9 points from 8 games (W2 D3 L3).
- 2.Al Shabab are 14th with 4 points from 7 games (W0 D4 L3).
- 3.Al-Hazm have a points-per-game advantage of 1.13 compared to Al Shabab's 0.57.
- 4.Al-Hazm have scored in three consecutive home matches.
- 5.In 10 head-to-head meetings, Al Shabab have won all 10 against Al-Hazm.
- 6.Yannick Carrasco is Al Shabab's top scorer with 3 goals in 8 games.
- 7.Al-Hazm midfielders Bah and Al Dhuwayhi contribute strong defensive work.
- 8.The most probable total cards count for the match is 4.
Prediction
We predict a narrow 1-0 victory for Al-Hazm, reflecting their home scoring consistency and defensive solidity. The halftime scoreline is expected to be 1-0, with a total of around four cards in the match, suggesting a competitive but disciplined affair.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Hazm
Away — Al Shabab
The verdict
Al-Hazm's blend of defensive resilience and timely attacking contributions should see them edge this encounter. Al Shabab will need to improve their finishing and midfield creativity to challenge more effectively in future fixtures.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:34 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Abdulrahman Al-Dakheel
Yellow Card
Roger Martínez
Assist: Carrasco
Adli
Yellow Card
Al-Hammami
Podence
Acolatse
Dhari Al Anazi
Yellow Card
Roger Martínez
Saud Al Rashed
Bendebka
Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi
Pululu
Dhari Al Anazi
Red Card
Dhari Al Anazi
Yellow Card
Pululu
Penalty
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 10 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 |  Al Shabab | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Al-Hazm | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 9 |
Match Statistics
Al-Hazm
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Saud Al RashedD
- 3A. Ben HmidaD
- 4Sultan TankerD
- 7E. AcolatseM
- 9Afimico PululuF
- 17Bonheur MugishaM
- 22Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al DhuwayhiM
- 23Ibrahim ZaidG
- 24A. BahM
- 28S. BendebkaM
- 34Abdulrahman Al-DakheelD
Substitutes
- 8M. KonatéM
- 10A. SayoudM
- 11Waleed Al Shanqiti
- 13Abdullah Al ShanqitiD
- 27Ahmed Al NakhliD
- 33Majed Al-Ghamdi
- 70Ahmed Al ShamraniM
- 77M. Al HamdaniF
- 95Jaser AteeqD
Al Shabab
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1M. DiawG
- 3M. BarryD
- 4T. JedvajD
- 8J. BrownhillM
- 9Roger MartínezF
- 10Y. CarrascoM
- 11Daniel PodenceM
- 17Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al ThaniD
- 21Dhari Al AnaziD
- 22Hammam Al-HammamiM
- 29Y. AdliM
Substitutes
- 2Mohammed Al ShwirekhD
- 5Ali MakkiD
- 6Awad Al NashriM
- 24Abdulrahman Al ObudF
- 33Mohammed Al MahasnehG
- 37A. Matuq
- 40Ali Al AsmariM
- 94Mubarak Al RajehD
- 99Hamad Al-KhorayefF
Al-Hazm
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ibrahim Zaied | G | 90 | 8.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aboubacar Bah | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Sultan Tanker | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amine Ben Hmida | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdurahman Al-Dakheel(C) | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Bonheur Mugisha | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Afimico Pululu | F | 89 | 6.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Saud Al Rashed | D | 80 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Sofiane Bendebka | M | 81 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe | M | 81 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Elton Acolatse | M | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mory Konate | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaser Ateeq | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al-Shanqiti | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al-Nakhli | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Majed Al Ghamdi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Hamdani | F | 9 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al-Shamrani | M | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Amir Saâyoud | M | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Walead Alshangeati | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Shabab
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roger Martínez | F | 74 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/2 |
| Mory Diaw | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yannick Carrasco(C) | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4/5 |
| Yacine Adli | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Josh Brownhill | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Tin Jedvaj | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Thani | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mamadou Barry | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dhari Al-Enezi | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Hammam Al-Hammami | M | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| Daniel Podence | M | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Hamad Al-Khorayef | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Mahasneh | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Awad Al-Nashri | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Makki | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mubarak Al-Rajeh | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Shwirekh | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Alobud | F | 28 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Abdullah Matuq | F | 28 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ali Al Asmari | M | 16 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Hazm to win against Al Shabab.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Hazm 1–0 Al Shabab.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Hazm vs Al Shabab?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Hazm a 50% chance of winning, Al Shabab a 25% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 50% confidence — a medium-confidence call.