Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha
Al-Hazm and Al-Fayha share spoils in Pro League
A lively 2-2 draw sees both sides claim a point after goals from Mugisha, Sakala, and a late penalty.
Al-Hazm and Al-Fayha played out an entertaining 2-2 draw in the Pro League, with Bonheur Mugisha giving the hosts an early lead before F. Sakala levelled for the visitors. Sultan Tanker's own goal put Al-Hazm ahead again, but A. Sayoud's penalty in the 89th minute ensured the points were shared. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a narrow home win.
Outcome probability
As the Saudi Pro League's regular season unfolds, Al-Hazm and Al-Fayha prepare to face off in Round 11. Both sides have had their share of ups and downs, making this a match where every point counts.
Match factors
Al-Hazm's midfield control through A. Bah
A. Bah's high passing volume and accuracy (avg 52 passes/game, 88-89%) gives Al-Hazm midfield dominance
Lázaro's home scoring form for Al-Fayha
Lázaro has scored 3 goals this season, all at home, showing strong finishing ability in home matches
Al-Hazm's recent scoring streak at home
Al-Hazm has scored in 4 of last 5 home games, indicating offensive momentum at home
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have no confirmed out players, so full squads available for tactical deployment
The context
Al-Hazm currently sit 11th in the league with 9 points from 9 games, while Al-Fayha are just below in 14th with 7 points from 10 matches. Historically, Al-Hazm hold a slight edge in their head-to-head record, having won 6 of their 14 meetings compared to Al-Fayha's 4, with 4 draws between them. Their encounters typically produce a moderate scoring rate, averaging 2 goals per game.
Key insights
- A
A. Bah
Al-Hazm
A. Bah's exceptional passing accuracy and volume provide Al-Hazm with midfield dominance, crucial for controlling the game.
Pro League 26/2788-89% passing accuracy, ~52 passes per game
Lázaro
Al-Fayha
Lázaro's knack for scoring at home makes him a key threat for Al-Fayha in this match.
Pro League 26/273 goals this season, all scored at home
Analysis
Al-Hazm's midfield maestro A. Bah has been instrumental this season, boasting an impressive passing accuracy of around 88-89% and averaging 52 passes per game, well above the league average. This control in midfield could be key to unlocking Al-Fayha's defence. Meanwhile, Al-Fayha's top scorer Lázaro has found his form at home, netting all 3 of his goals this season on familiar turf. However, Al-Hazm's recent scoring streak at home, finding the net in 4 of their last 5 home games, suggests they have the offensive momentum to edge this contest.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Hazm lead the head-to-head with 6 wins in 14 matches against Al-Fayha's 4, with 4 draws.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 2.0 goals, indicating moderate scoring.
- 3.Al-Hazm are 11th in the league with 9 points from 9 games (W2 D3 L4).
- 4.Al-Fayha are 14th with 7 points from 10 games (W1 D4 L5).
- 5.Al-Hazm have scored in 4 of their last 5 home games, showing offensive momentum.
- 6.Lázaro is Al-Fayha's top scorer with 3 goals, all scored at home.
- 7.A. Bah's high passing accuracy (88-89%) and volume (52 passes/game) gives Al-Hazm midfield control.
- 8.No confirmed injuries for either team, so full squads are available.
Prediction
Expect a cautious first half with both teams feeling each other out, leading to a 0-0 halftime score. The decisive moment is likely to come late, with Al-Hazm clinching a narrow 1-0 victory. The match should see a handful of cards, around four, reflecting a competitive but controlled battle.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Hazm
No standout top scorers flagged for Al-Hazm
Away — Al-Fayha
The verdict
This fixture promises a tight tussle with Al-Hazm's midfield dominance and home scoring form giving them the slight upper hand. Al-Fayha will rely on Lázaro's finishing to keep them in the game, but ultimately, the home side are predicted to take all three points.
Prediction generated 19 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Mugisha
Assist: Sayoud
Sakala
Assist: Jason
Ahmed Bamasud
Abdulaziz Al-Harbi
Bendebka
Yellow Card
Al Hussain
Yellow Card
Bendebka
Pululu
Sultan Tanker (OG)
Santana
Ben Hmida
Moura
Sayoud
Penalty
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 11 |  Al Shabab | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Al-Hazm | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Al-Hazm
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3A. Ben HmidaD
- 4Sultan TankerD
- 9Afimico PululuF
- 10A. SayoudM
- 17Bonheur MugishaM
- 24A. BahM
- 27Ahmed Al NakhliM
- 28S. BendebkaM
- 34Abdulrahman Al-DakheelD
- 36J. StaněkG
- 82Abdulaziz Al-HarbiD
Substitutes
- 5Mohammed IssaD
- 8M. KonatéM
- 11Waleed Al ShanqitiF
- 13Abdullah Al ShanqitiD
- 23Ibrahim ZaidG
- 70Ahmed Al ShamraniM
- 77M. Al HamdaniF
- 88K. AbduljawadF
- 95Jaser AteeqD
Al-Fayha
4-4-2Starting XI
- 5Hugo MouraM
- 6Ali Al HussainM
- 10F. SakalaF
- 21Ziyad Al SahafiD
- 22Mohammed Al BaqawiD
- 23JasonF
- 24Ahmed BamasudD
- 25O. ColleyD
- 30Alfa SemedoM
- 40Yago SantanaM
- 52O. MosqueraG
Substitutes
- 1Abdulraoof Al-DeqeelG
- 2Mukhir Al RashidiD
- 7Nawaf Al-HarthiM
- 9Malek Al AbdulmanamF
- 12Turki Al JaadiD
- 14Mansor Al BesheM
- 43Fahad Majed AlhubayshiM
- 77R. EnadF
Al-Hazm
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bonheur Mugisha | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1/3 |
| A. Sayoud | M | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1/2 |
| M. Al Hamdani | F | 44 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| Abdulrahman Al-Dakheel | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Afimico Pululu | F | 67 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/4 |
| Waleed Al Shanqiti | F | 23 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bah | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| A. Ben Hmida | D | 73 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| J. Staněk | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaser Ateeq | D | 17 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Abdulaziz Al-Harbi | D | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Tanker | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al Nakhli | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Ahmed Al Shamrani | M | 23 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| S. Bendebka | M | 67 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Abduljawad | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Konaté | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Zaid | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Shanqiti | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Issa | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Fayha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F. Sakala | F | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3/8 |
| O. Mosquera | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jason | F | 90 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 2 | 2/2 |
| Ziyad Al Sahafi | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Al Baqawi | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hugo Moura | M | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Yago Santana | M | 69 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/2 |
| Alfa Semedo | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | 1/2 |
| Ali Al Hussain | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| O. Colley | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mukhir Al Rashidi | D | 10 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Bamasud | D | 37 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fahad Majed Alhubayshi | M | 21 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Turki Al Jaadi | D | 53 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abdulraoof Al-Deqeel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Enad | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mansor Al Beshe | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malek Al Abdulmanam | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Al-Harthi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Hazm to win against Al-Fayha.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Hazm 1–0 Al-Fayha.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Hazm vs Al-Fayha?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Hazm a 53% chance of winning, Al-Fayha a 23% chance, and a 24% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 53% confidence — a medium-confidence call.