Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh
Al-Fateh snatch late win at Al-Hazm
A thrilling five-goal encounter sees Al-Fateh overturn the hosts with two late strikes.
Al-Hazm looked set for victory after S. Bendebka's early penalty and Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi's goal after the break gave them a two-goal cushion. However, Al-Fateh fought back with W. Kanga's first-half equaliser and clinched the win thanks to late goals from Faisal Al Abdulwahed and M. Batna deep into stoppage time. This result defied Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a narrow home win.
Outcome probability
As the Saudi Pro League season progresses into its ninth round, Al-Hazm and Al-Fateh face off in a match that promises a tight contest. Both sides have had their struggles, but Al-Hazm's slightly better form and league position suggest they have the edge in this encounter.
Match factors
Al-Fateh's main scoring threat is Wilfried Kanga
Kanga leads Al-Fateh with 1 goal this season and shows strong recent away scoring form (0.5 goals per game last 5 away)
Zaydou-Dine Youssouf is key playmaker for Al-Fateh
Youssouf tops assists with 1 this season, high passing accuracy (88%), and strong defensive work
Al-Hazm lacks top scorers, limiting their attacking threat
Al-Hazm has no players in top scorers list, reducing their goal threat in this match
Al-Fateh struggles defensively with recent conceding streak
Al-Fateh has conceded in 3 consecutive matches, indicating defensive vulnerabilities
Strong defensive duo Saadane and Boateng anchor Al-Fateh's backline
Saadane and Boateng show above-average defensive stats and leadership, crucial against Al-Hazm attack
The context
Al-Hazm currently sit 10th in the league with 8 points from 7 games, showing a more stable performance compared to Al-Fateh, who are 17th with just 3 points from 8 matches. Historically, Al-Fateh have had the upper hand in head-to-head meetings, winning six of eleven clashes, but recent form and league position favour Al-Hazm.
Key insights
Wilfried Kanga
Al-Fateh
Kanga leads Al-Fateh with 1 goal this season and shows strong recent away scoring form (0.5 goals per game last 5 away).
Pro League 26/271 goal in 7 appearances, 578 minutes played
Zaydou-Dine Youssouf
Al-Fateh
Youssouf tops assists with 1 this season, high passing accuracy (88%), and strong defensive work.
Pro League 26/271 assist in 7 appearances, 630 minutes played
- M
Marwane Saadane
Al-Fateh
Saadane shows strong defensive stats and leadership, crucial against Al-Hazm attack.
Pro League 26/2710 tackles and 9 interceptions in 5 games, 78% duel win rate
Analysis
Al-Hazm's superior goal difference and points per game highlight their relative strength this season. Al-Fateh's defensive vulnerabilities, having conceded in three consecutive matches, could be exploited. While Al-Fateh's Wilfried Kanga remains a threat with his decent away scoring form, Al-Hazm's home advantage and tighter defence are likely to keep him at bay. The predicted 1-0 halftime and fulltime scoreline reflects a cautious but confident outlook for a home win.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Hazm are 10th in the league with 8 points from 7 games (W2 D2 L3).
- 2.Al-Fateh are 17th with 3 points from 8 games (W0 D3 L5).
- 3.In 11 head-to-head matches, Al-Fateh have 6 wins, Al-Hazm 3, with 2 draws.
- 4.Al-Hazm have a better goal difference (-2) compared to Al-Fateh's -11.
- 5.Al-Hazm average 1.14 points per game, while Al-Fateh average 0.38.
- 6.Wilfried Kanga is Al-Fateh's top scorer with 1 goal in 7 appearances.
- 7.Al-Fateh have conceded in their last three matches, showing defensive issues.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards in the match is four.
Prediction
Expect a closely fought match with Al-Hazm clinching a narrow 1-0 victory. The game is likely to be competitive, with an estimated four cards reflecting a moderately physical encounter. Al-Hazm's ability to maintain a clean sheet and capitalise on a scoring opportunity should be the deciding factor.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Hazm
No standout top scorers flagged for Al-Hazm
Away — Al-Fateh
The verdict
In summary, Al-Hazm's steadier league form and defensive solidity give them the upper hand against a struggling Al-Fateh side. While the margin may be slim, the home side are poised to take all three points in what should be a disciplined and tactical affair.
Prediction generated 10 Oct 2026, 15:52 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Bendebka
Penalty
Al Khaibari
Yellow Card
Kanga
Assist: Batna
Ahmed Al Shamrani
Yellow Card
Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi
Assist: Sayoud
Al Tumbukti
Youssouf
Ahmed Al Shamrani
Abdulaziz Al-Harbi
Boateng
Yellow Card
Al Khaibari
Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari
Sayoud
Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi
Bendebka
Faisal Al Abdulwahed
Assist: Batna
Haraslín
Batna
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 11 |  Al Shabab | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Al-Hazm | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Al-Hazm
3-4-3Starting XI
- 4Sultan TankerD
- 10A. SayoudF
- 17Bonheur MugishaD
- 22Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al DhuwayhiF
- 24A. BahM
- 27Ahmed Al NakhliM
- 28S. BendebkaM
- 34Abdulrahman Al-DakheelD
- 36J. StaněkG
- 70Ahmed Al ShamraniF
- 82Abdulaziz Al-HarbiM
Substitutes
- 3A. Ben HmidaD
- 5Mohammed IssaD
- 8M. KonatéM
- 11Waleed Al ShanqitiF
- 13Abdullah Al ShanqitiD
- 23Ibrahim ZaidG
- 29Aboubacar DiakiteF
- 77M. Al HamdaniF
- 95Jaser AteeqD
Al-Fateh
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1A. ŠemperG
- 3K. BoatengD
- 6Ali Al HassanM
- 9W. KangaF
- 10L. HaraslínF
- 11M. BatnaF
- 16Abdulelah Al KhaibariM
- 17M. SaâdaneD
- 28Z. YoussoufM
- 78Abdulaziz Al SuwailemD
- 87Sattam Al TumbuktiM
Substitutes
- 7Fahad Al ZubaidiF
- 8M. LixandruM
- 18Abdulaziz Al FawazM
- 19R. KelderD
- 22Abdul Rahman Al KhaibariD
- 49Saad Al SharfaF
- 80Faisal Al AbdulwahedM
- 94Waleed Al AnziG
Al-Hazm
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al Dhuwayhi | F | 85 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 1/2 |
| A. Sayoud | F | 85 | 7.5 | — | 1 | 4 | — | 3 | 4/5 |
| Abdulaziz Al-Harbi | M | 75 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| S. Bendebka | M | 85 | 6.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| M. Al Hamdani | F | 5 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Sultan Tanker | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aboubacar Diakite | F | 5 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bonheur Mugisha | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al Shamrani | F | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Abdulrahman Al-Dakheel | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| J. Staněk | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Issa | D | 15 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Ahmed Al Nakhli | M | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3/4 |
| A. Ben Hmida | D | 24 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Konaté | M | 5 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Bah | M | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jaser Ateeq | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Waleed Al Shanqiti | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Zaid | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Shanqiti | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Fateh
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Batna | F | 90 | 8.6 | — | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 5/6 |
| W. Kanga | F | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Faisal Al Abdulwahed | M | 10 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| L. Haraslín | F | 92 | 7.1 | — | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 2/6 |
| Fahad Al Zubaidi | F | 10 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Saâdane | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Z. Youssouf | M | 57 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Šemper | G | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Abdulelah Al Khaibari | M | 80 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Ali Al Hassan | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| K. Boateng | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari | D | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| M. Lixandru | M | 33 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Abdulaziz Al Suwailem | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Sattam Al Tumbukti | M | 57 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Saad Al Sharfa | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Fawaz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Kelder | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Waleed Al Anzi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Hazm to win against Al-Fateh.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Hazm 1–0 Al-Fateh.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Hazm vs Al-Fateh?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Hazm a 60% chance of winning, Al-Fateh a 20% chance, and a 20% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 60% confidence — a medium-confidence call.