Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah
Match recap
Al Diriyah beat Al-Hazm 1–0 in their Pro League fixture. Abdulelah Al Malki scored for Al Diriyah. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.26 for Al-Hazm versus 1.35 for Al Diriyah. Al-Hazm sit 12th in the Pro League table while Al Diriyah are 8th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-0 Al-Hazm win
Actual
0–1
Outcome probability
This Saudi league clash between Al-Hazm and Al Diriyah promises a tight contest, with both sides showing similar form and ambitions early in the season. Fans can expect a tactical battle with limited chances, where a single moment of quality could decide the outcome.
Match factors
Al-Hazm's midfield control through A. Bah
A. Bah's high passing volume and accuracy (87%) enables Al-Hazm to control midfield tempo effectively
Darwin Núñez's scoring threat for Al Diriyah
Núñez has 3 goals in 6 games with excellent away form, posing a significant threat to Al-Hazm's defense
Al-Hazm's recent scoring streak
Al-Hazm has scored in 3 consecutive home games, indicating positive attacking momentum
Full squad availability boosts tactical consistency
No confirmed injuries for either team ensures both sides can field their strongest lineups
Óscar Rodríguez's creative influence for Al Diriyah
Rodríguez leads assists with 3 in 5 games, key to unlocking defenses and set-piece delivery
The context
Al-Hazm currently sit 10th in the league with 9 points from 8 games, while Al Diriyah are just above them in 9th place with 11 points. The teams have met once before, with Al Diriyah taking the win. Both sides have their key players fit and ready, setting the stage for a competitive match in the regular season's second round.
Key insights
- A
A. Bah
Al-Hazm
A. Bah's high passing volume and 87% accuracy enable Al-Hazm to control the midfield tempo effectively.
Pro League 26/2787% passing accuracy, avg 52.5 passes/game
- D
Darwin Núñez Ribeiro
Al Diriyah
Núñez's 3 goals in 6 games, including 3 away goals, make him a significant threat to Al-Hazm's defence.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 6 appearances, 3 away goals
Óscar Rodríguez
Al Diriyah
Rodríguez's 3 assists in 5 games highlight his key creative role and set-piece threat.
Pro League 26/273 assists in 5 appearances
Analysis
Al-Hazm's midfield control, led by A. Bah with his impressive passing accuracy and volume, gives them a tactical edge in dictating the game's tempo. Their recent scoring streak at home adds to their attacking confidence. Meanwhile, Al Diriyah rely heavily on Darwin Núñez Ribeiro, who boasts excellent away form with 3 goals in 3 away matches, and Óscar Rodríguez, the creative force with 3 assists in 5 games. Despite Al Diriyah's attacking threats, Al-Hazm's defensive resilience and home advantage could be decisive.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Hazm are 10th in the league with 9 points from 8 games (W2 D3 L3).
- 2.Al Diriyah are 9th with 11 points from 8 games (W3 D2 L3).
- 3.In their only previous meeting, Al Diriyah won 1-0.
- 4.Al-Hazm's A. Bah has a passing accuracy of 87% and averages 52.5 passes per game.
- 5.Darwin Núñez Ribeiro is Al Diriyah's top scorer with 3 goals in 6 games, all 3 away.
- 6.Óscar Rodríguez leads Al Diriyah with 3 assists in 5 games.
- 7.Al-Hazm have scored in their last 3 home games, showing attacking momentum.
- 8.No confirmed injuries for either team, so both can field their strongest lineups.
Prediction
The forecast is a narrow 1-0 victory for Al-Hazm. While the probabilities for home and away wins are close, the most likely home win scoreline is 1-0, suggesting a tight but successful outing for Al-Hazm. Expect a disciplined defensive display with limited goals, and a single strike making the difference.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Hazm
Away — Al Diriyah
The verdict
In a match where margins are slim, Al-Hazm's ability to control midfield and capitalise on their home momentum should see them edge out Al Diriyah. Fans should brace for a tactical chess match with few clear-cut chances, where patience and precision will be key.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:55 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Abdulelah Al Malki
Assist: Rodríguez
Abdulrahman Al-Dakheel
Yellow Card
Saud Al Rashed
Yellow Card
Nkoudou
Ahmed Al Shamrani
Saud Al Rashed
Bendebka
Abdulelah Al Malki
Hattan Bahbri
Yellow Card
Ben Hmida
Bah
Laborde
Rodríguez
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Kholood | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 |  Al Shabab | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Al-Hazm | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 9 |
Match Statistics
Al-Hazm
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 2Saud Al RashedD
- 3A. Ben HmidaD
- 8M. KonatéD
- 9Afimico PululuF
- 17Bonheur MugishaM
- 22Abdul Aziz Sulaiman Al DhuwayhiM
- 23Ibrahim ZaidG
- 24A. BahM
- 28S. BendebkaM
- 34Abdulrahman Al-DakheelD
- 70Ahmed Al ShamraniM
Substitutes
- 4Sultan TankerD
- 5Mohammed Essa Harbush
- 11Waleed Al Shanqiti
- 12Farhan Al-AazmiD
- 27Ahmed Al NakhliD
- 29Aboubacar DiakiteF
- 33Majed Al-Ghamdi
- 77M. Al HamdaniF
- 98A. Al Hujaili
Al Diriyah
Starting XI
- 2Abdulaziz Al FarajD
- 5I. GueyeM
- 7G. NkoudouM
- 9G. LabordeF
- 14Óscar RodríguezF
- 17C. DiandyM
- 19B. DjimsitiD
- 21M. HameranD
- 22N. VasiljG
- 88Abdulelah Al MalkiM
- 99C. MbembaD
Substitutes
- 6Sultan Al FarhanM
- 11Hattan BahbriF
- 12T. Wadi
- 32Abdullah Al ZaidF
- 52Hussain Al QahtaniM
- 75Meshari Al NemerF
- 78Khalid Al AsiriD
- 87Qassem LajamiD
- 97Amin Al BukhariG
Al-Hazm
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aboubacar Bah | M | 89 | 7.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | — | 3/3 |
| Ibrahim Zaied | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bonheur Mugisha | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdurahman Al-Dakheel(C) | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mory Konate | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| Afimico Pululu | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/4 |
| Amine Ben Hmida | D | 89 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/5 |
| Saud Al Rashed | D | 79 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al-Dwehe | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ahmed Al-Shamrani | M | 66 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Sofiane Bendebka | M | 79 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Farhan Al-Azmi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Tanker | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Yami | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayman Al-Hujaili | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Majed Al Ghamdi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al-Nakhli | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Hamdani | F | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Walead Alshangeati | F | 11 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Aboubacar Diakite | F | 11 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Al Diriyah
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdulelah Al-Malki | M | 79 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Chancel Mbemba | D | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clayton Diandy | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 5/5 |
| Nikola Vasilj | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Idrissa Gana Gueye | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Georges-Kévin N'Koudou | M | 63 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/3 |
| Mohamed Hameran | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Berat Djimsiti(C) | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Óscar Rodríguez | F | 89 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Abdulaziz Al-Faraj | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/4 |
| Gaëtan Laborde | F | 89 | 6.3 | — | — | 4 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Taher Wadi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al-Asiri | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Zaid | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amin Al-Bukhari | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Husain Al-Qahtani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meshari Fahad Al-Nemer | F | 8 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Hattan Bahebri | F | 27 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Qasim Lajami | D | 8 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Farhan | M | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Hazm to win against Al Diriyah.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Hazm 1–0 Al Diriyah.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Hazm vs Al Diriyah?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Hazm a 35% chance of winning, Al Diriyah a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.