Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh
Al Riyadh snatch late draw at Al-Fayha
Trézéguet's stoppage-time strike denies Al-Fayha a home win.
Al-Fayha looked set for victory after Lázaro's early goal in the 16th minute, but Al Riyadh had the last word with Trézéguet's dramatic 90+2' equaliser. The 1-1 draw defied Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a 3-1 home win, turning what seemed a straightforward result into a shared spoils affair.
Outcome probability
This Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Fayha and Al Riyadh promises an intriguing battle as both sides look to climb the league table. With Al-Fayha narrowly behind in points, they will be eager to assert dominance early on.
Match factors
Lázaro's home scoring form boosts Al-Fayha attack
Lázaro has scored 2 goals in last 2 home games, making him a key threat in this home fixture
Al-Fayha's attacking midfielders outperform league averages
Hugo Moura and Fashion Sakala have goal rates above league average for midfielders, enhancing scoring options
Teddy Okou's consistent scoring form for Al Riyadh
Okou has 3 goals in 6 games, showing reliable scoring despite away challenges
Al-Fayha's creative midfielders provide strong assist potential
Nawaf Al-Harthi and Ahmed Bamasud contribute assists and key passes, supporting attacking plays
No confirmed injuries, full squads expected
Both teams have no confirmed outs, allowing key players to participate fully
The context
Al-Fayha and Al Riyadh have met seven times previously, with Al-Fayha winning four and Al Riyadh yet to claim a victory. The teams are closely matched in the league standings, with Al Riyadh sitting just one place above Al-Fayha, making this encounter a crucial one for both sides.
Key insights
Lázaro
Al-Fayha
Lázaro's recent home scoring form makes him a key threat, having scored 2 goals in his last 2 home matches.
Pro League 26/272 goals in 7 games, 0.29 goals/game
Hugo Moura
Al-Fayha
Midfielder Hugo Moura contributes significantly with 2 goals this season, enhancing Al-Fayha's attacking options.
Pro League 26/272 goals in 7 games, 0.29 goals/game
Teddy Okou
Al Riyadh
Teddy Okou is a consistent scorer for Al Riyadh, netting 3 goals in 6 games, providing a reliable attacking outlet.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 6 games, 0.5 goals/game
Nawaf Al-Harthi
Al-Fayha
Creative midfielder Nawaf Al-Harthi offers assist potential, supporting Al-Fayha's attacking plays.
Pro League 26/271 assist in 5 games, 0.2 assists/game
Analysis
Al-Fayha's strong home form and historical edge in head-to-head meetings give them the upper hand. Their attacker Lázaro has been in fine scoring form at home, netting twice in his last two home games, while midfielder Hugo Moura adds goal threat from midfield. Al Riyadh's top scorer Teddy Okou remains a consistent threat, but the visitors are expected to struggle to contain Al-Fayha's attacking midfield creativity, particularly from Nawaf Al-Harthi and Ahmed Bamasud.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Fayha have won 4 of 7 head-to-head matches against Al Riyadh, who have yet to win.
- 2.Head-to-head matches between these teams average 2.7 goals per game.
- 3.Al-Fayha are 12th in the league with 6 points from 7 games (W1 D3 L3).
- 4.Al Riyadh are 11th with 8 points from 7 games (W2 D2 L3).
- 5.Lázaro has scored 2 goals in his last 2 home games for Al-Fayha.
- 6.Teddy Okou is Al Riyadh's top scorer with 3 goals in 6 games.
- 7.No confirmed injuries for either team ahead of the match.
Prediction
We anticipate Al-Fayha to take an early lead, heading into halftime 2-0 up. Despite Al Riyadh pulling one back, the home side should secure a 3-1 victory by full time, reflecting their superior attacking options and home advantage.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Fayha
Away — Al Riyadh
The verdict
With no confirmed injuries affecting either squad, both teams will field their best players. However, Al-Fayha's recent form and tactical strengths suggest they will come out on top in this closely contested fixture.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Lázaro
Assist: Jason
Mensah
Yellow Card
Sulaiman Hazazi
Bahri
Al Hussain
Yellow Card
Hossam Majrashi
Lázaro
Semedo
Al Ali
Keita
Yellow Card
Sultan Alessa
M. Mohammed
Yellow Card
Jason
Al Hussain
Trézéguet
Assist: Al Jayzani
Sakala
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 12 |  Al-Hazm | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 13 |  Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Al-Fayha
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2Mukhir Al RashidiD
- 5Hugo MouraM
- 6Ali Al HussainM
- 10F. SakalaF
- 17LázaroF
- 22Mohammed Al BaqawiD
- 23JasonF
- 24Ahmed BamasudD
- 25O. ColleyD
- 30Alfa SemedoM
- 52O. MosqueraG
Substitutes
- 1Abdulraoof Al-DeqeelG
- 7Nawaf Al-HarthiM
- 9Malek Al AbdulmanamF
- 12Turki Al JaadiD
- 14Mansor Al BesheM
- 21Ziyad Al SahafiD
- 40Yago SantanaM
- 43Fahad Majed AlhubayshiM
- 77R. EnadF
Al Riyadh
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 2Sultan AlessaD
- 5Hossam MajrashiD
- 6K. KeitaM
- 10T. OkouM
- 11H. Al AliF
- 12Sulaiman HazaziD
- 14Essam BahriM
- 22V. LekhalM
- 26R. AbascalD
- 43B. MensahM
- 82M. BorjanG
Substitutes
- 3Y. M. Al MusaD
- 7TrézéguetM
- 13Osama Al BowardiD
- 17Hussain Al-RaqwaniF
- 19A. M. MohammedM
- 23Hussain QasimD
- 32Awad DahalD
- 79F. Al JayzaniM
- 97Emad FidaG
Al-Fayha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lázaro | F | 69 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Jason | F | 88 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Mukhir Al Rashidi | D | 90 | 7.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Baqawi | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ahmed Bamasud | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Hugo Moura | M | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| O. Colley | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Sakala | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 4 | 1 | — | 2/7 |
| Yago Santana | M | 21 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| R. Enad | F | 2 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Al-Harthi | M | 20 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| O. Mosquera | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alfa Semedo | M | 70 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Malek Al Abdulmanam | F | 2 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Hussain | M | 88 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Abdulraoof Al-Deqeel | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mansor Al Beshe | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Turki Al Jaadi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fahad Majed Alhubayshi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ziyad Al Sahafi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Riyadh
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trézéguet | M | 44 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| K. Keita | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| B. Mensah | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| M. Borjan | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| V. Lekhal | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | — | 2 | — |
| R. Abascal | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Hossam Majrashi | D | 60 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Al Ali | F | 76 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Hussain Al-Raqwani | F | 14 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Sultan Alessa | D | 80 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| T. Okou | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 3/8 |
| F. Al Jayzani | M | 30 | 6.4 | — | 1 | — | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| Hussain Qasim | D | 44 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Sulaiman Hazazi | D | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Essam Bahri | M | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| A. M. Al Harthi | M | 10 | 6.1 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Y. M. Al Musa | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Emad Fida | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Osama Al Bowardi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Awad Dahal | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Fayha to win against Al Riyadh.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Fayha 3–1 Al Riyadh.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Fayha vs Al Riyadh?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Fayha a 85% chance of winning, Al Riyadh a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.