Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood
Match recap
Al-Fayha and Al Kholood drew 2–2 in their Pro League fixture. Moura and Sakala scored for Al-Fayha; Kortajarena and Domingues replied for Al Kholood. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.86 for Al-Fayha versus 2.12 for Al Kholood. Al-Fayha sit 14th in the Pro League table while Al Kholood are 9th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 Al-Fayha win
Actual
2–2
Outcome probability
Al-Fayha and Al Kholood face off in what promises to be a tightly contested Saudi league match. Both sides have shown glimpses of quality this season, but Al-Fayha's home performances and attacking threats could prove decisive.
Match factors
Lázaro's home scoring form boosts Al-Fayha attack
Lázaro has scored 3 goals this season with strong home form, likely to exploit Al Kholood's defense at home
Iker Kortajarena leads Al Kholood's scoring charge
Kortajarena has 4 goals this season, showing strong recent form with 4 goals in last 5 games
Jason's recent assist form supports Al-Fayha's creativity
Jason has provided 1 assist in last 5 games with high match ratings, key in chance creation
Ahmed Bamasud's defensive solidity and assist threat
Bamasud excels defensively with 16 tackles and 8 interceptions, also contributes assists from defense
Al-Fayha's midfield strength with Hugo Moura and Alfa Semedo
Both midfielders show above average passing and defensive stats, stabilizing midfield and supporting attack
The context
This fixture is part of the Saudi league's regular season, with Al-Fayha currently sitting 12th with 7 points from 8 games, while Al Kholood hold 8th place with 12 points. Historically, their head-to-head meetings have been fairly balanced, with Al Kholood slightly ahead with two wins to Al-Fayha's one and a draw.
Key insights
Lázaro
Al-Fayha
Lázaro's strong home scoring form with 3 goals in last 3 home games boosts Al-Fayha's attacking threat.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 8 games, all at home
Iker Kortajarena
Al Kholood
Kortajarena leads Al Kholood's scoring with 4 goals, including 4 in last 5 games, showing excellent recent form.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 8 games, 0.5 avg per game
Jason
Al-Fayha
Jason's creative presence with 1 assist in last 5 games supports Al-Fayha's chance creation.
Pro League 26/271 assist in 5 games
Ahmed Bamasud
Al-Fayha
Bamasud's defensive solidity with 16 tackles and 8 interceptions, plus assist threat, strengthens Al-Fayha's backline.
Pro League 26/2716 tackles, 8 interceptions, 1 assist in 8 games
Analysis
Al-Fayha's attacking edge is highlighted by Lázaro, who boasts three goals this season and has been particularly effective at home, scoring in each of his last three home games. Midfielders Hugo Moura and Alfa Semedo provide stability and creativity, supporting both defence and attack. Al Kholood's leading scorer, Iker Kortajarena, has been in fine form with four goals in the last five games, while Julien Domingues offers both goals and assists. Defensively, Al-Fayha's Ahmed Bamasud stands out with solid tackling and interception stats, adding an assist threat from the back. The match is expected to be competitive, with both teams capable of scoring, but Al-Fayha's home advantage and key player form give them the slight upper hand.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Fayha are 12th in the league with 7 points from 8 games (W1 D4 L3).
- 2.Al Kholood sit 8th with 12 points from 8 games (W3 D3 L2).
- 3.Al Kholood have a higher points-per-game average (1.50) compared to Al-Fayha (0.88).
- 4.In 4 head-to-head matches, Al-Fayha have won once, Al Kholood twice, with one draw.
- 5.Lázaro is Al-Fayha's top scorer with 3 goals, all scored at home this season.
- 6.Iker Kortajarena leads Al Kholood with 4 goals, scoring 4 in his last 5 games.
- 7.Al-Fayha's Ahmed Bamasud has 16 tackles and 8 interceptions this season, contributing defensively and offensively.
Prediction
The prediction favours a home win for Al-Fayha with a 2-1 scoreline. This aligns with the most probable outcome based on current form and statistical probabilities, despite the overall low confidence due to limited match history and some uncertainty in the data. Expect a closely fought game with Al-Fayha edging it by a single goal.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Fayha
Away — Al Kholood
The verdict
In summary, while Al Kholood have shown strong form and possess dangerous attacking players, Al-Fayha's home scoring prowess and midfield stability are likely to tip the scales. Fans should anticipate an entertaining match with a narrow victory for Al-Fayha.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:31 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Moura
Kortajarena
Assist: Domingues
Al-Harthi
Sakala
Assist: Lázaro
Mansour Camara
Yellow Card
Kortajarena
Coba
Lázaro
Ahmed Bamasud
Domingues
Yellow Card
Domingues
Assist: Mansour Camara
Mansour Camara
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Kholood | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
| 10 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 |  Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Al-Fayha
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2Mukhir Al RashidiD
- 5Hugo MouraM
- 6Ali Al HussainM
- 7Nawaf Al-HarthiF
- 10F. SakalaF
- 15Paulo OliveiraD
- 17LázaroF
- 22Mohammed Al BaqawiD
- 24Ahmed BamasudD
- 30Alfa SemedoM
- 52O. MosqueraG
Substitutes
- 1Abdulraoof Al-DeqeelG
- 9Malek Al AbdulmanamF
- 14Mansor Al BesheM
- 21Ziyad Al SahafiD
- 23JasonF
- 35S. GanvoulaF
- 43Fahad Majed AlhubayshiM
- 47Mohammed Al DowaishD
- 77R. Enad
Al Kholood
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1Hamed Abdullah YousefG
- 5E. UtkusD
- 6J. BuckleyM
- 8S. CisséM
- 10Iker KortajarenaM
- 11CobaF
- 15Ramzi SolanD
- 22J. DominguesF
- 25Mansour CamaraD
- 38S. PinasD
Substitutes
- 7Sultan Al ShehriD
- 23Yazan MadaniD
- 24O. Abdulghani
- 26Yaseen Al ZubaidiF
- 39Abdulrahman Al DosariM
- 47Abdulrahman Al ObaidD
- 48Muhannad Al YahyaG
- 70Muhammad SawanM
Al-Fayha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fashion Sakala | F | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1/6 |
| Hugo Moura | M | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alfa Semedo | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Orlando Mosquera | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nawaf Al-Harthi | F | 51 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ali Al Hussain | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Paulo Oliveira | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lázaro | F | 80 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Ahmed Bamasud | D | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Al Baqawi(C) | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mokher Al-Rashidi | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Malek Al Abdulmonam | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fahad Majed Alhubayshi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ziyad Al-Sahafi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mansor Al-Beshe | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Silvère Ganvoula | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulraouf Al-Duqayl | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayan Enad | F | 39 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Mohammed Al Dowaish | D | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Jason | F | 10 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Kholood
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Domingues | F | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Seydouba Cisse | M | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa | F | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Ramzi Sawlan | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Iker Kortajarena | M | 66 | 7.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| John Buckley | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| Edgaras Utkus | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | — |
| Shaquille Riley Pinas(C) | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Coba Da Costa | F | 78 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/3 |
| Mansour Camara | D | 89 | 6.3 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Hamed Al-Shanqity | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yazan Madani | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al Obaid | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Al Shehri | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhannad Al-Yahya | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yaseen Al-Zubaidi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Rashidi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al-Dosari | M | 12 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhammad Sawan | M | 24 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Fayha to win against Al Kholood.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Fayha 2–1 Al Kholood.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Fayha vs Al Kholood?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Fayha a 35% chance of winning, Al Kholood a 32% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.