Al-Fayha vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Match recap
Al-Hilal Saudi FC beat Al-Fayha 3–0 in their Pro League fixture. Milinković-Savić, Sultan Mandash, Summerville, and Nasser Al Dawsari scored for Al-Hilal Saudi FC. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.32 for Al-Fayha versus 3.93 for Al-Hilal Saudi FC. Al-Fayha sit 14th in the Pro League table while Al-Hilal Saudi FC are 1st.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC win
Actual
0–3
Outcome probability
This Saudi Pro League fixture sees Al-Fayha face off against Al-Hilal Saudi FC in the second round of the regular season. With Al-Hilal boasting strong form and a potent attack, the visitors are expected to impose themselves on the match.
Match factors
Al-Hilal's superior scoring form
Al-Hilal averages 3.25 goals per game with 87.5% win rate, far outperforming Al-Fayha's 1 goal per game and 12.5% win rate
Martinelli's away scoring threat
Gabriel Martinelli has scored 3 goals in 2 away games, exploiting defensive weaknesses effectively
Watkins' recent high-impact performances
Oliver Watkins has 4 goals and 4 assists in 5 games, including a 9.71 rating recently, indicating strong form
Rúben Neves' playmaking and set-piece role
Neves leads team in assists (3) and penalties scored, key to unlocking defenses with 67 passes per game
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from missing key players
The context
Al-Hilal Saudi FC currently top the league standings with 21 points from 8 games, highlighting their excellent run. In contrast, Al-Fayha sit 12th with 7 points from 8 matches, reflecting a more modest campaign so far. Historically, Al-Hilal have had the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, winning 11 of 18 meetings against Al-Fayha.
Key insights
Gabriel Martinelli
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Martinelli has been clinical away from home, scoring 3 goals in just 2 away games this season, making him a key threat against Al-Fayha.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 4 appearances, including 3 away goals
Oliver Watkins
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Watkins is in fine form with 4 goals and 4 assists in 5 games, recently earning a match rating of 9.71, highlighting his impact in attack.
Pro League 26/274 goals and 4 assists in 5 appearances
Rúben Neves
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Neves plays a pivotal role with 3 assists and set-piece responsibilities, averaging 67 passes per game to unlock defences.
Pro League 26/273 assists in 8 appearances, high passing volume
Lázaro
Al-Fayha
Lázaro is Al-Fayha's top scorer with 3 goals in 8 games, showing consistent home scoring form despite the team's struggles.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 8 appearances
Analysis
Al-Hilal's attacking strength is evident, averaging over 3 goals per game this season compared to Al-Fayha's single goal per match. Gabriel Martinelli has been a standout away performer, netting 3 goals in 2 away fixtures, while Oliver Watkins contributes both goals and assists with impressive recent form. Midfielder Rúben Neves adds creativity and set-piece threat, making Al-Hilal a well-rounded side. Al-Fayha's top scorer Lázaro offers some resistance, particularly at home, but the visitors' superior goal difference and form suggest a clear advantage.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Hilal Saudi FC lead the league with 21 points from 8 games.
- 2.Al-Fayha are 12th with 7 points from 8 matches.
- 3.Al-Hilal have won 11 of 18 head-to-head matches against Al-Fayha.
- 4.Al-Hilal average 3.25 goals per game this season, compared to Al-Fayha's 1 goal per game.
- 5.Gabriel Martinelli has scored 3 goals in 2 away matches this season.
- 6.Oliver Watkins has 4 goals and 4 assists in 5 games, showing strong form.
- 7.Rúben Neves contributes with 3 assists and key set-piece duties.
Prediction
The prediction strongly favours an away win for Al-Hilal Saudi FC with a likely full-time score of 3-1. The visitors are expected to take an early lead and maintain control throughout, capitalising on their attacking depth and consistency. Discipline is projected to be moderate, with around four cards in total.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Fayha
Away — Al-Hilal Saudi FC
The verdict
In summary, Al-Hilal Saudi FC's quality and current form should see them comfortably overcome Al-Fayha. The visitors' attacking threats and tactical edge make a 3-1 victory the most probable outcome in this league encounter.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:56 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Sakala
Yellow Card
Milinković-Savić
Sultan Mandash
Assist: Koulibaly
Al-Harthi
Abdullah Al Qahtani
Lázaro
Moteb Al Harbi
Rúben Neves
Summerville
Missed Penalty
Mohammed Al Baqawi
Semedo
Sultan Mandash
Ali Lajami
Summerville
Nasser Al Dawsari
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 13 |  Al Riyadh | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 9 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
Match Statistics
Al-Fayha
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2Mukhir Al RashidiD
- 5Hugo MouraM
- 7Nawaf Al-HarthiM
- 10F. SakalaF
- 15Paulo OliveiraD
- 17LázaroF
- 20Abdullah Al QahtaniF
- 22Mohammed Al BaqawiD
- 30Alfa SemedoM
- 52O. MosqueraG
- 77R. Enad
Substitutes
- 1Abdulraoof Al-DeqeelG
- 6Ali Al HussainM
- 9Malek Al AbdulmanamF
- 14Mansor Al BesheM
- 21Ziyad Al SahafiD
- 24Ahmed BamasudD
- 35S. GanvoulaF
- 43Fahad Majed AlhubayshiM
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 2Mohammed Mater Mohsin MahzariD
- 3K. KoulibalyD
- 8Rúben NevesM
- 9K. BenzemaF
- 22S. Milinković-SavićM
- 24Moteb Al HarbiD
- 27Sultan MandashM
- 28Mohamed KannoM
- 37Y. BounouG
- 38C. SummervilleM
- 78Ali LajamiD
Substitutes
- 6Nasser Al DawsariM
- 18Murad Al HawsawiM
- 19T. HernándezD
- 33Mohammed Al OwaisG
- 55M. Al DawoodD
- 72S. DahalF
- 75M. MeïtéF
- 77Nawaf Al HabashiD
- 93Abdullah Al AnaziM
Al-Fayha
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Orlando Mosquera | G | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Al-Harthi | M | 45 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Lázaro | F | 68 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Hugo Moura | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Mohammed Al Baqawi(C) | D | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Alfa Semedo | M | 85 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Fashion Sakala | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/5 |
| Abdullah Al-Qahtani | F | 45 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Rayan Enad | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Mokher Al-Rashidi | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Paulo Oliveira | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Muath Al Habib | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Malek Al Abdulmonam | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulraoof Al-Deqeel | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ziyad Al-Sahafi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Hussain | M | 45 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Fahad Majed Alhubayshi | M | 45 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Mansor Al-Beshe | M | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Silvère Ganvoula | F | 22 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ahmed Bamasud | D | 10 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rúben Neves | M | 78 | 8.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Kalidou Koulibaly | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Yassine Bounou | G | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Mandash | M | 85 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 5 | 2 | — | 3/6 |
| Ali Lajami | D | 85 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Sergej Milinković-Savić | M | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1/2 |
| Mohammed Mahzari | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Crysencio Summerville | M | 85 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3/4 |
| Moteb Al-Harbi | D | 69 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Kanno(C) | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| Karim Benzema | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 5 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Mohammed Al-Owais | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al-Anazi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Kader Meite | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Murad Al Hawsawi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nasser Al-Dawsari | M | 12 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Theo Hernández | D | 21 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Meshal Al Dawood | D | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sabri Abdu Dahal | F | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Nawaf Al-Habashi | D | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Fayha vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Hilal Saudi FC to win against Al-Fayha.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Fayha vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Fayha 1–3 Al-Hilal Saudi FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Fayha vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Fayha a 7% chance of winning, Al-Hilal Saudi FC a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.