Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab
Al Shabab cruise past Al-Fateh
Ali Al Bulayhi's brace secures a comfortable win for the visitors.
Al Shabab took control early with Ricardo Mathias opening the scoring in the 17th minute, followed by Ali Al Bulayhi doubling the lead before the half. Al-Fateh's L. Haraslín pulled one back in the 40th minute, but Al Shabab restored their two-goal cushion through Al Bulayhi's second in the 54th. The 3-1 victory for Al Shabab matched Fipster's prediction of an away win, albeit with a more decisive scoreline than anticipated.
Outcome probability
This Saudi Pro League clash between Al-Fateh and Al Shabab promises a cagey encounter, with both sides struggling for consistency this season. Expect a tactical battle with limited goal-scoring opportunities.
Match factors
Al-Fateh's Aka Kanga in strong scoring form
Kanga has scored 3 goals in last 5 games, outperforming league attacker average of 0.64 goals per game
Mourad Batna's creative influence
Batna leads Al-Fateh with 4 assists in last 5 games, well above league midfielder average of 0.31 assists per game
Zaydou-Dine Youssouf's midfield control
Youssouf's 88% passing accuracy and 55.5% duel win rate give Al-Fateh midfield stability and chance creation
Al Shabab's Yannick Carrasco key to attack
Carrasco has recent goals and assists, providing attacking impetus for away win prediction
The context
Al-Fateh sit 16th in the league with just 6 points from 10 games, while Al Shabab are slightly better off in 13th place with 7 points from 8 matches. Their head-to-head history is fairly balanced: Al-Fateh have won 7 of their 20 meetings, Al Shabab 5, and 8 have ended in draws. Matches between these two average 2.6 goals, suggesting a modest scoring rate.
Key insights
Aka Kanga
Al-Fateh
Kanga has been in strong scoring form with 3 goals in his last 5 games, outperforming the league average for attackers.
Pro League 26/273 goals in last 5 games, 9 appearances, 0.6 goals/game last 5
Mourad Batna
Al-Fateh
Batna leads Al-Fateh creatively with 4 assists in the last 5 games, well above the league average for midfielders.
Pro League 26/274 assists last 5 games, 3 assists season, 0.8 assists/game last 5
Zaydou-Dine Youssouf
Al-Fateh
Youssouf provides midfield stability with an 88% passing accuracy and a 55.5% duel win rate, aiding chance creation.
Pro League 26/2788% passing accuracy, 55.5% duel win rate
Yannick Carrasco
Al Shabab
Carrasco’s recent goals and assists make him a key attacking threat for Al Shabab’s predicted away win.
Pro League 26/27Recent goal and assist contributor
Analysis
Al Shabab's marginally superior league position and goal difference hint at a slight edge. Their attacking threat is led by Yannick Carrasco, who has contributed goals and assists recently, providing impetus for an away win. Meanwhile, Al-Fateh's Aka Kanga has been in good scoring form with 3 goals in his last 5 games, but the prediction leans towards a tight defensive game with few goals. The forecasted 0-0 halftime scoreline aligns with the expectation of a cautious start from both sides.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Fateh have won 7 of 20 head-to-head matches against Al Shabab, who have won 5, with 8 draws.
- 2.Head-to-head matches between these teams average 2.6 goals per game.
- 3.Al-Fateh are 16th in the league with 6 points from 10 games (W1 D3 L6).
- 4.Al Shabab are 13th with 7 points from 8 games (W1 D4 L3).
- 5.Al Shabab have a significantly better goal difference than Al-Fateh this season.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a narrow 1-0 victory for Al Shabab, with the only goal likely coming in the second half. The match is expected to be tight and disciplined, with a total of around four cards predicted, reflecting a competitive but controlled contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Fateh
Away — Al Shabab
No standout top scorers flagged for Al Shabab
The verdict
While the prediction favours Al Shabab to edge this one, the low confidence in the call suggests it could easily swing either way. Fans should brace for a close encounter where a single moment of quality or a defensive lapse might decide the outcome.
Prediction generated 19 Oct 2026, 19:59 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ali Al Bulayhi
Yellow Card
Mathias
Assist: Roger Martínez
Ali Al Bulayhi
Haraslín
Assist: Kanga
Podence
Yellow Card
Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani
Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari
Ali Al Bulayhi
Assist: Adli
Youssouf
Al Khaibari
Matuq
Adli
Card upgrade confirmed
Podence
Ziyad Al Jari
Yellow Card
Ziyad Al Jari
Red Card
Kanga
Batna
Dhari Al Anazi
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 10 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 |  Al Shabab | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 |  Al-Hazm | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Al-Fateh
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1A. ŠemperG
- 3K. BoatengD
- 6Ali Al HassanM
- 8M. LixandruD
- 9W. KangaF
- 10L. HaraslínM
- 11M. BatnaM
- 16Abdulelah Al KhaibariD
- 17M. SaâdaneD
- 22Abdul Rahman Al KhaibariD
- 28Z. YoussoufM
Substitutes
- 4Ziyad Al JariD
- 7Fahad Al ZubaidiF
- 18Abdulaziz Al FawazM
- 19R. KelderD
- 49Saad Al SharfaF
- 78Abdulaziz Al SuwailemD
- 80Faisal Al AbdulwahedM
- 94Waleed Al AnziG
Al Shabab
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1M. DiawG
- 4T. JedvajD
- 8J. BrownhillM
- 9Roger MartínezF
- 11Daniel PodenceM
- 17Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al ThaniD
- 21Dhari Al AnaziD
- 29Y. AdliM
- 37A. MatuqM
- 49Ricardo MathiasF
- 55Ali Al BulayhiD
Substitutes
- 5Ali MakkiD
- 6Awad Al NashriM
- 12S. Al AnziD
- 24Abdulrahman Al ObudF
- 27Abdullah Al HawsawiD
- 33Mohammed Al MahasnehG
- 40Ali Al AsmariM
- 97Mourad KhodariF
Al-Fateh
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Haraslín | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 4 | 7/11 |
| A. Šemper | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lixandru | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| W. Kanga | F | 80 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Saad Al Sharfa | F | 4 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Fahad Al Zubaidi | F | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Saâdane | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Batna | M | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2/3 |
| Ali Al Hassan | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Faisal Al Abdulwahed | M | 24 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari | D | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Suwailem | D | 24 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| K. Boateng | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Z. Youssouf | M | 66 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abdulelah Al Khaibari | D | 66 | 5.8 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Ziyad Al Jari | D | 29 | 4.8 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| R. Kelder | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Waleed Al Anzi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Fawaz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Shabab
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ali Al Bulayhi | D | 90 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 3 | 2 | — | — |
| Ricardo Mathias | F | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Y. Adli | M | 68 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 3 | 1/1 |
| J. Brownhill | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 1/1 |
| Dhari Al Anazi | D | 88 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 3 | 2/3 |
| T. Jedvaj | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Diaw | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Roger Martínez | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Abdullah Al Hawsawi | D | 44 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Daniel Podence | M | 72 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 6 | 2/3 |
| Abdulrahman Al Obud | F | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| S. Al Anzi | D | 2 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Asmari | M | 22 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Fuad Ibrahim Al Thani | D | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Matuq | M | 67 | 6.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Ali Makki | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mourad Khodari | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Mahasneh | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Awad Al Nashri | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al Shabab to win against Al-Fateh.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Fateh 0–1 Al Shabab.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Fateh a 28% chance of winning, Al Shabab a 43% chance, and a 29% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 43% confidence — a low-confidence call.