Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat
Al Khaleej Saihat snatch late win at Al-Fateh
A thrilling comeback capped by Omar Mascarell's stoppage-time strike seals a 3-2 victory.
Al-Fateh looked comfortable with goals from L. Haraslín and W. Kanga, but Al Khaleej Saihat staged a spirited fightback with strikes from M. Barrow and J. King before Omar Mascarell's last-gasp goal clinched the win. The 3-2 scoreline reflects a narrow but dramatic away victory. Fipster's low-confidence prediction for an away win was on the money, even if the exact scoreline was a bit off.
Outcome probability
As the Saudi Professional League's regular season rolls on, Al-Fateh and Al Khaleej Saihat prepare to face off in what promises to be a tightly contested match. Both sides have had their struggles and moments of promise, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Match factors
Al Khaleej Saihat's stronger midfield passing
Al Khaleej's midfielders like Omar Mascarell and Mohammed Al Khabrani average over 44 passes per game with high accuracy, surpassing Al-Fateh's midfield passing rates.
Al-Fateh's defensive stalwart Marwane Saâdane key to resisting attack
Saâdane's 76% duel win rate and leadership as captain provide a defensive edge to counter Al Khaleej's attacking midfielders.
Wilfried Kanga's recent goal threat for Al-Fateh
Kanga has scored in recent matches with strong ratings, making him a focal point for Al-Fateh's limited scoring chances.
Mourad Batna's creative influence
Batna's recent assists and high match ratings highlight his role as a key playmaker for Al-Fateh's attack.
Omar Mascarell's consistent midfield control
Mascarell's high passing volume and recent goal contribution support Al Khaleej's midfield dominance and attacking transitions.
The context
Al-Fateh currently sit 16th in the league with just 3 points from 8 games, yet they have a decent head-to-head record against Al Khaleej Saihat, having won 6 of their 10 meetings. Meanwhile, Al Khaleej Saihat are placed 11th with 9 points from 9 games, showing more consistency but still searching for a breakthrough win.
Key insights
- O
Omar Mascarell
Al Khaleej Saihat
Mascarell's high passing volume and recent goal contribution bolster Al Khaleej's midfield control and attacking threat.
Pro League 26/2749.9 passes per game with strong recent ratings and a goal in this competition.
- M
Marwane Saâdane
Al-Fateh
Saâdane's defensive leadership and 76% duel win rate are vital for Al-Fateh's resistance against Al Khaleej's attack.
Pro League 26/2776% duel win rate and 1.67 tackles per game in this competition.
- W
Wilfried Kanga
Al-Fateh
Kanga's recent goals and strong match ratings make him Al-Fateh's key offensive outlet.
Pro League 26/27Multiple goals in recent matches with ratings up to 7.98 in this competition.
- M
Mourad Batna
Al-Fateh
Batna's creativity and recent assists highlight his role as a key playmaker for Al-Fateh's attack.
Pro League 26/2723 passes per game with 76% accuracy and recent assists in this competition.
Analysis
The prediction leans towards an away win for Al Khaleej Saihat, largely due to their midfield dominance. Omar Mascarell and Mohammed Al Khabrani boast impressive passing volumes and accuracy, helping control the game's tempo. Al-Fateh's defensive captain Marwane Saâdane will be crucial in resisting these attacks, while Wilfried Kanga and Mourad Batna offer the home side's best chances with their recent goal contributions and creativity. Despite Al-Fateh's historical edge in head-to-heads, the current form and midfield control suggest a narrow 2-1 win for the visitors.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Fateh are 16th in the league with 3 points from 8 games (W0 D3 L5).
- 2.Al Khaleej Saihat sit 11th with 9 points from 9 games (W1 D6 L2).
- 3.In 10 head-to-head meetings, Al-Fateh have won 6, Al Khaleej Saihat 3, with 1 draw.
- 4.Al Khaleej's midfielders average over 44 passes per game with high accuracy.
- 5.Marwane Saâdane has a 76% duel win rate and is key to Al-Fateh's defence.
- 6.Wilfried Kanga has been a recent goal threat for Al-Fateh.
- 7.Mourad Batna has contributed assists and creativity for Al-Fateh.
- 8.Omar Mascarell leads Al Khaleej's midfield with high passing volume and a recent goal.
Prediction
Expect a close game with Al Khaleej Saihat edging out Al-Fateh 2-1. The visitors' midfield control and recent attacking form should be enough to secure the win, though Al-Fateh will fight hard to keep it tight.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Fateh
Away — Al Khaleej Saihat
The verdict
This fixture promises a tactical battle with moments of individual quality. While Al-Fateh have the history and defensive grit, Al Khaleej Saihat's midfield prowess and recent momentum make them the slight favourites to take all three points.
Prediction generated 15 Oct 2026, 17:11 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Haraslín
Assist: Batna
Ali Al Hassan
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Unknown
Thamer Al Khaibri
Ali Al Shaafi
Yellow Card
Kanga
Assist: Essadak
Nawaf Al Saadi
Hussain Al Eisa
Haraslín
Ali Al Shaafi
Mansour Hamzi
Barrow
Assist: Saleh Al Amri
Essadak
King
Assist: Benegas
Abdulaziz Al Suwailem
Lixandru
Yellow Card
Mascarell
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 9 |  Al Kholood | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
| 10 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 |  Al Shabab | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Al-Fateh
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1A. ŠemperG
- 6Ali Al HassanM
- 8M. LixandruD
- 9W. KangaF
- 10L. HaraslínF
- 11M. BatnaF
- 16Abdulelah Al KhaibariM
- 17M. SaâdaneD
- 20H. EssadakM
- 78Abdulaziz Al SuwailemD
Substitutes
- 7Fahad Al ZubaidiF
- 18Abdulaziz Al FawazM
- 19R. KelderD
- 22Abdul Rahman Al KhaibariD
- 29Ali Al MasoudF
- 49Saad Al SharfaF
- 80Faisal Al AbdulwahedM
- 94Waleed Al AnziG
Al Khaleej Saihat
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4K. KouyatéD
- 8Omar MascarellM
- 9M. BenegasF
- 13Ahmad AsiriD
- 14Ali Al ShaafiD
- 15Mansour HamziM
- 18Nawaf Al SaadiM
- 27Fawaz Al SaqourD
- 28Hussain Al EisaM
- 90Thamer Al KhaibriF
- 96Marwan Al HaidariG
Substitutes
- 1M. Abbas IbrahimG
- 3Mohammed Al KhabraniD
- 5Pedro RebochoD
- 7J. KingF
- 11Saleh Al AmriF
- 12Majed KanabahM
- 16Bader MunshiM
- 17Abdullah Al HafithD
- 99M. BarrowF
Al-Fateh
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Haraslín | F | 67 | 7.8 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3/5 |
| W. Kanga | F | 90 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Batna | F | 90 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2/8 |
| H. Essadak | M | 81 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Abdulelah Al Khaibari | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Ali Al Hassan | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| M. Saâdane | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fahad Al Zubaidi | F | 44 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Faisal Al Abdulwahed | M | 23 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | — | 1/1 |
| R. Kelder | D | 9 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Fawaz | M | 4 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Lixandru | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| A. Šemper | G | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Suwailem | D | 86 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Masoud | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saad Al Sharfa | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Waleed Al Anzi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Khaleej Saihat
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. King | F | 44 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/3 |
| Omar Mascarell | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| M. Barrow | F | 28 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| K. Kouyaté | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Saleh Al Amri | F | 28 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| M. Benegas | F | 90 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 4 | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Fawaz Al Saqour | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Mansour Hamzi | M | 76 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nawaf Al Saadi | M | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Thamer Al Khaibri | F | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ahmad Asiri | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hussain Al Eisa | M | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Marwan Al Haidari | G | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rebocho | D | 14 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Shaafi | D | 76 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Majed Kanabah | M | 14 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Abbas Ibrahim | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bader Munshi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Hafith | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Khabrani | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al Khaleej Saihat to win against Al-Fateh.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Fateh 1–2 Al Khaleej Saihat.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Fateh vs Al Khaleej Saihat?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Fateh a 32% chance of winning, Al Khaleej Saihat a 35% chance, and a 33% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 35% confidence — a low-confidence call.