Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC
Match recap
Al-Fateh and Al-Ittihad FC drew 0–0 in their Pro League fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.99 for Al-Fateh versus 2.10 for Al-Ittihad FC. Al-Fateh sit 16th in the Pro League table while Al-Ittihad FC are 4th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-3 Al-Ittihad FC win
Actual
0–0
Outcome probability
Al-Fateh and Al-Ittihad FC face off in the Saudi Professional League's fourth round, with Al-Ittihad FC looking to extend their strong run this season. The clash promises a tactical battle, but recent form and stats suggest a clear favourite.
Match factors
Al-Ittihad's potent attack vs Al-Fateh's weak defense
Al-Ittihad's forwards, especially En-Nesyri and Bergwijn, have strong recent scoring form against a defense conceding 1.88 goals per game at home
En-Nesyri's scoring consistency
Youssef En-Nesyri has scored 4 goals in last 5 matches, showing high conversion rate and key role in Al-Ittihad's offense
Al-Fateh's scoring struggles
Al-Fateh has failed to score in 62.5% of recent matches and has a low average goals scored (0.5), limiting their attacking threat
Creative midfielders to unlock defenses
Aouar and Youssouf lead their teams in assists and passing, crucial for creating chances in this match
Full squad availability boosts tactical options
No confirmed injuries for either team means both can field their strongest lineups, maintaining tactical balance
The context
Al-Ittihad FC currently sit 4th in the league with 17 points from 8 games, demonstrating consistent performance and a healthy goal difference. In contrast, Al-Fateh languish near the bottom at 17th with just 3 points, struggling to find the net and keep opponents at bay. Historically, Al-Ittihad FC have the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, having won half of their 20 meetings against Al-Fateh.
Key insights
Youssef En-Nesyri
Al-Ittihad FC
En-Nesyri's recent scoring form and strong away record make him a key threat against Al-Fateh's leaky defence.
Pro League 26/274 goals in last 5 matches, 1 goal per away game
Steven Bergwijn
Al-Ittihad FC
Bergwijn's consistent scoring and playmaking add depth to Al-Ittihad's attack, increasing their goal threat.
Pro League 26/275 goals in 8 games, 0.4 goals per game last 5
Houssem-Eddine Chaâbane Aouar
Al-Ittihad FC
Aouar's creativity and assists are crucial for unlocking defences and setting up scoring chances.
Pro League 26/272 assists in 7 games, 0.29 assists per game
Zaydou-Dine Youssouf
Al-Fateh
Youssouf leads Al-Fateh in assists and passing accuracy, vital for their limited attacking opportunities.
Pro League 26/271 assist in 8 games, 0.13 assists per game
Analysis
Al-Ittihad FC's attack, spearheaded by Youssef En-Nesyri and Steven Bergwijn, has been in fine form, with En-Nesyri netting 4 goals in his last 5 matches and maintaining a strong away scoring record. Meanwhile, Al-Fateh's defence has conceded nearly two goals per home game, a vulnerability that Al-Ittihad's forwards are well poised to exploit. Creative midfielders like Houssem-Eddine Chaâbane Aouar and Zaydou-Dine Youssouf will be key in unlocking defences, but Al-Fateh's scoring struggles—failing to score in over 60% of recent matches—limit their threat.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Ittihad FC are 4th in the league with 17 points from 8 games; Al-Fateh are 17th with 3 points.
- 2.Al-Ittihad FC have won 10 of 20 head-to-head matches against Al-Fateh, with 7 draws and 3 losses.
- 3.Al-Fateh concede an average of 1.88 goals per home game this season.
- 4.Youssef En-Nesyri has scored 4 goals in his last 5 matches, showing strong form.
- 5.Al-Fateh have failed to score in 62.5% of their recent matches.
- 6.Houssem-Eddine Chaâbane Aouar leads Al-Ittihad in assists with 2 this season.
- 7.Al-Ittihad FC have a significantly better goal difference and points-per-game than Al-Fateh this season.
Prediction
The prediction strongly favours an away win for Al-Ittihad FC, with a likely full-time score of 3-1. The statistical models show a dominant probability for Al-Ittihad FC to secure victory, capitalising on their attacking momentum and Al-Fateh's defensive frailties. While the halftime score remains uncertain, the final outcome is expected to reflect Al-Ittihad's superiority.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Fateh
Away — Al-Ittihad FC
The verdict
In summary, Al-Ittihad FC's blend of clinical finishing and creative playmaking should see them comfortably overcome Al-Fateh. The home side's ongoing struggles in front of goal and defensive lapses make it tough to see them keeping the scoreline tight. Expect a confident away performance culminating in a 3-1 win for Al-Ittihad FC.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:36 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Saâdane
Yellow Card
Hassan Kadesh
Yellow Card
Abdi
Yellow Card
Youssouf
Yellow Card
Saeed Baattia
Yellow Card
Lopy
Yellow Card
Ahmed Al Julaydan
Abdi
Faisal Al Abdulwahed
Fahad Al Zubaidi
Mukhtar Ali
Marwan Al Sahafi
Šimić
Yellow Card
Bergwijn
Al Khaibari
Kanga
Aouar
Yellow Card
Saeed Baattia
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Al-Fateh
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. ŠemperG
- 3K. BoatengD
- 7Fahad Al Zubaidi
- 8M. LixandruM
- 9W. KangaF
- 10L. HaraslínM
- 15Saeed BaattiaD
- 16Abdulelah Al KhaibariD
- 17M. SaâdaneD
- 28Z. YoussoufM
- 80Faisal Al AbdulwahedM
Substitutes
- 4Ziyad Al JariD
- 18Abdulaziz Al FawazM
- 19Petrit PreniqiD
- 22Abdullah Al Qahtani
- 23SorrisoM
- 29Ali Al MasoudF
- 49Saad Al SharfaF
- 78Abdulaziz Al SuwailemD
- 94Waleed Al AnziG
Al-Ittihad FC
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1P. RajkovićG
- 2Danilo PereiraD
- 8Mukhtar AliM
- 10H. AouarM
- 15Hassan KadeshD
- 21Y. En-NesyriF
- 22Marwan Al SahafiM
- 25F. AbdiD
- 30D. LopyM
- 32Ahmed Al JulaydanD
- 34S. BergwijnM
Substitutes
- 4J. ŠimićD
- 9G. IlenikhenaF
- 11Saleh Al ShehriF
- 27Ahmed Al GhamdiF
- 29Farhah Al ShamraniM
- 42Muath FaqeehiD
- 50Mohammed Al AbsiG
- 60Rakan KaabiM
- 66Mohammed BarnawiD
Al-Fateh
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrian Šemper | G | 90 | 9.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marwane Saadane(C) | D | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kennedy Boateng | D | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulelah Al Khaibari | D | 89 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 3/3 |
| Lukáš Haraslín | M | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0/3 |
| Zaydou Youssouf | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Saeed Baattia | D | 89 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| Wilfried Kanga | F | 89 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Fahad Zubaidi | M | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/3 |
| Mihai Lixandru | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Faisal Al Abdulwahed | M | 65 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Sorriso | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin Kelder | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Fawaz | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Suwailem | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ziyad Aljari | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Waled Al Enazi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Masoud | F | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari | D | 25 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Saad Al-Shurafa | F | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Ittihad FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predrag Rajković | G | 90 | 8.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mukhtar Ali | M | 67 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Danilo Pereira(C) | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Hassan Kadesh | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Dion Lopy | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ahmed Al-Julaydan | D | 63 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Houssem Aouar | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Marwan Al-Sahafi | M | 68 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/5 |
| Faris Abdi | D | 63 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Youssef En-Nesyri | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Steven Bergwijn | M | 89 | 5.7 | — | — | 5 | 5 | — | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Saleh Al-Shehri | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Absi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Farhah Ali Alshamrani | M | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Barnawi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rakan Kaabi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al-Ghamdi | F | 23 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/2 |
| Muath Faqeehi | D | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Jan-Carlo Simić | D | 27 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 3 | — |
| George Ilenikhena | F | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Ittihad FC to win against Al-Fateh.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Fateh 1–3 Al-Ittihad FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Fateh vs Al-Ittihad FC?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Fateh a 7% chance of winning, Al-Ittihad FC a 85% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.