Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq
Match recap
Al-Ettifaq beat Al-Fateh 1–0 in their Pro League fixture. Hendry scored for Al-Ettifaq. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 1.07 for Al-Fateh versus 1.99 for Al-Ettifaq. Al-Fateh sit 16th in the Pro League table while Al-Ettifaq are 7th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-3 Al-Ettifaq win
Actual
0–1
Outcome probability
Al-Ettifaq look poised to extend their solid league campaign with a confident away win against Al-Fateh, who have struggled to find the net this season.
Match factors
Al-Ettifaq's midfield dominance
Al-Ettifaq's Medrán and Duda control midfield with high passing and assist rates, likely to dictate play
Dembélé's scoring threat
Dembélé leads Al-Ettifaq with 3 goals, strong home form and key striker role boosts scoring chances
Al-Fateh's limited scoring form
Al-Fateh has scored only 4 goals in 8 games with Kanga as main scorer, indicating low offensive output
Youssouf's dual role for Al-Fateh
Youssouf excels in passing and tackling, key to both defense and attack initiation for Al-Fateh
No confirmed injuries affecting key players
Both teams have no confirmed outs, ensuring full availability of top scorers and assisters
The context
This fixture sees Al-Ettifaq, currently 7th in the league with 12 points from 8 games, face off against Al-Fateh, who sit 17th with just 3 points. Historically, the head-to-head record is fairly balanced, but recent form and goal difference favour Al-Ettifaq.
Key insights
M. Dembélé
Al-Ettifaq
Leads Al-Ettifaq with 3 goals, showing strong home scoring form and key striker role.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 8 games, 639 mins, 0.375 goals/game
Álvaro Medrán
Al-Ettifaq
Top assister with 3 assists and high passing accuracy, crucial in midfield control.
Pro League 26/273 assists in 8 games, 674 mins, 0.375 assists/game
W. Kanga
Al-Fateh
Main scorer for Al-Fateh with 1 goal, highlighting limited offensive output.
Pro League 26/271 goal in 8 games, 640 mins, 0.125 goals/game
Z. Youssouf
Al-Fateh
Key in both defense and attack initiation with high passing accuracy and tackling.
Pro League 26/271 assist in 8 games, 675 mins, 0.125 assists/game
Analysis
Al-Ettifaq's midfield dominance, led by Álvaro Medrán with 3 assists and high passing accuracy, is likely to control the tempo. Their top scorer M. Dembélé, with 3 goals this season and strong home form, poses a significant threat. Meanwhile, Al-Fateh's limited scoring, with W. Kanga as their main contributor, suggests they may struggle to keep pace. Defensive efforts from K. Boateng and Radhi Al Otaibi will be crucial, but the statistical edge lies with Al-Ettifaq.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Ettifaq are 7th in the league with 12 points from 8 games (W3 D3 L2).
- 2.Al-Fateh are 17th with 3 points from 8 games (W0 D3 L5).
- 3.In 20 head-to-head meetings, Al-Fateh have won 8, Al-Ettifaq 6, with 6 draws.
- 4.Al-Ettifaq have a better goal difference by 11 goals this season.
- 5.Al-Ettifaq average 1.50 points per game, compared to Al-Fateh's 0.38.
- 6.M. Dembélé leads Al-Ettifaq with 3 goals this season.
- 7.Álvaro Medrán tops assists with 3 for Al-Ettifaq.
- 8.Al-Fateh's W. Kanga is their main scorer with 1 goal.
Prediction
Expect Al-Ettifaq to take an early lead and maintain control, finishing with a 3-1 victory. The predicted halftime score of 0-2 aligns with their ability to break down Al-Fateh's defence, while a total of 4 cards suggests a moderately disciplined match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Fateh
Away — Al-Ettifaq
The verdict
Al-Ettifaq's superior form and attacking quality should see them comfortably through this encounter. Al-Fateh will need to improve their offensive output to challenge effectively in future fixtures.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:52 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Abdulaziz Al Fawaz
Messi
Hendry
Assist: Medrán
Haraslín
Abdulaziz Al Suwailem
Abdullah Khateeb
Khalid Al Ghannam
Lixandru
Madallah Al Olayan
Saeed Baattia
Medrán
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Al-Fateh
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 3K. BoatengD
- 8M. LixandruM
- 9W. KangaF
- 10L. HaraslínM
- 11M. BatnaM
- 15Saeed BaattiaD
- 17M. SaâdaneD
- 18Abdulaziz Al FawazM
- 28Z. YoussoufM
- 78Abdulaziz Al SuwailemD
- 94Waleed Al AnziG
Substitutes
- 4Ziyad Al JariD
- 7Fahad Al Zubaidi
- 16Abdulelah Al KhaibariD
- 19Petrit PreniqiD
- 22Abdullah Al Qahtani
- 23SorrisoM
- 38I. Al AboodG
- 49Saad Al SharfaF
- 80Faisal Al AbdulwahedM
Al-Ettifaq
4-3-3Starting XI
- 4J. HendryD
- 7Khalid Al GhannamF
- 9M. DembéléF
- 10Álvaro MedránM
- 11O. DudaM
- 33Madallah Al OlayanD
- 58Yasir ShammariM
- 61Radhi Al OtaibiD
- 70Abdullah KhateebD
- 80R. MessiF
- 92Turki Ba Al Jawsh
Substitutes
- 3Abdullah MaduD
- 6Faris Al GhamdiM
- 13Meshal Al AlaeliD
- 22Abdulbasit Hawsawi
- 29Z. Al Ghamdi
- 43B. CelinaM
- 71M. GluščevićF
- 87Meshal Sibyani
- 88Ali Al EssaF
Al-Fateh
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marwane Saadane(C) | D | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Suwailem | D | 79 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Waled Al Enazi | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saeed Baattia | D | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wilfried Kanga | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Mourad Batna | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 4 | 3 | 3 | 4/5 |
| Mihai Lixandru | M | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Fawaz | M | 60 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Kennedy Boateng | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Lukáš Haraslín | M | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Zaydou Youssouf | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ziyad Aljari | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faisal Al Abdulwahed | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Robin Kelder | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Al Abood | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fahad Zubaidi | F | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulelah Al Khaibari | D | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saad Al-Shurafa | F | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | — | — | — |
| Sorriso | M | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari | D | 10 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Ettifaq
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro Medrán | M | 89 | 8.5 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 4 | 0/1 |
| Turki Ba Al-Jawsh | G | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ondrej Duda | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Jack Hendry | D | 90 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 0/2 |
| Madallah Al-Olayan | D | 86 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Khalid Al-Ghannam | F | 86 | 7.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | 2/5 |
| Yasir Shammari | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Abdullah Khateeb(C) | D | 86 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Radhi Al-Oteibi | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayane Messi | F | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/6 |
| Moussa Dembélé | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/4 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Meshal Ali Khayrallah | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al-Essa | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faris Al Ghamdi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulbasit Hawsawi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Ghamdi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matija Glušćević | F | 19 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meshal Alaeli | D | 10 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Bersant Celina | M | 10 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Madu | D | 10 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Ettifaq to win against Al-Fateh.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Fateh 1–3 Al-Ettifaq.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Fateh vs Al-Ettifaq?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Fateh a 2% chance of winning, Al-Ettifaq a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.