Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah
Match recap
Al Diriyah beat Al-Fateh 2–1 in their Pro League fixture. Faisal Al Abdulwahed scored for Al-Fateh; Núñez and Boulbina replied for Al Diriyah. Al-Fateh held 60% possession to 40% for Al Diriyah. Al-Fateh sit 16th in the Pro League table while Al Diriyah are 8th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-2 Al Diriyah win
Actual
1–2
Outcome probability
Al-Fateh and Al Diriyah face off in what promises to be a tightly contested Saudi league encounter. With Al Diriyah showing better form this season, the visitors look poised to continue their winning ways.
Match factors
Al Diriyah's attacking edge through Núñez
Darwin Núñez leads Al Diriyah with 3 goals in 6 games, showing strong away scoring form, providing a key threat against Al-Fateh's defense.
Al-Fateh's creative midfielders underperforming
Al-Fateh's top assisters have only 1 assist each, below league average for midfielders, limiting their chance creation against Al Diriyah.
Mourad Batna's recent strong form
Batna has a high recent rating (7.7) and contributed both goals and assists recently, indicating good form to influence the match.
Zaydou Youssouf's dual role in midfield
Youssouf excels in passing (88% accuracy) and defensive actions, crucial for Al-Fateh's midfield balance and transition play.
The context
This match is part of the Regular Season - 6 round in the Saudi league. Al Diriyah currently sit 9th with 11 points from 8 games, while Al-Fateh are struggling near the bottom in 17th place with just 3 points from 8 matches. The teams have met once before this season, with Al Diriyah claiming the sole victory.
Key insights
Darwin Núñez
Al Diriyah
Leads Al Diriyah with 3 goals in 6 games, showing strong away scoring form and providing a key threat against Al-Fateh's defence.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 6 appearances, 0.5 goals/game
Zaydou Youssouf
Al-Fateh
Excels in passing with 88% accuracy and defensive actions, crucial for Al-Fateh's midfield balance and transition play.
Pro League 26/2788% passing accuracy
Mourad Batna
Al-Fateh
Has a high recent rating (7.7) and contributed both goals and assists recently, indicating good form to influence the match.
Pro League 26/27Recent rating 7.7
Analysis
Al Diriyah have the upper hand statistically and tactically. Their superior goal difference and points per game highlight their stronger campaign. Darwin Núñez leads the charge with 3 goals in 6 appearances, particularly effective away from home, making him a key threat. Al-Fateh's creative output has been limited, with their top assisters managing only a single assist each, which could hamper their ability to break down the visitors' defence. Mourad Batna's recent form offers some hope for Al-Fateh, but overall, Al Diriyah's attacking edge and consistency suggest they will maintain control.
Key facts
- 1.Al Diriyah are 9th in the league with 11 points from 8 games (W3 D2 L3).
- 2.Al-Fateh are 17th with 3 points from 8 games (W0 D3 L5).
- 3.Al Diriyah have a significantly better goal difference than Al-Fateh this season.
- 4.Al Diriyah have a points-per-game average of 1.38 compared to Al-Fateh's 0.38.
- 5.In their only head-to-head meeting this season, Al Diriyah won against Al-Fateh.
- 6.Darwin Núñez is Al Diriyah's top scorer with 3 goals in 6 games.
- 7.Al-Fateh's top assisters have only 1 assist each, below league average.
- 8.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4, indicating moderate discipline.
Prediction
The prediction favours an away win for Al Diriyah by 2-1. The visitors are expected to start strongly, potentially leading 2-0 at halftime before Al-Fateh pull one back in the second half. The match is likely to feature moderate discipline, with around four cards expected.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Fateh
Away — Al Diriyah
The verdict
In summary, Al Diriyah's better form and attacking prowess should see them edge out Al-Fateh in this encounter. While the home side may find a late goal, the visitors' early dominance and consistent performance make a 2-1 away victory the most likely outcome.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:16 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Al Khaibari
Yellow Card
Núñez
Penalty
Faisal Al Abdulwahed
Assist: Batna
Šemper
Yellow Card
Boulbina
Penalty
Faisal Al Abdulwahed
Boateng
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
Lixandru
Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari
Abdulelah Al Malki
Núñez
Boateng
Al Khaibari
Diandy
Boulbina
Al Farhan
Yellow Card
Millot
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Kholood | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
Match Statistics
Al-Fateh
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1A. ŠemperG
- 3K. BoatengD
- 8M. LixandruM
- 9W. KangaF
- 10L. HaraslínM
- 11M. BatnaM
- 16Abdulelah Al KhaibariD
- 22Abdullah Al Qahtani
- 28Z. YoussoufM
- 78Abdulaziz Al SuwailemD
- 80Faisal Al AbdulwahedM
Substitutes
- 4Ziyad Al JariD
- 6Ali Al HassanM
- 7Fahad Al Zubaidi
- 18Abdulaziz Al FawazM
- 20H. EssadakM
- 49Saad Al SharfaF
- 63Muntathir Al ShaqaqD
- 87Bin Mahmoud
- 94Waleed Al AnziG
Al Diriyah
Starting XI
- 2Abdulaziz Al FarajD
- 5I. GueyeM
- 10A. BoulbinaM
- 16Hussain Al SibyaniD
- 17C. DiandyM
- 19B. DjimsitiD
- 20E. MillotM
- 22N. VasiljG
- 29D. NúñezF
- 88Abdulelah Al MalkiM
- 99C. MbembaD
Substitutes
- 6Sultan Al FarhanM
- 11Hattan BahbriF
- 12T. Wadi
- 21M. HameranD
- 33Waleed AbdullahG
- 52Hussain Al QahtaniM
- 75Meshari Al NemerF
- 78Khalid Al AsiriD
- 87Qassem LajamiD
Al-Fateh
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Faisal Al Abdulwahed | M | 58 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | — |
| M. Batna | M | 90 | 7.7 | — | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 3/8 |
| Z. Youssouf | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Ali Al Hassan | M | 32 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Suwailem | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 3/3 |
| M. Lixandru | M | 71 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Saad Al Sharfa | F | 3 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| F. Al Zubaidi | — | 19 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| W. Kanga | F | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari | — | 71 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| L. Haraslín | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 4/7 |
| Ziyad Al Jari | D | 4 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sattam Al Tumbukti | — | 19 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Šemper | G | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Boateng | D | 86 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abdulelah Al Khaibari | D | 87 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| H. Essadak | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Fawaz | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Waleed Al Anzi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Diriyah
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Núñez | F | 81 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| N. Vasilj | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| B. Djimsiti | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hussain Al Sibyani | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| C. Mbemba | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| I. Gueye | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Meshari Al Nemer | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| E. Millot | M | 96 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 2 | 1/4 |
| C. Diandy | M | 89 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 3/4 |
| Abdulelah Al Malki | M | 81 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| A. Boulbina | M | 89 | 6.3 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 0/1 |
| Abdulaziz Al Faraj | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Sultan Al Farhan | M | 9 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hameran | D | 1 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Qassem Lajami | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Waleed Abdullah | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hattan Bahbri | F | 1 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hussain Al Qahtani | M | 1 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al Asiri | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Wadi | — | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al Diriyah to win against Al-Fateh.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Fateh 1–2 Al Diriyah.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Fateh vs Al Diriyah?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Fateh a 18% chance of winning, Al Diriyah a 63% chance, and a 19% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 63% confidence — a medium-confidence call.