Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
Al-Ahli Jeddah cruise to emphatic win
Trincão's brace sets the tone in a dominant 4-0 victory away at Al-Fateh.
Al-Ahli Jeddah dismantled Al-Fateh with a commanding 4-0 win in the Pro League, highlighted by Trincão's two goals before and just after the break. I. Toney and Ziyad Al Johani added to the tally, sealing a comprehensive victory. This result was a surprise, defying Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a narrow home win for Al-Fateh.
Outcome probability
As the Saudi Professional League rolls into its eighth round, Al-Fateh and Al-Ahli Jeddah face off in a match that promises a tactical tussle. Both sides will be looking to improve their league standing, with Al-Fateh eager to climb out of the lower reaches and Al-Ahli aiming to consolidate their position near the top.
Match factors
Al-Fateh's midfield goal threat
Faisal Al Abdulwahed and Lukáš Haraslín provide goal threat from midfield, crucial for breaking down defenses
Ivan Toney's prolific scoring form
Toney leads with 10 goals in 7 games, significantly above league average for attackers
Al-Ahli's strong recent scoring streak
Al-Ahli has scored in 4 of last 5 matches, driven by Toney and creative midfielders
Set-piece creativity from Saad Yaslam
Yaslam's 2 assists as a defender highlight set-piece threat and crossing ability
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions, so teams can field strongest lineups
The context
Al-Fateh currently sit 15th in the league with just 3 points from 6 games, struggling to find the net and secure wins. In contrast, Al-Ahli Jeddah are placed 5th with 12 points from 7 matches, boasting a significantly better goal difference. Historically, Al-Ahli have the upper hand in head-to-head clashes, winning 10 of their 18 meetings against Al-Fateh's 6.
Key insights
Faisal Al Abdulwahed
Al-Fateh
Provides crucial goal threat from midfield, recently scored and involved in key attacking plays.
Pro League 26/271 goal in 5 games, 319 minutes played in this competition.
Ivan Toney
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Prolific scorer with 10 goals in 7 games, key focal point of Al-Ahli's attack.
Pro League 26/2710 goals in 7 games, 516 minutes played in this competition.
Saad Yaslam
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Exceptional set-piece delivery and crossing ability, contributing 2 assists from defence.
Pro League 26/272 assists in 5 games, 258 minutes played in this competition.
Analysis
Despite the stats favouring Al-Ahli Jeddah, the prediction leans towards a narrow home victory for Al-Fateh. The home side's midfielders, particularly Faisal Al Abdulwahed and Lukáš Haraslín, offer a goal threat that could prove decisive. Al-Fateh's ability to break down Al-Ahli's defence may hinge on these contributions. Meanwhile, Al-Ahli's prolific striker Ivan Toney, with 10 goals in 7 games, remains a constant threat, but Al-Fateh's defensive resilience and set-piece creativity could keep him at bay.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Ahli Jeddah lead the head-to-head with 10 wins to Al-Fateh's 6 in 18 matches.
- 2.Al-Ahli Jeddah are 5th in the league with 12 points from 7 games; Al-Fateh are 15th with 3 points from 6 games.
- 3.Al-Ahli Jeddah have a goal difference of +6 compared to Al-Fateh's -5.
- 4.Ivan Toney has scored 10 goals in 7 games, making him the league's top scorer so far.
- 5.Faisal Al Abdulwahed has scored 1 goal in 5 games, providing a key attacking outlet for Al-Fateh.
Prediction
The forecast is for a tight 1-0 win to Al-Fateh. This scoreline reflects a cautious but optimistic outlook for the home side, who are expected to edge out their opponents by a single goal. The match is likely to be competitive, with a moderate number of cards anticipated, but ultimately Al-Fateh will claim the three points.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Fateh
Away — Al-Ahli Jeddah
The verdict
In summary, while Al-Ahli Jeddah have the stronger recent form and historical record, Al-Fateh's home advantage and key player contributions make a narrow victory plausible. Fans can expect a closely fought encounter with a slim margin deciding the outcome.
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Trincão
Gonçalves
Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari
Youssouf
Trincão
Boateng
Yellow Card
Toney
Assist: Spertsyan
Galeno
Ali Al Hassan
Kanga
Saâdane
Yellow Card
Atangana Edoa
Yellow Card
Faisal Al Abdulwahed
Yellow Card
Atangana Edoa
Toney
Haraslín
Trincão
Ziyad Al Johani
Batna
Yellow Card
Goal cancelled
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +13 | 19 |
| 5 |  NEOM | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 16 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | +10 | 15 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 |
| 16 |  Al Taawon | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -9 | 3 |
| 17 |  Al-Fateh | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -11 | 3 |
| 18 |  Abha | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -8 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Al-Fateh
5-4-1Starting XI
- 1A. ŠemperG
- 3K. BoatengD
- 6Ali Al HassanM
- 8M. LixandruD
- 9W. KangaF
- 10L. HaraslínM
- 11M. BatnaM
- 17M. SaâdaneD
- 22Abdul Rahman Al KhaibariD
- 28Z. YoussoufM
- 78Abdulaziz Al SuwailemD
Substitutes
- 7Fahad Al ZubaidiF
- 18Abdulaziz Al FawazM
- 25M. Al SahihiM
- 49Saad Al SharfaF
- 80Faisal Al AbdulwahedM
- 87Sattam Al TumbuktiD
- 94Waleed Al AnziG
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 1Abdulrahman Al SanbiG
- 5Mohammed BakorD
- 6V. Atangana EdoaM
- 7TrincãoM
- 13GalenoM
- 15Saeed BaattiaD
- 17I. ToneyF
- 20Matheus GonçalvesM
- 28M. DemiralD
- 30Ziyad Al JohaniM
- 31Saad YaslamD
Substitutes
- 8E. SpertsyanM
- 9Feras Al BrikanF
- 11Meshal Al MutairiF
- 19A. BondarenkoM
- 21Abdullah RadifF
- 29Mohammed YousefD
- 46Rayane HamidouD
- 47Waheb SalehF
- 62Abdullah AbdoG
Al-Fateh
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Šemper | G | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Batna | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/2 |
| Saad Al Sharfa | F | 8 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| W. Kanga | F | 62 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Saâdane | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| M. Lixandru | D | 90 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Ali Al Hassan | M | 62 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Youssouf | M | 46 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Abdulaziz Al Fawaz | M | 44 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| K. Boateng | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Sattam Al Tumbukti | D | 44 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| L. Haraslín | M | 82 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Suwailem | D | 90 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Faisal Al Abdulwahed | M | 28 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdul Rahman Al Khaibari | D | 46 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| M. Al Sahihi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Waleed Al Anzi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fahad Al Zubaidi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Ahli Jeddah
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trincão | M | 85 | 9.7 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | — | 1/2 |
| Ziyad Al Johani | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| I. Toney | F | 78 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 3 | 3 | 2 | — |
| Saeed Baattia | D | 90 | 7.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| M. Demiral | D | 90 | 7.6 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Saad Yaslam | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| E. Spertsyan | M | 44 | 7.4 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Bakor | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Meshal Al Mutairi | F | 5 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| A. Bondarenko | M | 12 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Feras Al Brikan | F | 28 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al Sanbi | G | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Waheb Saleh | F | 12 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Galeno | M | 62 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| V. Atangana Edoa | M | 78 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Matheus Gonçalves | M | 46 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Abdullah Abdo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Yousef | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayane Hamidou | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Radif | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Fateh to win against Al-Ahli Jeddah.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Fateh 1–0 Al-Ahli Jeddah.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Fateh vs Al-Ahli Jeddah?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Fateh a 45% chance of winning, Al-Ahli Jeddah a 27% chance, and a 28% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 45% confidence — a medium-confidence call.