Al-Faisaly FC vs NEOM
Match recap
NEOM beat Al-Faisaly FC 2–0 in their Pro League fixture. Lacazette and Lacazette scored for NEOM. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.60 for Al-Faisaly FC versus 1.30 for NEOM. Al-Faisaly FC sit 15th in the Pro League table while NEOM are 6th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
0-1 NEOM win
Actual
0–2
Outcome probability
As the Saudi Professional League rolls on, NEOM and Al-Faisaly FC face off in what promises to be a tactical tussle. With NEOM sitting comfortably higher in the table, they look poised to extend their winning streak against a struggling Al-Faisaly side.
Match factors
NEOM's attacking trio in strong form
Lacazette, Koné, and Benrahma combine goal threat and creativity, posing a challenge to Al-Faisaly's defense
NEOM's superior scoring and form
NEOM averages 1.9 goals per game with a 71% win rate, outperforming Al-Faisaly's 0.71 goals and no wins
NEOM's defensive stability with key defenders
Defenders Sarr and Zeze provide strong passing and tackling, helping NEOM concede fewer goals
Lacazette's consistent scoring streak
Lacazette scored 3 goals in last 5 matches, including a brace against Al-Faisaly, boosting confidence
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from absences expected
The context
This fixture is part of the Regular Season - 2 phase of the Saudi Professional League. NEOM currently rank 5th with 16 points from 8 games, while Al-Faisaly FC find themselves 15th with just 3 points from 7 games. Historically, NEOM have the upper hand, having won 3 of their 4 recent meetings with Al-Faisaly FC, with no draws.
Key insights
Alexandre Lacazette
NEOM
Leading scorer for NEOM with 5 goals, including 3 in the last 5 games, making him a constant threat.
Pro League 26/275 goals in 8 games, 0.625 goals/game
Amadou Koné
NEOM
Midfielder with 4 goals and 1 assist, key to NEOM's creativity and goal-scoring.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 8 games, 0.5 goals/game
Mohamed Benrahma
NEOM
Impact substitute with 2 goals in 3 games, offering pace and creativity to exploit Al-Faisaly's defence.
Pro League 26/272 goals in 3 games, 0.67 goals/game
Analysis
NEOM's attacking trio, led by Alexandre Lacazette, who boasts 5 goals in 8 games, is in fine form and poses a significant threat. Midfielder Amadou Koné adds creativity and goal-scoring prowess, while Mohamed Benrahma offers an impactful presence off the bench. Defensively, NEOM's solidity is bolstered by key players like M. Sarr and N. Zézé, who contribute to their ability to keep clean sheets. Al-Faisaly FC, on the other hand, have struggled to find the net and secure wins, making it tough for them to break NEOM's rhythm.
Key facts
- 1.NEOM rank 5th with 16 points from 8 games; Al-Faisaly FC are 15th with 3 points from 7 games.
- 2.NEOM have won 3 of the last 4 meetings against Al-Faisaly FC, with no draws.
- 3.Alexandre Lacazette leads NEOM's scoring with 5 goals in 8 games.
- 4.Amadou Koné contributes 4 goals and plays a key creative role for NEOM.
- 5.NEOM average 1.9 goals per game compared to Al-Faisaly's 0.71.
- 6.The predicted final score is 1-0 in favour of NEOM.
- 7.Four cards are expected in the match, indicating a competitive encounter.
Prediction
The prediction leans heavily towards an away win for NEOM with a 1-0 scoreline. The most likely scenario sees NEOM taking an early lead and maintaining it throughout the match. With a total of four cards expected, discipline will be key, but NEOM's superior form and tactical edge should see them through.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Faisaly FC
No standout top scorers flagged for Al-Faisaly FC
Away — NEOM
The verdict
In summary, NEOM's combination of attacking firepower and defensive resilience makes them favourites to claim all three points. Al-Faisaly FC will need to tighten up and find some attacking spark to avoid another defeat. Expect a closely fought match with NEOM edging it by the narrowest of margins.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:53 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Benrahma
Goal cancelled
Almuqrin
Bongonda
Yellow Card
Lacazette
Assist: Khalil Al Absi
Bassogog
Yellow Card
Lacazette
Assist: Haroune Camara
Unknown
Al Shereaf
Lacazette
Masouras
Khalid Al Harbi
Khalil Al Absi
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Match Statistics
Al-Faisaly FC
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1Fernando PachecoG
- 3Khalid Al HarbiD
- 4A. SeckD
- 5Andrei GirottoD
- 10T. BongondaF
- 13C. BassogogF
- 14Abdullah AlmuqrinM
- 19Alexandre MendyF
- 20Jaime SeoaneM
- 50Mohammed Ali Al ShanqitiD
- 77A. Al ShereafM
Substitutes
- 2Yaseen BarnawiD
- 6Eid Al MuwalladM
- 26Mohammed Al HasawiG
- 37Wael KadanF
- 70Mohammed JahfaliD
- 87A. Al SabeatM
- 88Saud HaddadD
- 95Ayman Fallatah\tM
- 99Ahmad Al MhemaidD
NEOM
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1M. BułkaG
- 2Mohammed Al BuraykD
- 5M. SarrD
- 7G. MasourasM
- 10S. BenrahmaF
- 14Khalil Al AbsiM
- 15Abdulmalik Al OyayariM
- 27Islam HawsawiD
- 44N. ZézéD
- 72A. KonéM
- 91A. LacazetteF
Substitutes
- 4Khalifah Al DawsariD
- 8Faisal Al GhamdiM
- 19Mohannad Abu TahaD
- 22A. Al AnziF
- 38M. Al DawsariD
- 55Muhammad Al DosariD
- 70Haroune CamaraF
- 77Muhannad Al SaadF
Al-Faisaly FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrei Girotto | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Jaime Seoane | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Alexandre Mendy | F | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Seck(C) | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Christian Bassogog | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Abdulrahman Al-Shereaf | M | 73 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Al-Shanqiti | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Abdullah Almogren | M | 27 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Théo Bongonda | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando Pacheco | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al-Harbi | D | 82 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ahmad Al Mhemaid | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Hasawi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Jahfali | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yaseen Barnawi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Bin Subayt | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eid Al Muwallad | M | 17 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saud Haddad | D | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Wael Kadan | F | 8 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayman Fallatah | M | 46 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
NEOM
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Saïd Benrahma | F | 6 | — | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Marcin Bułka | G | 90 | 9.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandre Lacazette | F | 79 | 8.6 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | — | 2/3 |
| Malang Sarr | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Alburayk(C) | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Islam Ahmed Hawsawi | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Abdulmalik Al Oyayari | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Nathan Zeze | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Amadou Koné | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Giorgos Masouras | M | 79 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Khalil Al-Absi | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Ahmed Al-Anzi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Dakhil Al-Dawsari | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Dossari | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faisal Al-Ghamdi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalifah Al-Dawsari | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdurahman Daghriry | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohannad Abu Taha | D | 11 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Haroune Camara | F | 84 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Muhannad Al Saad | F | 11 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Faisaly FC vs NEOM?
- Fipster's AI model predicted NEOM to win against Al-Faisaly FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Faisaly FC vs NEOM?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Faisaly FC 0–1 NEOM.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Faisaly FC vs NEOM?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Faisaly FC a 10% chance of winning, NEOM a 79% chance, and a 11% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 79% confidence — a high-confidence call.