Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr
Al-Nassr cruise to a confident win
Ronaldo and Al Hamdan set the tone early as Al-Nassr secure a 3-1 victory.
Al-Nassr took control from the off with Abdullah Al Hamdan's early strike and Cristiano Ronaldo's second-half goal, while Ângelo sealed the win late on. Al-Faisaly's T. Bongonda offered a response but it wasn't enough to prevent a comfortable away win. Fipster's high-confidence prediction nailed the exact scoreline, proving spot on once again.
Outcome probability
Al-Faisaly FC face a tough challenge against Al-Nassr, who have been in impressive form this season. With Al-Nassr sitting comfortably in third place and boasting a superior goal difference, the visitors look poised to extend their winning streak.
Match factors
Alexandre Mendy's strong scoring form
Mendy has scored 4 goals in last 5 games, well above league attacker average, boosting Al-Faisaly's attack
Al-Nassr's consistent scoring streak
Al-Nassr has scored in all last 5 matches, showing strong offensive momentum
Andrei Girotto's defensive dominance
Girotto's 65% duel win rate and 2.75 tackles per game give Al-Faisaly a defensive edge
Al-Nassr's midfield defensive solidity
Nawaf Boushal's high tackle and interception rates strengthen Al-Nassr's midfield control
The context
Al-Nassr currently hold third place in the league with 19 points from 8 games, while Al-Faisaly FC are struggling in 14th with just 7 points from 9 matches. The gulf in form is evident in their goal differences: +12 for Al-Nassr versus -7 for Al-Faisaly FC. This match is part of the regular season's 11th round, where every point counts.
Key insights
Alexandre Mendy
Al-Faisaly FC
Mendy has been a bright spot for Al-Faisaly with 4 goals in 8 games, including 3 in recent home matches, making him their main attacking threat.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 8 games, 0.8 avg per game last 5
- A
Andrei Girotto
Al-Faisaly FC
Girotto's defensive work is crucial, boasting a 65% duel win rate and 2.75 tackles per game, helping to contain opposition attacks.
Pro League 26/2765% duel win rate, 2.75 tackles per game
- N
Nawaf Boushal
Al-Nassr
Boushal anchors Al-Nassr's midfield with 2.375 tackles per game and strong interception stats, providing defensive stability.
Pro League 26/272.375 tackles per game, high interception rate
Analysis
The prediction leans heavily towards an away win for Al-Nassr, supported by a dominant 0.77 probability for this outcome. The most likely halftime score is 0-1, setting the tone for a 3-1 fulltime result. Al-Nassr's consistent scoring streak, having found the net in all of their last five matches, contrasts with Al-Faisaly's defensive vulnerabilities. Alexandre Mendy stands out for Al-Faisaly with 4 goals in 8 games, but even his efforts may not be enough against Al-Nassr's solid midfield and defensive setup, led by Nawaf Boushal's tackling prowess and interception skills.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Nassr are 3rd in the league with 19 points from 8 games (W6 D1 L1).
- 2.Al-Faisaly FC sit 14th with 7 points from 9 games (W1 D4 L4).
- 3.Al-Nassr have a goal difference of +12 compared to Al-Faisaly's -7.
- 4.Al-Nassr average 2.38 points per game, significantly higher than Al-Faisaly's 0.78.
- 5.The predicted halftime score is 0-1 in favor of Al-Nassr.
- 6.The most likely fulltime scoreline is 1-3, favouring Al-Nassr.
- 7.Total cards expected in the match are around 4, indicating moderate discipline issues.
Prediction
Expect Al-Nassr to take an early lead and maintain control throughout the match, finishing with a 3-1 victory. The visitors' attacking momentum and midfield solidity should prove decisive, while Al-Faisaly FC will likely manage a consolation goal but struggle to keep pace.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Faisaly FC
Away — Al-Nassr
No standout top scorers flagged for Al-Nassr
The verdict
This fixture looks set to reinforce Al-Nassr's status as one of the league's top contenders, while Al-Faisaly FC will need to regroup quickly to improve their league standing. Fans can anticipate a lively encounter with plenty of attacking intent from the visitors.
Prediction generated 20 Oct 2026, 20:00 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Abdullah Al Hamdan
Assist: Mané
Aman
Yellow Card
Samú Costa
Yellow Card
Aman
Cristiano Ronaldo
Assist: Félix
Goal cancelled
Mohammed Jahfali
Eid Al Muwallad
Abdulaziz Al Bishi
Bongonda
Assist: Mohammed Ali Al Shanqiti
Samú Costa
Ângelo
Assist: Abdullah Al Hamdan
Almuqrin
Abdullah Al Khaibari
Abdullah Al Hamdan
Mohammed Ali Al Shanqiti
Mané
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Match Statistics
Al-Faisaly FC
3-4-3Starting XI
- 1Fernando PachecoG
- 2Yaseen BarnawiM
- 4A. SeckD
- 5Andrei GirottoD
- 6Eid Al MuwalladM
- 8FlávioM
- 14Abdullah AlmuqrinF
- 19Alexandre MendyF
- 24Abdulaziz Al BishiF
- 50Mohammed Ali Al ShanqitiM
- 70Mohammed JahfaliD
Substitutes
- 10T. BongondaF
- 11A. EllaF
- 18Abdulrahman Al SafariM
- 20Jaime SeoaneM
- 26Mohammed Al HasawiG
- 77A. Al ShereafM
- 87A. BaD
- 88Saud HaddadD
Al-Nassr
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5Abdulelah Al AmriD
- 7Cristiano RonaldoF
- 9Abdullah Al HamdanM
- 10S. ManéM
- 11Samú CostaM
- 12Nawaf BoushalD
- 17Abdullah Al KhaibariM
- 24BentoG
- 26Íñigo MartínezD
- 70Awad AmanD
- 79João FélixM
Substitutes
- 6Saad Al NasserD
- 8Hayder AbdulkareemM
- 14Sami Al NajiM
- 20ÂngeloF
- 23Ayman YahyaM
- 50Majed QasheeshD
- 60Saad HaqawiF
- 83Salem Al NajdiD
Al-Faisaly FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bongonda | F | 29 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Mohammed Ali Al Shanqiti | M | 85 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Abdulaziz Al Bishi | F | 61 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Flávio | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Almuqrin | F | 80 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| A. Seck | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Yaseen Barnawi | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| Alexandre Mendy | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 6 | 1 | — | 0/1 |
| Eid Al Muwallad | M | 61 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando Pacheco | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrei Girotto | D | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Jahfali | D | 61 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jaime Seoane | M | 29 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Al Shereaf | M | 10 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ba | D | 29 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al Safari | M | 5 | 5.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Hasawi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ella | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saud Haddad | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Nassr
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cristiano Ronaldo | F | 90 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 1/1 |
| Abdullah Al Hamdan | M | 81 | 7.6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | — |
| Ângelo | F | 23 | 7.6 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3/3 |
| Íñigo Martínez | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| João Félix | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | 1 | 2 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| S. Mané | M | 86 | 7.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Abdulelah Al Amri | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nawaf Boushal | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Ayman Yahya | M | 44 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Samú Costa | M | 67 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Salem Al Najdi | D | 4 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saad Haqawi | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sami Al Naji | M | 9 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Khaibari | M | 81 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Awad Aman | D | 46 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Bento | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saad Al Nasser | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Majed Qasheesh | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hayder Abdulkareem | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Nassr to win against Al-Faisaly FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Faisaly FC 1–3 Al-Nassr.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Nassr?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Faisaly FC a 9% chance of winning, Al-Nassr a 81% chance, and a 10% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 81% confidence — a high-confidence call.