Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC
Match recap
Al-Ittihad FC beat Al-Faisaly FC 3–1 in their Pro League fixture. Bongonda scored for Al-Faisaly FC; Bergwijn, En-Nesyri, and En-Nesyri replied for Al-Ittihad FC. Al-Faisaly FC held 47% possession to 53% for Al-Ittihad FC. Al-Faisaly FC sit 15th in the Pro League table while Al-Ittihad FC are 4th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-2 Al-Ittihad FC win
Actual
1–3
Outcome probability
As the regular season unfolds, Al-Ittihad FC look poised to extend their impressive run with a narrow victory against Al-Faisaly FC. Both sides have shown contrasting fortunes this season, setting the stage for an intriguing encounter.
Match factors
Al-Ittihad's potent attacking trio
Bergwijn, En-Nesyri, and Ilenikhena combine strong scoring and assist form, posing a major threat to Al-Faisaly's defense.
Al-Ittihad's superior scoring rate
Al-Ittihad averages 1.7 goals per game vs Al-Faisaly's 0.71, indicating a clear offensive advantage.
En-Nesyri's recent scoring surge
En-Nesyri scored 4 goals in last 5 matches, including 3 away, showing strong form heading into this fixture.
Al-Faisaly's defensive challenges
Al-Faisaly concedes 1.86 goals per game at home, struggling to contain high-quality attackers like En-Nesyri and Bergwijn.
Creative midfield support from Aouar and Ilenikhena
Aouar and Ilenikhena provide key assists and high passing accuracy, enhancing Al-Ittihad's attacking efficiency.
The context
Al-Ittihad currently sit comfortably in 4th place with 17 points from 8 games, showcasing a potent attack and solid defence. In contrast, Al-Faisaly struggle near the bottom of the table with just 3 points from 7 matches, highlighting their ongoing challenges in securing wins.
Key insights
Youssef En-Nesyri
Al-Ittihad FC
En-Nesyri has been in excellent form, scoring 4 goals in his last 5 matches, including 3 away goals, making him a key threat in this fixture.
Pro League 26/275 goals in 8 appearances, 0.625 goals/game
Steven Bergwijn
Al-Ittihad FC
Bergwijn combines scoring and assisting prowess with 5 goals and 1 assist in 8 games, including 2 goals in his last 3 away matches.
Pro League 26/275 goals and 1 assist in 8 appearances
George Ilenikhena
Al-Ittihad FC
Ilenikhena contributes both goals and assists, with 4 goals and 2 assists in 6 games, enhancing Al-Ittihad's attacking options.
Pro League 26/274 goals and 2 assists in 6 appearances
Analysis
Al-Ittihad's attacking trio of Steven Bergwijn, Youssef En-Nesyri, and George Ilenikhena have been in fine form, combining for a significant share of the team's goals and assists. En-Nesyri, in particular, has been on a scoring spree with 4 goals in his last 5 matches, including 3 away from home. Meanwhile, Al-Faisaly's defence has conceded nearly two goals per home game, struggling to contain such firepower. Creative midfielders like Houssem-Eddine Chaâbane Aouar and Ilenikhena further enhance Al-Ittihad's threat, making them a tough nut to crack.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Ittihad FC rank 4th with 17 points from 8 games (W5 D2 L1).
- 2.Al-Faisaly FC rank 15th with 3 points from 7 games (W0 D3 L4).
- 3.Al-Ittihad FC have a superior goal difference of +13 compared to Al-Faisaly.
- 4.In 15 head-to-head meetings, both teams have won 5 times each with 5 draws.
- 5.Al-Ittihad averages 1.7 goals per game this season, while Al-Faisaly average 0.71.
- 6.Al-Faisaly concedes 1.86 goals per home game, indicating defensive struggles.
- 7.Youssef En-Nesyri has scored 5 goals in 8 games, including 4 in his last 5 matches.
- 8.Steven Bergwijn has contributed 5 goals and 1 assist in 8 appearances this season.
Prediction
Given the statistical edge and recent form, Al-Ittihad are expected to clinch a 2-1 victory. Their ability to score and create chances away from home should be enough to overcome Al-Faisaly's defensive vulnerabilities, who will likely find the net but fall short in this encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Faisaly FC
No standout top scorers flagged for Al-Faisaly FC
Away — Al-Ittihad FC
The verdict
This fixture promises a competitive match, but the balance of quality and form leans towards Al-Ittihad securing the three points. Fans can anticipate a closely fought game with moments of attacking flair, ultimately favouring the visitors.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:12 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Bergwijn
Assist: Rios
En-Nesyri
Assist: Ilenikhena
Eid Al Muwallad
Hassan Kadesh
Yellow Card
En-Nesyri
Assist: Ilenikhena
Ilenikhena
Rios
Bassogog
Mohammed Ali Al Shanqiti
En-Nesyri
Abdi
Bergwijn
Al Shereaf
Seoane
Bongonda
Assist: Haddad
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Match Statistics
Al-Faisaly FC
4-1-3-2Starting XI
- 1Fernando PachecoG
- 2Yaseen BarnawiD
- 4A. SeckD
- 5Andrei GirottoD
- 6Eid Al MuwalladM
- 8FlávioM
- 13C. BassogogF
- 19Alexandre MendyF
- 20Jaime SeoaneM
- 50Mohammed Ali Al ShanqitiD
- 77A. Al ShereafM
Substitutes
- 3Khalid Al HarbiD
- 10T. BongondaF
- 24Abdulaziz Al BishiF
- 26Mohammed Al HasawiG
- 70Mohammed JahfaliD
- 82Hussain Al ZarieD
- 87A. BaM
- 88Saud HaddadD
- 95Ayman Fallatah\tM
Al-Ittihad FC
4-4-2Starting XI
- 1P. RajkovićG
- 2Danilo PereiraD
- 5R. RiosM
- 9G. IlenikhenaF
- 13Muhannad Al ShanqitiD
- 15Hassan KadeshD
- 21Y. En-NesyriF
- 25F. AbdiD
- 27Ahmed Al GhamdiM
- 30D. LopyM
- 34S. BergwijnM
Substitutes
- 8Mukhtar AliM
- 11Saleh Al ShehriF
- 22Marwan Al SahafiF
- 23G. WijnaldumM
- 41Mohammed FallatahM
- 42Muath FaqeehiD
- 50Mohammed Al AbsiG
- 60Rakan KaabiM
- 66Mohammed BarnawiD
Al-Faisaly FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bongonda | F | 45 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Andrei Girotto | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Seck | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandre Mendy | F | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1/2 |
| Flávio | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| A. Al Shereaf | M | 80 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Jaime Seoane | M | 80 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 2 | 0/1 |
| C. Bassogog | F | 67 | 6.3 | — | — | 3 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| Mohammed Ali Al Shanqiti | D | 67 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Abdulaziz Al Bishi | F | 23 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Eid Al Muwallad | M | 45 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saud Haddad | D | 10 | 6.0 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Hussain Al Zarie | D | 23 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Ayman Fallatah\t | M | 10 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fernando Pacheco | G | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yaseen Barnawi | D | 90 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Mohammed Jahfali | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Hasawi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Ba | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al Harbi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Ittihad FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. En-Nesyri | F | 72 | 8.8 | 2 | — | 4 | 2 | — | — |
| S. Bergwijn | M | 80 | 8.1 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3/4 |
| R. Rios | M | 63 | 7.6 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2 | — |
| G. Ilenikhena | F | 63 | 7.5 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 3 | 0/1 |
| D. Lopy | M | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/2 |
| Danilo Pereira | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| F. Abdi | D | 72 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Mukhtar Ali | M | 27 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al Ghamdi | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | 2 | 3/3 |
| Saleh Al Shehri | F | 18 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marwan Al Sahafi | F | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Muhannad Al Shanqiti | D | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Hassan Kadesh | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| G. Wijnaldum | M | 27 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| P. Rajković | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muath Faqeehi | D | 18 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Absi | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rakan Kaabi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Barnawi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Fallatah | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Ittihad FC to win against Al-Faisaly FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Faisaly FC 1–2 Al-Ittihad FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Faisaly FC vs Al-Ittihad FC?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Faisaly FC a 14% chance of winning, Al-Ittihad FC a 72% chance, and a 14% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 72% confidence — a high-confidence call.