Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Nassr
Match recap
Al-Nassr beat Al-Ettifaq 3–2 in their Pro League fixture. Duda and Medrán scored for Al-Ettifaq; Mané, Abdulelah Al Amri, and Mané replied for Al-Nassr. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.72 for Al-Ettifaq versus 2.00 for Al-Nassr. Al-Ettifaq sit 7th in the Pro League table while Al-Nassr are 2nd.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-3 Al-Nassr win
Actual
2–3
Outcome probability
This Saudi Pro League fixture promises an intriguing battle as Al-Ettifaq face off against Al-Nassr. Both teams have shown glimpses of quality, but recent form and league standings suggest a clear favourite.
Match factors
Al-Nassr's potent attack led by Ronaldo
Cristiano Ronaldo's 4 goals this season and strong recent form give Al-Nassr a clear attacking edge.
Al-Nassr's superior scoring rate
Al-Nassr averages 2.38 goals per game vs Al-Ettifaq's 1.5, supporting predicted 3-1 away win.
Medrán's creative influence for Al-Ettifaq
Álvaro Medrán leads Al-Ettifaq with 3 assists and consistent passing, key to their goal threat.
Defensive midfield battle crucial
Nawaf Boushal and Madallah Al Olayan's tackling and interceptions will shape midfield control.
The context
Al-Nassr currently sit third in the league with 19 points from 8 games, comfortably ahead of Al-Ettifaq who are seventh with 12 points. The goal difference also tells a story, with Al-Nassr boasting a +12 margin compared to Al-Ettifaq's neutral goal difference. Historically, Al-Nassr have the edge in head-to-head clashes, having won 9 of their 20 meetings.
Key insights
Cristiano Ronaldo
Al-Nassr
Ronaldo’s 4 goals in 7 games and recent form make him a key attacking threat for Al-Nassr.
Pro League 26/274 goals in 7 appearances, 0.57 goals/game
Sadio Mané
Al-Nassr
Mané’s 2 goals and 3 assists highlight his importance in both scoring and creating chances.
Pro League 26/272 goals and 3 assists in 8 appearances
Álvaro Medrán
Al-Ettifaq
Medrán’s 3 assists and 2 goals underline his creative influence for Al-Ettifaq.
Pro League 26/273 assists and 2 goals in 8 appearances
Analysis
Al-Nassr's attacking threat is spearheaded by Cristiano Ronaldo, who has netted 4 goals in 7 appearances this season, including a strong recent run with 3 goals in his last 5 matches. Sadio Mané also contributes significantly with 2 goals and 3 assists, making the visitors a formidable offensive force. Al-Ettifaq rely heavily on Álvaro Medrán's creativity, who leads their assists tally with 3 this season. However, the defensive midfield battle, featuring Nawaf Boushal for Al-Nassr and Madallah Al Olayan for Al-Ettifaq, will be crucial in determining midfield control.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Nassr are third in the league with 19 points from 8 games, while Al-Ettifaq are seventh with 12 points.
- 2.Al-Nassr have a superior goal difference of +12 compared to Al-Ettifaq's 0.
- 3.Cristiano Ronaldo has scored 4 goals in 7 appearances this season for Al-Nassr.
- 4.Sadio Mané has contributed 2 goals and 3 assists for Al-Nassr this season.
- 5.Álvaro Medrán leads Al-Ettifaq with 3 assists and 2 goals this season.
- 6.Al-Nassr have won 9 of 20 head-to-head matches against Al-Ettifaq, with 7 draws and 4 losses.
Prediction
We predict a 3-1 victory for Al-Nassr, reflecting their superior scoring rate and overall form. The away side's ability to convert chances, led by Ronaldo and Mané, should prove decisive against Al-Ettifaq's defence. The halftime scoreline is expected to be 1-2, indicating an early lead for the visitors that they maintain and extend.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Ettifaq
Away — Al-Nassr
The verdict
In summary, Al-Nassr's attacking quality and league momentum make them the favourites to claim all three points. Al-Ettifaq will need to tighten their defence and find more from Medrán if they are to challenge the visitors' dominance in this encounter.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:44 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Bento
Red Card
Ângelo
Duda
Dembélé
Yellow Card
Medrán
Assist: Yasir Shammari
Cristiano Ronaldo
Madallah Al Olayan
Gluščević
Félix
Yellow Card
Yasir Shammari
Samú Costa
Coman
Messi
Mané
Assist: Félix
Abdulelah Al Amri
Assist: Félix
Dembélé
Goal confirmed
Mané
Mané
Assist: Sami Al Naji
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
Match Statistics
Al-Ettifaq
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 4J. HendryD
- 9M. DembéléF
- 10Álvaro MedránM
- 11O. DudaM
- 33Madallah Al OlayanD
- 58Yasir ShammariM
- 61Radhi Al OtaibiD
- 70Abdullah KhateebD
- 71M. GluščevićM
- 80R. MessiM
- 92Turki Ba Al Jawsh
Substitutes
- 3Abdullah MaduD
- 6Faris Al GhamdiM
- 7Khalid Al GhannamF
- 13Meshal Al AlaeliD
- 17J. LarssonF
- 22Abdulbasit Hawsawi
- 29Z. Al Ghamdi
- 43B. CelinaM
- 87Meshal Sibyani
Al-Nassr
4-4-1-1Starting XI
- 5Abdulelah Al AmriD
- 7Cristiano RonaldoF
- 10S. ManéM
- 11Samú CostaM
- 12Nawaf BoushalD
- 20ÂngeloM
- 21K. ComanM
- 24BentoG
- 26Íñigo MartínezD
- 79João FélixF
- 83Salem Al NajdiD
Substitutes
- 4Nader Al SharariD
- 9Abdullah Al HamdanF
- 14Sami Al NajiM
- 17Abdullah Al KhaibariM
- 18Abdulmalik Al-JaberM
- 19Ali Al HassanM
- 23Ayman YahyaM
- 53A. Al OtaibiG
- 60Saad HaqawiF
Al-Ettifaq
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ondrej Duda | M | 90 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Álvaro Medrán | M | 90 | 7.5 | 1 | — | 4 | 2 | 4 | 1/3 |
| Yasir Shammari | M | 68 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Madallah Al-Olayan | D | 45 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Moussa Dembélé | F | 87 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Rayane Messi | M | 68 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Matija Glušćević | M | 52 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/4 |
| Jack Hendry | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Radhi Al-Oteibi | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Turki Ba Al-Jawsh | G | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Khateeb(C) | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Meshal Ali Khayrallah | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faris Al Ghamdi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Ghamdi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulbasit Hawsawi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Larsson | F | 38 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Khalid Al-Ghannam | F | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Bersant Celina | M | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meshal Alaeli | D | 11 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Madu | D | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al-Nassr
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sadio Mané | M | 89 | 8.3 | 2 | — | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1/2 |
| João Félix | F | 90 | 7.9 | — | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 0/3 |
| Iñigo Martínez | D | 90 | 7.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Samú Costa | M | 69 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | — |
| Abdulelah Al-Amri | D | 90 | 7.3 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Salem Alnajdi | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Nawaf Boushal | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ângelo | M | 16 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Cristiano Ronaldo(C) | F | 45 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Kingsley Coman | M | 68 | 6.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4/5 |
| Bento | G | 12 | 3.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Abdulmalik Al-Jaber | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Saad Haqawi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayman Yahya | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al-Hassan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nader Al Sharari | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al-Khaibari | M | 45 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Sami Al Naji | M | 22 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Abdullah Al-Hamdan | F | 21 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Abdulrahman Al-Otaibi | G | 74 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Nassr?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Nassr to win against Al-Ettifaq.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Nassr?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Ettifaq 1–3 Al-Nassr.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Nassr?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Ettifaq a 6% chance of winning, Al-Nassr a 87% chance, and a 7% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 87% confidence — a high-confidence call.