Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly FC
Match recap
Al-Ettifaq and Al-Faisaly FC drew 0–0 in their Pro League fixture. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.72 for Al-Ettifaq versus 0.11 for Al-Faisaly FC. Al-Ettifaq sit 7th in the Pro League table while Al-Faisaly FC are 15th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
2-1 Al-Ettifaq win
Actual
0–0
Outcome probability
Al-Ettifaq and Al-Faisaly FC face off in the Saudi Professional League's regular season round 6, with both sides eager to improve their standings. Al-Ettifaq have shown more promise this season, while Al-Faisaly FC are struggling to find their footing.
Match factors
Al-Ettifaq's creative midfield edge
Medrán and Duda combine high passing accuracy and assist potential, likely to unlock Al-Faisaly's defense
Dembélé's home scoring form
Dembélé has scored all 3 goals at home this season, showing strong finishing in familiar conditions
Celina's recent scoring impact
Celina scored 2 goals this season with recent contributions in last 5 matches, adding attacking threat
Defensive solidity from Madallah Al Olayan
Top tackler with 66.7% duel win rate, key to disrupting Al-Faisaly's attacks
Full squad availability boosts Al-Ettifaq
No confirmed injuries or absences, allowing strongest lineup and tactical consistency
The context
Al-Ettifaq currently sit 7th in the league with 12 points from 8 games, boasting a positive goal difference of 8. In contrast, Al-Faisaly FC are 15th with just 3 points from 7 matches and a less favourable goal difference. Historically, their head-to-head record is fairly balanced with 5 wins each and 5 draws in 14 meetings, setting the stage for a competitive encounter.
Key insights
Moussa Dembélé
Al-Ettifaq
Dembélé has scored all 3 of his goals at home this season, showing strong finishing in familiar conditions.
Pro League 26/273 goals, 8 apps, 639 mins, 0.375 goals/game
Álvaro Medrán
Al-Ettifaq
Medrán leads with 3 assists and combines high passing accuracy to unlock defences effectively.
Pro League 26/273 assists, 8 apps, 674 mins, 0.375 assists/game
Bersant Celina
Al-Ettifaq
Celina has scored 2 goals this season, contributing in recent matches to add attacking threat.
Pro League 26/272 goals, 8 apps, 448 mins, 0.25 goals/game
- M
Madallah Al Olayan
Al-Ettifaq
Al Olayan’s tackling and interceptions provide defensive solidity crucial against Al-Faisaly’s attacks.
Pro League 26/2712 tackles, 9 interceptions in 7 games, 66.7% duel win rate
Analysis
Al-Ettifaq's attacking threat is spearheaded by Moussa Dembélé, who has netted all 3 of his goals at home this season, making him a key player to watch. Midfield creativity from Álvaro Medrán and Ondrej Duda, both boasting high passing accuracy and assist numbers, should help unlock Al-Faisaly's defence. Defensively, Madallah Al Olayan's tackling prowess will be crucial in disrupting the visitors' attacks. Al-Faisaly FC, struggling for points and goals, will need to tighten up if they are to challenge effectively.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Ettifaq are 7th in the league with 12 points from 8 games (W3 D3 L2).
- 2.Al-Faisaly FC are 15th with 3 points from 7 games (W0 D3 L4).
- 3.Al-Ettifaq have a goal difference of +8, significantly better than Al-Faisaly FC.
- 4.In 14 head-to-head matches, Al-Ettifaq have 5 wins, Al-Faisaly FC 4, with 5 draws.
- 5.Moussa Dembélé has scored all 3 of his goals at home this season for Al-Ettifaq.
- 6.Álvaro Medrán leads Al-Ettifaq with 3 assists and high passing accuracy.
- 7.Predicted halftime score is 1-0, with a fulltime score of 2-1 in favour of Al-Ettifaq.
- 8.Expected total cards in the match is around 4, indicating moderate discipline.
Prediction
We anticipate Al-Ettifaq to take an early lead, reflecting the predicted halftime score of 1-0, and maintain their advantage to secure a 2-1 victory by full time. The match is expected to feature moderate discipline with around four cards shown, reflecting a competitive but controlled contest.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Ettifaq
Away — Al-Faisaly FC
No standout top scorers flagged for Al-Faisaly FC
The verdict
In summary, Al-Ettifaq's superior form, home scoring strength, and midfield creativity should see them through to a narrow win over Al-Faisaly FC. The visitors will provide resistance, but the hosts' quality and momentum are likely to prevail in this league stage fixture.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:20 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Hendry
Abdullah Madu
Yellow Card
Duda
Celina
Kanté
Yellow Card
Madallah Al Olayan
Larsson
Bassogog
Mohammed Ali Al Shanqiti
Yellow Card
Mohammed Ali Al Shanqiti
Al Shereaf
Yellow Card
Seoane
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 14 |  Al-Fayha | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 15 |  Al-Faisaly FC | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
Match Statistics
Al-Ettifaq
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 4J. HendryD
- 9M. DembéléF
- 10Álvaro MedránM
- 11O. DudaM
- 17J. LarssonM
- 33Madallah Al OlayanD
- 42A. KantéM
- 43B. CelinaM
- 61Radhi Al OtaibiD
- 70Abdullah KhateebD
- 92Turki Ba Al Jawsh
Substitutes
- 3Abdullah MaduD
- 7Khalid Al GhannamF
- 13Meshal Al AlaeliD
- 15Abdullah Al BishiF
- 23Ahmad Al HarbiG
- 58Yasir ShammariM
- 78Marzouq TambaktiD
- 80R. MessiM
- 87Meshal Sibyani
Al-Faisaly FC
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1Fernando PachecoG
- 2Yaseen BarnawiD
- 4A. SeckD
- 5Andrei GirottoD
- 6Eid Al MuwalladM
- 8FlávioM
- 13C. BassogogM
- 19Alexandre MendyF
- 20Jaime SeoaneM
- 50Mohammed Ali Al ShanqitiD
- 77A. Al ShereafM
Substitutes
- 3Khalid Al HarbiD
- 11A. EllaF
- 24Abdulaziz Al BishiM
- 26Mohammed Al HasawiG
- 70Mohammed JahfaliD
- 82Hussain Al ZarieD
- 87A. Al SabeatM
- 88Saud HaddadD
- 95Ayman Fallatah\tM
Al-Ettifaq
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Álvaro Medrán | M | 90 | 8.0 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 3 | — |
| Abdullah Khateeb(C) | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ondrej Duda | M | 64 | 7.2 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Jack Hendry | D | 56 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Turki Ba Al-Jawsh | G | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Radhi Al-Oteibi | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Jordan Larsson | M | 73 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/4 |
| Bersant Celina | M | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Madallah Al-Olayan | D | 73 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdoulaye Kanté | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Moussa Dembélé | F | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Abdullah Al Bishi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Marzouq Tambakti | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmad Al Harbi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meshal Ali Khayrallah | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Madu | D | 34 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Khalid Al-Ghannam | F | 26 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 1/1 |
| Meshal Alaeli | D | 17 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Rayane Messi | M | 17 | 6.6 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Yasir Shammari | M | 26 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Al-Faisaly FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fernando Pacheco | G | 90 | 8.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Andrei Girotto | D | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yaseen Barnawi | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Abdoulaye Seck(C) | D | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Shanqiti | D | 83 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Christian Bassogog | M | 77 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/4 |
| Flávio | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abdulrahman Al-Shereaf | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Jaime Seoane | M | 89 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Eid Al Muwallad | M | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Alexandre Mendy | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Saud Haddad | D | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al-Hasawi | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Jahfali | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ayman Fallatah | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hussain Al Zarie | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| André Jordy Ella | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Bin Subayt | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al-Harbi | D | 13 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulaziz Al Bishi | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Ettifaq to win against Al-Faisaly FC.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Ettifaq 2–1 Al-Faisaly FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Faisaly FC?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Ettifaq a 85% chance of winning, Al-Faisaly FC a 7% chance, and a 8% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 85% confidence — a high-confidence call.