Al Diriyah vs NEOM
NEOM snatches victory at Al Diriyah
A late penalty and Lacazette's strike overturn an early deficit.
Al Diriyah took an early lead through I. Gueye's 17th-minute goal, but NEOM fought back with a penalty from S. Benrahma just before half-time and sealed the win with A. Lacazette's strike after the break. The 2-1 result defied Fipster's low-confidence prediction of a goalless draw, proving this match was anything but a stalemate.
Outcome probability
As the regular season rolls on, Al Diriyah and NEOM face off in what promises to be a tactical battle. Both sides have shown resilience this season, and this fixture looks set to continue that trend with a cautious approach from the off.
Match factors
Darwin Núñez's scoring form stands out
Núñez leads Al Diriyah with 3 goals in 8 games, showing strong finishing especially away (3 goals in last 5 away)
Óscar Rodríguez is a key creative force
Rodríguez has 4 assists in 7 games, well above league average for his position, driving Al Diriyah's attack
NEOM's defensive strength in key players
Defenders M. Sarr and N. Zézé show strong tackling and passing, likely to challenge Al Diriyah's attackers effectively
Al Diriyah's recent scoring inconsistency
Team has scored in 2 of last 5 overall matches, indicating potential difficulty breaking down NEOM's defense
NEOM's attacking threat led by Lacazette
Lacazette's recent goals and assists make him a focal point for NEOM's offense despite no topScorers listed
The context
Al Diriyah currently sit 8th in the league with 15 points from 11 games, while NEOM are just a couple of spots higher in 6th place with 16 points from 10 matches. NEOM boast a better goal difference, suggesting a slightly more effective attack or defence, but the standings indicate a fairly even contest.
Key insights
- D
Darwin Núñez Ribeiro
Al Diriyah
Núñez leads Al Diriyah with 3 goals in 8 games, showing strong finishing especially away with 3 goals in last 5 away matches.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 8 appearances, 0.375 goals/game
Óscar Rodríguez
Al Diriyah
Rodríguez has 4 assists in 7 games, well above league average for his position, driving Al Diriyah's attack.
Pro League 26/274 assists in 7 appearances, 0.571 assists/game
- M
M. Sarr
NEOM
Sarr's strong tackling and passing accuracy contribute significantly to NEOM's defensive solidity.
Pro League 26/2717 tackles and 16 interceptions in 10 games, 90% passing accuracy
- A
Alexandre Lacazette
NEOM
Lacazette's recent goals and assists make him a focal point for NEOM's offense despite no top scorer listing.
Pro League 26/27Multiple goals and assists in recent matches
Analysis
The prediction leans towards a goalless draw, supported by the statistical edge both teams hold defensively. Al Diriyah's Darwin Núñez has been their standout scorer, particularly away from home, but NEOM's defensive duo, including M. Sarr, have been effective in shutting down attacks. NEOM's Alexandre Lacazette provides an attacking threat, yet breaking through Al Diriyah's defence has proven challenging. Both teams have shown scoring inconsistencies recently, which aligns with the expectation of a tight, low-scoring game.
Key facts
- 1.Al Diriyah are 8th in the league with 15 points from 11 games (W4 D3 L4).
- 2.NEOM are 6th with 16 points from 10 games (W5 D1 L4).
- 3.NEOM have a superior goal difference by 7 goals compared to Al Diriyah.
- 4.Darwin Núñez is Al Diriyah's top scorer with 3 goals in 8 games, excelling away from home.
- 5.Óscar Rodríguez leads Al Diriyah with 4 assists in 7 games, a key creative force.
- 6.NEOM's M. Sarr and N. Zézé provide strong defensive stability.
- 7.Alexandre Lacazette is NEOM's main attacking threat with recent goals and assists.
Prediction
Expect a cautious first half with no goals, as both sides feel each other out. The second half is unlikely to see much change, resulting in a 0-0 draw. Discipline will be key, with around four cards anticipated as players jostle for control in midfield and defence.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al Diriyah
Away — NEOM
No standout top scorers flagged for NEOM
The verdict
In summary, this fixture looks set to be a tactical stalemate with neither side able to find the breakthrough. Fans might not see fireworks, but the battle for points will be fiercely contested, leaving both teams to share the spoils.
Prediction generated 24 Oct 2026, 16:05 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Gueye
Assist: Núñez
Benrahma
Penalty
Penalty confirmed
Al Hassan
Masouras
Islam Hawsawi
Lacazette
Assist: Benrahma
Wadi
Boulbina
Khalifah Al Dawsari
Benrahma
Rodríguez
Hussain Al Sibyani
Muhannad Al Saad
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | +20 | 28 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | +10 | 24 |
| 5 |  NEOM | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +8 | 22 |
| 6 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 11 | 7 | 0 | 4 | +9 | 21 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 19 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | -3 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -5 | 15 |
Match Statistics
Al Diriyah
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 5I. GueyeM
- 10A. BoulbinaM
- 12T. WadiD
- 14Óscar RodríguezM
- 16Hussain Al SibyaniD
- 17C. DiandyM
- 19B. DjimsitiD
- 20E. MillotM
- 29D. NúñezF
- 97Amin Al BukhariG
- 99C. MbembaD
Substitutes
- 2Abdulaziz Al FarajD
- 6Sultan Al FarhanM
- 32Abdullah Al ZaidF
- 52Hussain Al QahtaniM
- 75Meshari Al NemerF
- 78Khalid Al AsiriD
- 87Qassem LajamiD
NEOM
4-4-2Starting XI
- 4Khalifah Al DawsariD
- 5M. SarrD
- 6A. Al HassanM
- 7G. MasourasF
- 10S. BenrahmaF
- 14Khalil Al AbsiM
- 15Abdulmalik Al OyayariM
- 19Mohannad Abu TahaM
- 27Islam HawsawiD
- 44N. ZézéD
- 81Luís MaximianoG
Substitutes
- 2Mohammed Al BuraykD
- 8Faisal Al GhamdiM
- 9Abdulaziz Al OthmanF
- 33Abdulrahman DagririG
- 55Muhammad Al DosariD
- 75Khalid Al RammahD
- 77Muhannad Al SaadF
- 91A. LacazetteF
Al Diriyah
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Gueye | M | 90 | 8.0 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| C. Mbemba | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/1 |
| D. Núñez | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/3 |
| B. Djimsiti | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| E. Millot | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 4 | 1/3 |
| A. Boulbina | M | 70 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0/1 |
| Óscar Rodríguez | M | 85 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0/1 |
| C. Diandy | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3/5 |
| Meshari Al Nemer | F | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abdulaziz Al Faraj | D | 20 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/2 |
| Hussain Al Sibyani | D | 85 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Hussain Al Qahtani | M | 5 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amin Al Bukhari | G | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| T. Wadi | D | 70 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Qassem Lajami | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Al Farhan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al Asiri | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Zaid | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
NEOM
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Lacazette | F | 26 | 7.7 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| Luís Maximiano | G | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faisal Al Ghamdi | M | 44 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| S. Benrahma | F | 82 | 7.0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1/2 |
| M. Sarr | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/2 |
| Abdulaziz Al Othman | F | 8 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| N. Zézé | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Khalil Al Absi | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/3 |
| G. Masouras | F | 64 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | — |
| Abdulmalik Al Oyayari | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Muhannad Al Saad | F | 26 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Mohannad Abu Taha | M | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Al Burayk | D | 8 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Islam Hawsawi | D | 64 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 2/3 |
| Khalifah Al Dawsari | D | 82 | 6.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Al Hassan | M | 46 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Muhammad Al Dosari | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al Rammah | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Dagriri | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al Diriyah vs NEOM?
- Fipster's AI model predicted a draw between Al Diriyah and NEOM.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al Diriyah vs NEOM?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al Diriyah 0–0 NEOM.
- What were the win probabilities for Al Diriyah vs NEOM?
- Fipster's model gave Al Diriyah a 29% chance of winning, NEOM a 28% chance, and a 43% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 43% confidence — a low-confidence call.