Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon
Al Diriyah and Al Taawon share spoils
A second-half exchange sees both sides settle for a point in the Pro League.
Al Diriyah took the lead early in the second half through C. Diandy, only for A. Hamed Allah to level for Al Taawon midway through the half. Despite a missed penalty by D. Núñez for Al Diriyah, the match ended 1-1, defying Fipster's medium-confidence prediction of a narrow home win.
Outcome probability
As the regular season unfolds, Al Diriyah and Al Taawon face off in what promises to be a tightly contested match. Both teams have had contrasting fortunes so far, setting the stage for a battle where every goal and tackle will count.
Match factors
Darwin Núñez's strong away scoring form
Núñez has scored 3 goals in last 3 away matches, exploiting defensive weaknesses effectively
Óscar Rodríguez's creative influence
Rodríguez leads with 3 assists in 5 games, significantly above league average for attackers
Al Diriyah's recent home defensive solidity
Team has a recent clean sheet and low goals conceded at home, supporting predicted 1-0 win
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no impact from absences expected
Midfield defensive strength of I. Gueye
Gueye's high tackle rate (3.25 per game) and duel win rate (64%) provide midfield control
The context
Al Diriyah currently sit 9th in the league with 11 points from 8 games, showing a decent return with three wins and two draws. In contrast, Al Taawon find themselves 16th with just 3 points from 7 games, yet to register a win this season. The gulf in points per game and goal difference highlights the challenge Al Taawon face against a side with a more positive recent record.
Key insights
- D
Darwin Núñez Ribeiro
Al Diriyah
Núñez has scored 3 goals in last 3 away matches, exploiting defensive weaknesses effectively.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 6 appearances, 0.5 goals/game
Óscar Rodríguez
Al Diriyah
Rodríguez leads with 3 assists in 5 games, significantly above league average for attackers.
Pro League 26/273 assists in 5 appearances, 0.6 assists/game
- I
I. Gueye
Al Diriyah
Gueye's high tackle rate (3.25 per game) and duel win rate (64%) provide midfield control.
Pro League 26/273.25 tackles per game, 64% duel win rate
Analysis
Al Diriyah's defensive resilience at home has been notable, with recent clean sheets underpinning their ability to keep opponents at bay. Darwin Núñez Ribeiro leads their attacking threat, boasting three goals in six appearances and a particularly strong away scoring record, which bodes well for his confidence. Meanwhile, Óscar Rodríguez's creative spark, with three assists in five games, provides the supply line needed to unlock defences. Al Taawon, despite their struggles, have defensive stalwarts like Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji, but their lack of wins and goal difference deficit suggest they will find it tough to break down a disciplined Al Diriyah side.
Key facts
- 1.Al Diriyah are 9th in the league with 11 points from 8 games (W3 D2 L3).
- 2.Al Taawon are 16th with 3 points from 7 games (W0 D3 L4).
- 3.Al Diriyah have a goal difference of +8, significantly better than Al Taawon.
- 4.Al Diriyah average 1.38 points per game compared to Al Taawon’s 0.43.
- 5.Darwin Núñez Ribeiro has scored 3 goals in 6 appearances, including strong away form.
- 6.Óscar Rodríguez leads with 3 assists in 5 games, key to Al Diriyah’s creativity.
- 7.The predicted total number of cards is 4, suggesting moderate discipline issues.
Prediction
The most probable outcome is a 1-0 victory for Al Diriyah, with the halftime score also expected to be 1-0. The prediction is supported by the home side's superior form, goal difference, and points per game. A total of four cards is anticipated, indicating a moderately physical encounter but nothing out of the ordinary. Expect Al Diriyah to edge this one with a single goal and a solid defensive display.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al Diriyah
Away — Al Taawon
The verdict
In summary, Al Diriyah's better league standing, goal difference, and key player performances make them the favourites to claim a narrow win. Al Taawon will need to improve their attacking output and discipline to challenge effectively. For now, the smart money is on a tight 1-0 home victory.
Prediction generated 15 Oct 2026, 06:24 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Card upgrade confirmed
Diandy
Yellow Card
Millot
Yellow Card
Diandy
Assist: Rodríguez
Hussain Al Sibyani
Yellow Card
El Bahraoui
Diandy
Hamed Allah
Assist: Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi
Hussain Al Sibyani
Faris Al Ghamdi
Yellow Card
Yellow Card
Núñez
Missed Penalty
Hendi
Faris Al Ghamdi
Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi
Abdulaziz Al Faraj
Rodríguez
Muteb Al Mufarrij
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Kholood | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
| 16 |  Al-Fateh | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 6 |
| 17 |  Al Taawon | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -13 | 4 |
| 18 |  Abha | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -11 | 2 |
Match Statistics
Al Diriyah
4-3-3Starting XI
- 2Abdulaziz Al FarajD
- 5I. GueyeM
- 10A. BoulbinaF
- 14Óscar RodríguezM
- 16Hussain Al SibyaniD
- 17C. DiandyF
- 19B. DjimsitiD
- 20E. MillotM
- 29D. NúñezF
- 97Amin Al BukhariG
- 99C. MbembaD
Substitutes
- 6Sultan Al FarhanM
- 12T. WadiD
- 21M. HameranD
- 32Abdullah Al ZaidF
- 52Hussain Al QahtaniM
- 75Meshari Al NemerF
- 87Qassem LajamiD
- 88Abdulelah Al MalkiM
Al Taawon
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 1MailsonG
- 5Z. BelaïdD
- 7Mohammed Al KuwaykibiM
- 9A. Hamed AllahF
- 16Faris Al GhamdiM
- 18A. El MahdiouiM
- 32Muteb Al MufarrijD
- 40Ibrahim MahnashiD
- 47Y. El BahraouiM
- 70A. HendiM
- 88M. PetkovM
Substitutes
- 4Nasser Al HaleelD
- 6Mohammed Bassam Al HurayjiD
- 8P. GuiagonF
- 10N. BajramiM
- 17Mohammed Al AqelF
- 23Rakan Al TulayhiM
- 30Abdullah Al JadaniG
- 45Mohammed Al SaediM
- 93Awn Al SaluliD
Al Diriyah
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Diandy | F | 65 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Óscar Rodríguez | M | 86 | 7.4 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 3 | 1/2 |
| I. Gueye | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| B. Djimsiti | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| C. Mbemba | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Abdulaziz Al Faraj | D | 86 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | 6/6 |
| T. Wadi | D | 4 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Hameran | D | 25 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Hussain Al Sibyani | D | 65 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 2/3 |
| E. Millot | M | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| D. Núñez | F | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | 4 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Amin Al Bukhari | G | 90 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meshari Al Nemer | F | 25 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| A. Boulbina | F | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/4 |
| Qassem Lajami | D | 4 | 6.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Al Farhan | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Zaid | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulelah Al Malki | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hussain Al Qahtani | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Taawon
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hamed Allah | F | 90 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | — | 4/5 |
| Muteb Al Mufarrij | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. El Mahdioui | M | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Mohammed Al Kuwaykibi | M | 84 | 7.0 | — | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| P. Guiagon | F | 6 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Z. Belaïd | D | 90 | 6.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Mahnashi | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| M. Petkov | M | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Mohammed Bassam Al Hurayji | D | 6 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Faris Al Ghamdi | M | 84 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Y. El Bahraoui | M | 58 | 6.5 | — | — | 2 | — | — | 1/2 |
| N. Bajrami | M | 6 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Rakan Al Tulayhi | M | 32 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| A. Hendi | M | 84 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/3 |
| Mailson | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Jadani | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Nasser Al Haleel | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Aqel | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Awn Al Saluli | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Saedi | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al Diriyah to win against Al Taawon.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al Diriyah 1–0 Al Taawon.
- What were the win probabilities for Al Diriyah vs Al Taawon?
- Fipster's model gave Al Diriyah a 60% chance of winning, Al Taawon a 20% chance, and a 20% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 60% confidence — a medium-confidence call.