Al Diriyah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
Match recap
Al-Qadisiyah FC beat Al Diriyah 2–0 in their Pro League fixture. Retegui and Quiñones scored for Al-Qadisiyah FC. Al Diriyah sit 8th in the Pro League table while Al-Qadisiyah FC are 3rd.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
0-2 Al-Qadisiyah FC win
Actual
0–2
Outcome probability
Al-Qadisiyah FC and Al Diriyah face off in the Saudi Professional League's fifth round, with the visitors showing clear superiority in recent form and league standings.
Match factors
Al-Qadisiyah's superior scoring form
Al-Qadisiyah averages 2.3 goals per game, significantly higher than Al Diriyah's 0.88, supporting predicted away win
Retegui's scoring threat vs Al Diriyah defense
Mateo Retegui's 5 goals in 8 games and strong recent form pose a major challenge for Al Diriyah's defense
Al-Qadisiyah's consistent scoring streak
Al-Qadisiyah has scored in their last 5 matches, showing strong attacking momentum
Óscar Rodríguez's creative influence for Al Diriyah
Rodríguez's 3 assists in 5 games and high key passes make him a key playmaker despite team struggles
No confirmed injuries for either team
Both teams have full squads available, so no injury disruptions expected
The context
Al-Qadisiyah FC currently sit second in the league with 19 points from 8 games, boasting a goal difference of +13. In contrast, Al Diriyah are ninth with 11 points and a goal difference of -1. This fixture marks their only head-to-head meeting this season, with Al-Qadisiyah having previously won 2-0.
Key insights
Mateo Retegui
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Retegui's 5 goals in 8 games, including 4 in the last 5, make him a key scoring threat for Al-Qadisiyah FC.
Pro League 26/275 goals in 8 appearances, 0.625 avg per game
- D
Darwin Núñez Ribeiro
Al Diriyah
Núñez Ribeiro is Al Diriyah's top scorer with 3 goals in 6 games, showing strong away scoring form.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 6 appearances, 0.5 avg per game
Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Al-Qadisiyah FC
Abu Al Shamat leads assists for Al-Qadisiyah with 4 in 8 games, contributing significantly to their attacking play.
Pro League 26/274 assists in 8 appearances, 0.5 avg per game
Óscar Rodríguez
Al Diriyah
Rodríguez is a key creative player for Al Diriyah with 3 assists in 5 games, despite the team's struggles.
Pro League 26/273 assists in 5 appearances, 0.6 avg per game
Analysis
Al-Qadisiyah FC have demonstrated consistent scoring ability, averaging 2.38 points per game compared to Al Diriyah's 1.38. Mateo Retegui leads the charge with 5 goals in 8 appearances, including 4 in the last 5 matches, making him a significant threat. Al Diriyah's top scorer, Darwin Núñez Ribeiro, has 3 goals in 6 games but faces a tough defensive challenge. The predicted total of 4 cards suggests a moderately competitive match.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Qadisiyah FC are second in the league with 19 points from 8 games.
- 2.Al Diriyah are ninth with 11 points from 8 games.
- 3.Al-Qadisiyah FC have a goal difference of +13, compared to Al Diriyah's -1.
- 4.Mateo Retegui is the league's top scorer with 5 goals in 8 games.
- 5.Al-Qadisiyah FC have won the only head-to-head meeting this season 2-0.
- 6.Al-Qadisiyah FC average 2.38 points per game, significantly higher than Al Diriyah's 1.38.
- 7.The predicted total number of cards in the match is 4, indicating moderate discipline issues.
Prediction
The forecast is a 2-0 away win for Al-Qadisiyah FC, with a halftime score of 0-1. The visitors' superior form and goal-scoring prowess should see them comfortably outscore Al Diriyah without reply.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al Diriyah
Away — Al-Qadisiyah FC
The verdict
Al-Qadisiyah FC's attacking momentum and league standing make them the clear favourites. Al Diriyah will need to tighten their defence and find more attacking spark to challenge this prediction.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:29 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Retegui
Yellow Card
Penalty cancelled
Nacho
Yellow Card
Penalty confirmed
Gueye
Yellow Card
Retegui
Penalty
Weigl
Yellow Card
Quiñones
Assist: Mohammed Abu Al Shamat
Mohammed Al Qahtani
Qassem Lajami
Hussain Al Sibyani
Millot
Gueye
Diandy
Bonsu Baah
Retegui
Abdullatif Ahm
Yellow Card
Rodríguez
Red Card
Musab Al Juwayr
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 2 |  Al-Nassr | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | +15 | 25 |
| 3 |  Al-Qadisiyah FC | 11 | 8 | 1 | 2 | +14 | 25 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Kholood | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
Al Diriyah
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdulaziz Al-Faraj | M | 90 | 7.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Chancel Mbemba | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Darwin Núñez | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Óscar Rodríguez | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Idrissa Gana Gueye(C) | M | 84 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Enzo Millot | M | 84 | 6.6 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Qasim Lajami | D | 68 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Berat Djimsiti | D | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clayton Diandy | M | 86 | 6.3 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| Nikola Vasilj | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hussain Al-Sebyani | M | 68 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Amin Al-Bukhari | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Farhan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulelah Al-Malki | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Khalid Al-Asiri | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Husain Al-Qahtani | M | 15 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Hameran | D | 22 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Abdullah Zaid | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meshari Fahad Al-Nemer | F | 22 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Hattan Bahebri | F | 15 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
Al-Qadisiyah FC
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mohammed Hamad Al-Qahtani | M | 60 | 7.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
| Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | — |
| Gastón Álvarez | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Jehad Thakri | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Nacho Fernández(C) | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julian Weigl | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Koen Casteels | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julián Quiñones | F | 90 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0/3 |
| Mateo Retegui | F | 86 | 6.9 | 1 | — | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Musab Al Juwayr | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Christopher Baah | M | 86 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Amar Hamed Al Yuhaybi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yasser Al-Shahrani | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmed Al-Kassar | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ibrahim Mahnashi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Harun | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Eyad Houssa | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al-Salem | F | 13 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Turki Alammar | M | 13 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Cameron Puertas | M | 30 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/2 |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al Diriyah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Qadisiyah FC to win against Al Diriyah.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al Diriyah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al Diriyah 0–2 Al-Qadisiyah FC.
- What were the win probabilities for Al Diriyah vs Al-Qadisiyah FC?
- Fipster's model gave Al Diriyah a 2% chance of winning, Al-Qadisiyah FC a 95% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.