Al Diriyah vs Al Kholood
Match recap
Al Diriyah and Al Kholood drew 1–1 in their Pro League fixture. Meshari Al Nemer scored for Al Diriyah. Expected-goals data put the chance balance at 0.56 for Al Diriyah versus 1.41 for Al Kholood. Al Diriyah sit 8th in the Pro League table while Al Kholood are 9th.
Fipster’s pre-match call
Predicted
1-0 Al Diriyah win
Actual
1–1
Outcome probability
Al Diriyah and Al Kholood face off in the Saudi league's regular season round 3, both eager to climb the table with a vital win.
Match factors
Al Diriyah's away scoring strength
Al Diriyah scores significantly more away (1.5 goals/game) than home (0.25), favoring their attacking players like Núñez
Óscar Rodríguez's creative influence
Óscar Rodríguez leads Al Diriyah with 3 assists in 5 games, providing key chances especially away
Iker Kortajarena's recent scoring form
Kortajarena has 4 goals in last 5 games, showing strong form for Al Kholood
Defensive solidity from I. Gueye
Gueye's high tackle rate and duel success help Al Diriyah control midfield and disrupt opponent attacks
Full squad availability for both teams
No confirmed injuries or suspensions for either team, ensuring strongest lineups possible
The context
Both teams sit mid-table with Al Kholood just a spot above Al Diriyah, making this clash crucial for momentum. Their only previous meeting ended in a 1-1 draw, setting the stage for a tight rematch.
Key insights
- M
Meshari Fahad Al-Nemer
Al Diriyah
Key offensive threat with a goal in the last fixture, likely to influence the game.
Pro League 26/271 goal in this fixture
- A
Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa
Al Kholood
Important attacking player who scored in the previous meeting, posing a threat to Al Diriyah.
Pro League 26/271 goal in this fixture
Analysis
Al Diriyah's attacking threat is led by Meshari Fahad Al-Nemer, who scored in their last encounter, while Al Kholood's Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa matches that threat with a goal of his own. The teams have shown balanced form, but Al Diriyah's home advantage and slightly better defensive solidity could tip the scales.
Key facts
- 1.Al Diriyah are 9th in the league with 11 points from 8 games (W3 D2 L3).
- 2.Al Kholood are 8th with 12 points from 8 games (W3 D3 L2).
- 3.Their only head-to-head meeting ended in a 1-1 draw.
- 4.Meshari Fahad Al-Nemer scored for Al Diriyah in their last meeting.
- 5.Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa scored for Al Kholood in their last meeting.
- 6.The predicted total number of cards in this match is four.
Prediction
Expect a narrow 1-0 win for Al Diriyah, with the game likely decided by a single moment of quality. The predicted total of four cards suggests a competitive but controlled match.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al Diriyah
Away — Al Kholood
The verdict
This fixture promises a tactical battle with both sides pushing for points. Al Diriyah's slight edge in attack and defence should see them edge out Al Kholood in a close contest.
Prediction generated 13 Oct 2026, 09:42 UTC · Fipster Model v1.163
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Hattan Bahbri
Domingues
Penalty cancelled
Goal
Assist: Kortajarena
Ramzi Solan
Yellow Card
Ramzi Solan
Hameran
Abdulelah Al Malki
Meshari Al Nemer
Assist: Abdulaziz Al Faraj
Cissé
Yellow Card
Unknown
Hamed Abdullah Yousef
Yellow Card
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 7 |  Al-Ettifaq | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 18 |
| 8 |  Al Diriyah | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 15 |
| 9 |  Al Kholood | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
| 10 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
Match Statistics
Al Diriyah
Starting XI
- 2Abdulaziz Al FarajD
- 5I. GueyeM
- 10A. BoulbinaM
- 11Hattan BahbriM
- 19B. DjimsitiD
- 20E. MillotF
- 21M. HameranD
- 22N. VasiljG
- 29D. NúñezF
- 88Abdulelah Al MalkiM
- 99C. MbembaD
Substitutes
- 6Sultan Al FarhanM
- 12T. Wadi
- 17C. DiandyF
- 32Abdullah Al ZaidF
- 52Hussain Al QahtaniM
- 75Meshari Al NemerF
- 78Khalid Al AsiriD
- 87Qassem LajamiD
- 97Amin Al BukhariG
Al Kholood
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 1Hamed Abdullah YousefG
- 5E. UtkusD
- 6J. BuckleyM
- 8S. CisséM
- 10Iker KortajarenaM
- 11CobaM
- 15Ramzi SolanD
- 22J. DominguesF
- 25Mansour CamaraD
- 38S. PinasD
Substitutes
- 7Sultan Al ShehriD
- 23Yazan MadaniD
- 24O. Abdulghani
- 26Yaseen Al ZubaidiF
- 27Abdullah Al AjyanF
- 39Abdulrahman Al DosariM
- 47Abdulrahman Al ObaidD
- 48Muhannad Al YahyaG
- 70Muhammad SawanM
Al Diriyah
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idrissa Gana Gueye(C) | M | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Abdulelah Al-Malki | M | 81 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 1/1 |
| Nikola Vasilj | G | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adil Boulbina | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 2 | — | 1 | 4/7 |
| Enzo Millot | F | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 2/5 |
| Berat Djimsiti | D | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mohamed Hameran | D | 81 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Chancel Mbemba | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | 1 | — |
| Abdulaziz Al-Faraj | D | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2/3 |
| Darwin Núñez | F | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/2 |
| Hattan Bahebri | M | 64 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Qasim Lajami | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Farhan | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Husain Al-Qahtani | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Zaid | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Taher Wadi | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Amin Al-Bukhari | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Meshari Fahad Al-Nemer | F | 9 | 7.9 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Khalid Al-Asiri | D | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Clayton Diandy | F | 26 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
Al Kholood
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coba Da Costa | M | 90 | 7.9 | — | — | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4/5 |
| Mansour Camara | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Edgaras Utkus | D | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Seydouba Cisse | M | 90 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ramzi Sawlan | D | 80 | 6.9 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/4 |
| Iker Kortajarena | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | 1 | 3 | — | 2 | — |
| Abdulaziz Al-Aliwa | M | 87 | 6.6 | 1 | — | 3 | 2 | — | 0/3 |
| Shaquille Riley Pinas(C) | D | 90 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| Hamed Al-Shanqity | G | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Julien Domingues | F | 65 | 6.3 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/2 |
| John Buckley | M | 90 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 2 | 0/3 |
| Substitutes | |||||||||
| Yaseen Al-Zubaidi | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhannad Al-Yahya | G | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Sultan Al Shehri | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al Obaid | D | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Al Ajyan | F | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Adi | M | — | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al-Dosari | M | 25 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Muhammad Sawan | M | 9 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Yazan Madani | D | 10 | 6.5 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al Diriyah vs Al Kholood?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al Diriyah to win against Al Kholood.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al Diriyah vs Al Kholood?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al Diriyah 1–0 Al Kholood.
- What were the win probabilities for Al Diriyah vs Al Kholood?
- Fipster's model gave Al Diriyah a 50% chance of winning, Al Kholood a 25% chance, and a 25% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 50% confidence — a medium-confidence call.