Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat
Al-Ahli Jeddah cruise past Al Khaleej Saihat
I. Toney shines with a brace as Al-Ahli dominate in the Pro League.
Al-Ahli Jeddah secured a commanding 4-1 victory over Al Khaleej Saihat, with I. Toney opening the scoring early and sealing the win with a late penalty. A. Bondarenko and Trincão added to the tally after the break, ensuring a comfortable lead before Thamer Al Khaibri netted a consolation for the visitors. Fipster's high-confidence prediction of a home win was spot on, though the actual scoreline included a late reply that prevented a clean sheet.
Outcome probability
Al-Ahli Jeddah face Al Khaleej Saihat in a regular season clash where the home side's attacking prowess and league position suggest a comfortable win.
Match factors
Al-Ahli's potent home attack vs Al Khaleej's defense
Al-Ahli averages 4 goals at home with strong attacking midfield support, likely to overwhelm Al Khaleej's defense conceding 1.2 goals away
Ivan Toney's prolific scoring form
Toney has scored 9 goals in last 5 matches, making him a high probability scorer in this fixture
Joshua King's recent scoring streak
King has 3 goals in last 5 games, showing good form despite team's overall struggles
Valentin Atangana Edoa's defensive dominance
Edoa's tackling and interceptions exceed league averages, crucial to breaking Al Khaleej's attacks
Full squad availability boosts attacking options
No confirmed injuries for either team, allowing full strength lineups and maximizing attacking potential
The context
Al-Ahli Jeddah currently sit 6th in the league with 15 points from 8 games, while Al Khaleej Saihat are 10th with 12 points from 10 matches. Historically, Al-Ahli have dominated this fixture, winning 6 of 8 encounters with no losses, and averaging nearly 4 goals per game in these meetings.
Key insights
Ivan Toney
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Toney's prolific scoring form with 9 goals in last 5 games makes him a key threat at home.
Pro League 26/279 goals in last 5 matches
Joshua King
Al Khaleej Saihat
King's recent scoring streak of 3 goals in 5 games highlights him as the main attacking outlet for Al Khaleej.
Pro League 26/273 goals in 5 games
Trincão
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Trincão's consistent goal contributions from midfield bolster Al-Ahli's attacking options.
Pro League 26/274 goals in last 5 games
- V
Valentin Atangana Edoa
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Edoa's defensive dominance with high tackling and interception rates is crucial in breaking Al Khaleej's attacks.
Pro League 26/272.125 tackles per game
Analysis
Al-Ahli's attacking force, led by Ivan Toney who has netted 9 goals in his last 5 matches, is expected to overwhelm Al Khaleej's defence, which concedes an average of 1.2 goals away. Midfielder Trincão also contributes significantly with 4 goals in recent games, adding to the home side's firepower. Defensively, Valentin Atangana Edoa's tackling and interceptions provide a solid shield. Al Khaleej's Joshua King, with 3 goals in 5 games, remains their main threat but is unlikely to stem the tide.
Key facts
- 1.Al-Ahli Jeddah have won 6 of 8 head-to-head matches against Al Khaleej Saihat.
- 2.Head-to-head matches average 3.9 goals, with Al-Ahli scoring 23 and Al Khaleej 8.
- 3.Al-Ahli Jeddah rank 6th with 15 points from 8 games; Al Khaleej Saihat rank 10th with 12 points from 10 games.
- 4.Al-Ahli Jeddah have a +10 goal difference compared to Al Khaleej Saihat's -4.
- 5.Ivan Toney has scored 9 goals in his last 5 matches for Al-Ahli Jeddah.
- 6.Joshua King is Al Khaleej Saihat's top scorer with 3 goals in 5 games.
Prediction
We anticipate Al-Ahli Jeddah to lead 2-0 at halftime and extend their dominance to a 4-0 fulltime victory. The match is also expected to see around 4 cards, reflecting a competitive but controlled encounter.
Player Insights
Standout players Fipster expects to impact the match — curated highlights, not full squad lists
Home — Al-Ahli Jeddah
Away — Al Khaleej Saihat
The verdict
With superior form, a strong home attack, and a solid defensive setup, Al-Ahli Jeddah look set to secure a convincing win over Al Khaleej Saihat. Fans can expect a display of attacking football and a comfortable three points for the home side.
Prediction generated 19 Oct 2026, 17:07 UTC · Fipster Model v1.165
Form as the teams went into this match — excludes this result and anything since.
Team Comparison
Season shape — attack, defence, form, clean sheets & win rate
Home vs Away comparison
Goal difference in each of the last few fixtures — above the line is a net win, below is a net loss
Season comparison
Goals scored & conceded, goal difference and clean sheets across the season
Halftime Performance
What each side does once the whistle goes for half time
Streaks
Recent-form runs — each side’s most-recent game meets in the middle
Head to Head
Ahmad Asiri
Yellow Card
Toney
Assist: Spertsyan
Goal confirmed
Mohammed Al Khabrani
Yellow Card
King
Yellow Card
King
Ahmad Asiri
Bondarenko
Assist: Trincão
Trincão
Assist: Toney
Feras Al Brikan
Spertsyan
Saeed Baattia
Mohammed Al Khabrani
Card upgrade confirmed
Benegas
Red Card
Majed Kanabah
Goal cancelled
Barrow
Bondarenko
Trincão
Thamer Al Khaibri
Assist: Hussain Al Eisa
Toney
Penalty
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Al-Hilal Saudi FC | 10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | +21 | 27 |
| 4 |  Al-Ittihad FC | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 5 |  Al-Ahli Jeddah | 10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | +14 | 21 |
| 6 |  NEOM | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | +7 | 19 |
| 9 |  Al Kholood | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
| 10 |  Al Khaleej Saihat | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | -7 | 12 |
| 11 |  Al Shabab | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 11 |
Match Statistics
Al-Ahli Jeddah
4-3-3Starting XI
- 1Abdulrahman Al SanbiG
- 3IbañezD
- 5Mohammed BakorD
- 6V. Atangana EdoaM
- 7TrincãoF
- 8E. SpertsyanM
- 9Feras Al BrikanF
- 15Saeed BaattiaD
- 17I. ToneyF
- 19A. BondarenkoM
- 31Saad YaslamD
Substitutes
- 4Makaya Ibrahima DiabyM
- 11Meshal Al MutairiF
- 20Matheus GonçalvesF
- 21Abdullah RadifF
- 29Mohammed YousefD
- 30Ziyad Al JohaniM
- 46Rayane HamidouD
- 62Abdullah AbdoG
- 87Ramez Al AttarM
Al Khaleej Saihat
4-3-1-2Starting XI
- 3Mohammed Al KhabraniD
- 5Pedro RebochoM
- 7J. KingF
- 8Omar MascarellM
- 9M. BenegasF
- 12Majed KanabahM
- 13Ahmad AsiriD
- 17Abdullah Al HafithD
- 27Fawaz Al SaqourD
- 96Marwan Al HaidariG
- 99M. BarrowM
Substitutes
- 1M. Abbas IbrahimG
- 4K. KouyatéD
- 11Saleh Al AmriF
- 14Ali Al ShaafiD
- 15Mansour HamziF
- 16Bader MunshiM
- 19Miguel CrespoM
- 28Hussain Al EisaF
- 90Thamer Al KhaibriF
Al-Ahli Jeddah
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trincão | F | 81 | 8.9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1/1 |
| I. Toney | F | 90 | 8.7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| A. Bondarenko | M | 81 | 8.2 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1/1 |
| Saeed Baattia | D | 66 | 7.4 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| E. Spertsyan | M | 66 | 7.2 | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0/1 |
| Ibañez | D | 90 | 7.1 | — | — | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Mohammed Bakor | D | 90 | 7.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ziyad Al Johani | M | 24 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | 0/2 |
| Matheus Gonçalves | F | 24 | 6.8 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2/2 |
| Saad Yaslam | D | 90 | 6.7 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Mohammed Yousef | D | 24 | 6.7 | — | — | 1 | 1 | 1 | — |
| V. Atangana Edoa | M | 90 | 6.6 | — | — | 2 | 1 | — | 1/1 |
| Abdullah Radif | F | 9 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 2/2 |
| Ramez Al Attar | M | 9 | 6.4 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdulrahman Al Sanbi | G | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Feras Al Brikan | F | 66 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/2 |
| Meshal Al Mutairi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rayane Hamidou | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Makaya Ibrahima Diaby | M | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Abdullah Abdo | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Al Khaleej Saihat
| Player | Pos | Min | Rating | G | A | Shots | SoT | Key Passes | Dribbles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thamer Al Khaibri | F | 44 | 7.4 | 1 | — | 1 | 1 | — | 2/3 |
| Marwan Al Haidari | G | 90 | 7.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Hussain Al Eisa | F | 11 | 6.9 | — | 1 | — | — | 1 | 2/2 |
| Saleh Al Amri | F | 44 | 6.5 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| J. King | F | 46 | 6.3 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Majed Kanabah | M | 79 | 6.2 | — | — | — | — | — | 0/1 |
| Fawaz Al Saqour | D | 90 | 6.2 | — | — | 1 | — | — | 0/1 |
| Abdullah Al Hafith | D | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | — | 1/1 |
| Omar Mascarell | M | 90 | 6.0 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 1/1 |
| Miguel Crespo | M | 23 | 5.9 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Pedro Rebocho | M | 90 | 5.9 | — | — | — | — | 1 | 0/1 |
| M. Barrow | M | 79 | 5.8 | — | — | 1 | — | 1 | — |
| Bader Munshi | M | 11 | 5.8 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ahmad Asiri | D | 46 | 5.7 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Benegas | F | 69 | 5.7 | — | — | 1 | — | — | — |
| Mohammed Al Khabrani | D | 67 | 5.6 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| M. Abbas Ibrahim | G | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ali Al Shaafi | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| K. Kouyaté | D | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Mansour Hamzi | F | 0 | 0.0 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Prediction Q&A
- Who did Fipster predict to win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat?
- Fipster's AI model predicted Al-Ahli Jeddah to win against Al Khaleej Saihat.
- What score did Fipster predict for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat?
- Fipster predicted a final score of Al-Ahli Jeddah 4–0 Al Khaleej Saihat.
- What were the win probabilities for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al Khaleej Saihat?
- Fipster's model gave Al-Ahli Jeddah a 95% chance of winning, Al Khaleej Saihat a 2% chance, and a 3% chance of a draw.
- How confident was Fipster in this prediction?
- Fipster's model assigned this prediction 95% confidence — a high-confidence call.